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Vikings vs Packers Predictions & Odds

Posted: Dec 27, 2022Last updated: Dec 27, 2022

The Green Bay Packers (7-8) will host the Minnesota Vikings (12-3) on Sunday, Jan. 1, at Lambeau Field. This showdown is a do-or-die situation for the Packers and their Cheesehead fans, who are looking to scratch their way into the postseason.

Green Bay upset the Miami Dolphins 26-20 in Week 16 to keep their playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Vikings defeated the New York Giants 27-24 and currently hold the No. 2 spot in the NFC.

The Packers will hold home-field advantage against their division rival, but who will come out on top in this Week 17 NFC North clash?

Let’s look at the latest Minnesota vs Green Bay betting odds to identify our best bets and make a game prediction.

Vikings vs Packers Odds

Despite a sizable gap in their win-loss record, the Packers remain a narrow three-point favorite at Lambeau Field. The odds may not come as a surprise given the Vikings’ overperformance this season, with most metrics pointing to a bit of luck in Minnesota.

All in all, this game is a toss-up, considering three points is typically awarded to the home team. This should be a close one.

Take a look at the best Vikings odds and Packers odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Vikings vs Packers Implied Totals

Packers 25.5, Vikings 22.5

Sportsbooks expect Green Bay to win this matchup by around a field goal with a score just shy of 50 points.

Vikings vs Packers Pick of the Day

Read more on this Vikings vs Packers bet below.

Vikings vs Packers Prediction

Packers 27, Vikings 23

Green Bay is fighting for their lives, whereas the Vikings are merely looking to secure playoff seeding. This is not to say Minnesota will be mailing it in on Sunday. Far from it.

The Vikings would love to notch a season sweep over their division rival, but Minnesota is just 2-2-1 against the spread on the road this season. In fact, despite being 4-2 over their last six games, they are just 2-4 ATS during that stretch.

Look for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to continue their momentum in front of a home crowd, with their offense taking advantage of the Vikings’ suspect defense. Entering Week 17, Minnesota has allowed an NFL-worst 281.5 passing yards per game.

One facet of the game to follow will be the battle at the line of scrimmage. In Week 1, the Packers allowed a season-high four sacks to the Vikings. Since then, the Green Bay offensive line has allowed the seventh-lowest adjustment sack rate in the NFL.

If the Green Bay offensive line can give Rodgers time in the pocket, they should be able to put plenty of points on the board.

However, the real test for Green Bay will be holding down record-breaking wide receiver Justin Jefferson. The 23-year-old recently broke the team’s single-season receiving yards record that Hall of Famer Randy Moss previously held.

In the end, I am giving the edge to Green Bay at home in what should be a very cold game at the Frozen Tundra.

Vikings vs Packers Bet Tips

Here are a few Vikings vs Packers betting trends to consider before making your bets:

  • The Vikings’ last five games have all hit the Over.
  • Minnesota is 11-0 in one-score games this season.
  • The Vikings have lost all three games as an underdog this season.

Vikings vs Packers Best Bets

Packers -3 (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Vikings have allowed 402.3 yards per game while fielding the fifth-worst scoring defense. I expect Rodgers to lead the Packers to victory at home while narrowly covering the spread.

Want to bet on the Packers? Check out the best U.S. sportsbooks!

Over 48 Points (-106) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

As mentioned above, all of the Vikings’ previous five games have hit the Over.

There is a strong chance Green Bay is able to help extend this trend by exploiting the Minnesota defense while Jefferson abuses the Packers’ secondary.

Vikings vs Packers Props

Check out the best Vikings vs Packers player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on “Show More Games" below to find the Minnesota vs Green Bay game and see all of its prop bets.

Author

Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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