Texans vs Jaguars Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Sep 20, 2023

Houston (0-2) is an +8.5 point underdog at DraftKings when they travel to Jacksonville for a Sunday matchup with the 1-1 Jags.

Sunday presents an excellent opportunity to continue our good fortune in this space. Last week, our best bets finished 2-1, and if it weren’t for Seattle missing two first-half field goals, we would have had a perfect 3-0 day as well as hitting our SGP selection.

Texans vs Jaguars Odds

NFL odds used for this Houston vs Jacksonville preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday at 12:40 pm ET.

  • Moneyline: Jaguars (-410) • Texans (+320)
  • Spread: Jaguars -8.5 (-112) • Texans +8.5 (-108)
  • Total Points: Over 44 (-110) • Under 44 (-110)
  • Implied Score: Jaguars 26.25, Texans 17.75

Texans vs Jaguars Predictions

Score Pick: Jaguars 28, Texans 17

Jacksonville is favored by -8.5 at DraftKings but favored by as much as 10 points in some US shops. DraftKings gives us the best number, and we only have to pay .10 vigorish, which isn’t that bad.

DraftKings opened this game -7, but with the Houston side facing several key injuries to its offense, the game was bet up to -8.5. It will probably reach nine points or higher, depending on the availability of the injured Texans.

Finally, the Jags are 1-1-0 ATS and coming off a difficult home loss to Kansas City. The Jags offense is too potent only to score nine points, and I expect Jacksonville to beat Houston by at least 10 points.

Texans vs Jaguars Best Bets & Props

Jaguars -8.5 (-112)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Jacksonville is the healthier group coming off a horrible offensive output at home against Kansas City. I expect them to bounce back with a big home victory against the struggling Texans. Our NFL Bet of the Day is Jacksonville -8.5 (-112) at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Houston is 0-2 ATS this season and has significant injuries to their offensive line. Texans QB CJ Stroud is also nursing a shoulder injury, and they face a Jags defense allowing 191 passing yards per contest, but they haven’t seen a QB like Trevor Lawrence thus far this season.

Finally, the number will surely rise, and hopefully, the -8.5 holds. If the number does move higher, I believe the Jags will cover up to -10 on Sunday.

Jaguars Over 27.5 (+105)

Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

A minimum of four TDs is what I have Jacksonville scoring on Sunday. Jags QB Trevor Lawrence heard the boo birds last week after throwing for 216 yards without a TD or interception in their Week 2 loss to Kansas City, and he’ll want to have a big game against Houston.

The Houston offensive line is banged up, and rookie QB CJ Stroud has already been sacked 11 times this season and meets a Jags defense averaging 2.3 sacks per game. Stroud hasn’t thrown an interception yet this season, but Jacksonville has picked off two passes, and I expect Houston to turn the ball over at least twice.

Jacksonville should enjoy solid field position throughout the contest, with the Texans punter also on the shelf.

Jaguars 1H -4.5 (+112)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Jaguars head coach Doug Pederson stressed the need for better execution on both sides of the ball this week and I expect the Jaguars to respond to his plea and lay down the hammer on this banged-up Houston side.

It will likely begin with the defense–the Houston offensive line has been decimated by injuries and Stroud has already been sacked 11 times. Look for the Jaguars defense to try and make a big play early in the game and the offense to execute earlier in the game and score more than the 10 first-half points they’ve averaged.

Texans vs Jaguars Same Game Parlay

Texans vs Jaguars SGP (+370)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.10 units

  • Texans Under 14.5 (+135)
  • Jaguars Over 27.5 (+100)

The team total numbers and odds are perfect for this wager.

We’ve already listed why Jacksonville will score at least 28 points, so the odds on this market are outstanding. The Jags are healthy on both sides of the ball, and they should enjoy good position with a defense that Lawrence can pick apart.

Houston may have an implied total of 17.75 points, but they have a decimated offense with multiple offensive line injuries and a QB playing behind them with a banged-up shoulder. Allowing 5.5 sacks per game when healthy will be problematic for Houston against the Jags defense–with the Texans offensive line woes, it could be a disastrous day for the rookie signal-caller.


Phil Naessens

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