Jaguars vs Texans Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Nov 21, 2023

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence is coming off his best game of the season after producing four touchdowns against the Tennessee Titans. Now he and the 7-3 Jaguars will look to carry that momentum into another divisional battle, this time against rookie phenom CJ Stroud and the 6-4 Houston Texans.

With only a game separating these two foes, this contest could have massive NFL playoff implications.

Jaguars vs Texans Odds

NFL odds used for this Jacksonville vs Houston preview were found at FanDuel Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, Nov. 21, at 10:00 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Jaguars (-116) • Texans (-102)
  • Spread: Jaguars -1.5 (-105) • Texans +1.5 (-115)
  • Total Points: Over 47.5 (-115) • Under 47.5 (-105)
  • Implied Score: Jaguars 24.5, Texans 23.5

Jaguars vs Texans Predictions

Score Pick: Jaguars 31, Texans 27

Lawrence finally had his first multi-touchdown performance since Week 6 and now faces a defensive unit that ranks 25th in passing yards per game allowed (241.4). Expect the Jaguars’ offense to move the ball down the field with relative ease, putting Lawrence and company in prime scoring positions.

Stroud and the Texans’ offense have been firing on all cylinders over the past three weeks, averaging 30 points per game. They should have no problem keeping pace with the Jaguars in this one, but Lawrence will do just enough to ensure that his team remains atop the division.

Jaguars vs Texans Best Bets & Props

Jaguars (-116)

FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 units

The Texans have been a fun story this season, but the Jaguars are still the team to beat in the AFC South. They are 4-0 on the road and enter this game as slight road favorites despite the Texans rattling off three straight victories and winning four of their past five games.

Per Odds Shark, the Jaguars have covered the spread in their last eight road games. They’re favored in this road matchup, but given the small spread and slight difference in value, we’ll be taking the Jaguars on the moneyline under the belief that they’ll win by at least two points. This is my NFL bet of the day.

Both Teams to Score a Touchdown in Each Half (-108)

FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

As previously mentioned, Lawrence and the Jaguars shouldn’t have an issue extending drives against a Texans defense that ranks near the bottom of the NFL against the pass. However, Jacksonville’s defense ranks 29th in passing yards allowed per game (254.4), suggesting that Stroud and the Houston offense will likewise have success moving the ball down the field and scoring touchdowns.

Jaguars Over 24.5 (+102)

FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units

The Jaguars have eclipsed this total in four of their past six games and now face a defense that has allowed 26.6 points per game over the past three weeks. In a game with division-title implications, expect Lawrence and the Jacksonville offense to perform at a high level en route to yet another big scoring day.

Jaguars vs Texans Same-Game Parlay

Jaguars vs Texans SGP (+146)

FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units

  • Jaguars Over 24.5 (+102)
  • Jaguars (-116)

The Jaguars are coming off their best offensive performance of the season, have won six of their past seven games, and now head to Houston to face a Texans team that has won just five of its past 20 home games.

It was around this time last season that Lawrence took his game to another level, leading Jacksonville to five straight wins, a divisional crown, and a playoff victory. More of the same may be in store.


Lior Lampert

Lior is an NBA/NFL writer for The Game Day. He earned a BA in English and MS in Sports Analytics in Management during his time as a student. Since then, Lior has been writing content for FanSided, GMEN HQ, and GameTime Sharks among other pages regarding the NFL, NBA, Tennis, fantasy football, and sports betting to develop a career in the sports media industry. Born in Israel but raised in New York, Lior is a long-time fan of his hometown New York Knicks and Giants. Not only does he enjoy covering sports, he enjoys playing basketball, tennis, and pickleball.

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