I had a poor result in Week 17, racking up 5.73 units in losses. I’ll look to get back on track in the final week of the regular season.
Read on for my best, longshot, and same-game parlays for Week 18. Check out my X account, @FAmmiranteTFJ, to see my full betting card.
Let’s bounce back with my NFL Week 18 parlays.
Best NFL Week 18 Parlay
Frank Ammirante 2023 Betting Record: 301-369 (+14.04 units)
All NFL gameday odds are current as of Wednesday, Jan. 3, at 1 p.m. ET from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 18 Top Parlay (+188)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
- Steelers ML (-175) at Ravens
- Texans ML (-120) at Colts
The Week 18 top parlay features two Saturday games.
We’ll start with the Steelers on the moneyline. Pittsburgh can secure an AFC wild-card spot with a win over the Ravens and a Bills or Jaguars loss.
The good news here is that Baltimore has nothing to play for, having already locked up the number-one seed in the AFC.
While the latest reports speculate that Lamar Jackson‘s Week 18 playing time is unclear right now, we can go out on a limb and say you’re likely to see backup Tyler Huntley in this game.
That gives the edge to the Steelers, so ride with Pittsburgh to win their third game in a row.
I’ll finish it off with the Texans on the moneyline vs the Colts in a battle of AFC South division rivals in a matchup with significant playoff implications.
The winner of this game will lock up a wild card spot. Additionally, if the Jaguars lose, the winner of this matchup will also finish first in the AFC South.
I’m giving the edge to Houston because of C.J. Stroud, who has had a terrific rookie season. The Texans’ advantage at quarterback over Gardner Minshew should be felt in this one.
Target these two plays for our NFL bet of the day.
Longshot NFL Week 18 Parlay
Week 18 Longshot Parlay (+281)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.3 Units
- Saints ML (-170) vs Falcons
- Bears ML (+140) at Packers
The Week 18 longshot parlay begins with the Saints on the moneyline.
New Orleans has won three of their last four games, highlighted by an impressive road win over the division-leading Buccaneers.
The Saints have two paths to the playoffs:
- Win the NFC South if they beat the Falcons and the Bucs lose to the Panthers
- Get a wild card spot if they beat the Falcons and:
- Bucs beat Panthers
- Seahawks lose to Cardinals
- Packers lose to Bears
On the other side, the Falcons still have hope, they need to beat the Saints and hope that the Bucs lose to the Panthers.
The problem for Atlanta is that New Orleans is much better at home, winning three of their last four games there with a point differential of +42 in that stretch.
The Falcons also have issues with poor quarterback play, with Taylor Heinicke banged up and Desmond Ridder prone to ill-advised turnovers.
That gives the edge to the Saints, who should avoid the season sweep against their division rivals.
- See the full list of NFL Week 18 odds.
I’ll finish it off by taking the Bears to spoil the Packers’ postseason hopes. Green Bay needs a win to make the playoffs, but that will be a tough task vs Chicago.
The Bears are much better than their 7-9 record, winning five of their last seven games. Recall that Chicago went 1-3 while Justin Fields was injured (he left early in one of those games), so they could have easily been a playoff team this season.
The trade deadline acquisition of edge rusher Montez Sweat has had a major impact on the defense. Chicago has allowed only 76 points in their last five games.
While Packers’ quarterback Jordan Love is playing at a high level, I’m betting on the Bears to pull off the upset here.
NFL Week 18 Same-Game Parlay
Bills vs Dolphins Same-Game Parlay (+138)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
- Bills ML (-162)
- Josh Allen Anytime TD (-145)
The Week 18 Same-Game Parlay focuses on the Bills vs Dolphins game, where the winner finishes first in the AFC East.
These are two teams trending in opposite directions, with the Bills winning four in a row and the Dolphins going 2-2 in their last four.
Miami is dealing with injuries on defense, most recently to top edge rusher Bradley Chubb.
There’s a reason why Buffalo is favored on the road here — it’s clear that they’re the better team right now because the Dolphins are depleted.
I already mentioned Chubb, but Jaelen Phillips is out for the season, plus Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are also banged up.
Bet on the Bills to make it five in a row here.
I’ll add in Josh Allen anytime touchdown because he’s only one score away from setting the Bills’ single-season record with 16 rushing touchdowns.
New offensive coordinator Joe Brady has incorporated the “tush push" more often, borrowing from Jalen Hurts and the Eagles.
It’s worked out well, as Allen has scored seven touchdowns on the ground in his last five games, including three two-touchdown efforts.
There’s a great chance that Allen will find the end zone in this one.