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Jaguars vs Lions Predictions & Odds

Frank AmmiranteFantasy Sports & Betting Writer
Posted: Nov 30, 2022Last updated: Nov 30, 2022

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) head to Detroit to take on the Lions (4-7) in an inter-conference matchup. This is a game between two teams that are better than their records.

The Jaguars just pulled off an upset over the Baltimore Ravens after Trevor Lawrence led a last-minute, game-winning drive. Meanwhile, the Lions came close to knocking off the Buffalo Bills.

This should be an interesting game that comes down to the wire.

With that in mind, let’s get right into the Jacksonville vs Detroit betting tips for Week 13.

Jaguars vs Lions Odds

All Jaguars and Lions odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook as of 1 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Nov. 29.

The Jaguars open as one-point road favorites, which is a bit surprising because of how well the Lions have played lately. Oddsmakers seem to be giving the advantage to Jacksonville due to their superior quarterback play.

Take a look at the best Jaguars odds and Lions odds for the 2022 NFL season.

The total is high at 51.5 points, which makes perfect sense because the Lions have consistently played in shootouts while at home this season.

Jaguars vs Lions Implied Totals

Jaguars 26.25, Lions 25.25

Bookmakers project the Jaguars to narrowly edge out the Lions in a close game with a lot of points. It seems that they’re not putting enough value into home-field advantage here.

Jaguars vs Lions Pick of the Day

Read more on this Jaguars vs Lions bet below.

Jaguars vs Lions Prediction

Lions 31, Jaguars 27

The Lions are playing terrific football right now, going 3-2 in their last five games. Their only two losses were by three points to the Buffalo Bills (8-3) and by four to the Miami Dolphins (8-3).

According to Football Outsiders, Detroit ranks 16th in total DVOA, while Jacksonville comes in at 18th. Both teams are ranked in the top 15 in offensive DVOA.

The key here is that the Lions are playing at home. Quarterback Jared Goff has been much better within the friendly confines of Ford Field.

Goff has a 102.6 quarterback rating at home, averaging 257.8 passing yards per game with 15 touchdowns and three interceptions. Compare that to his road numbers: 81 quarterback rating, 227.0 passing yards per game, two touchdowns, and four interceptions.

This means that we can’t really say that the Jaguars have as much of a quarterback advantage as it looks on paper with Lawrence and Goff. The Lions are coming off a close home loss and will likely bounce back in a close win.

We could also see the debut of promising rookie wideout Jameson Williams for Detroit here. This would give them an added dimension to their offense, as Williams has the ability to take the top off an opposing defense.

Jaguars vs Lions Bet Tips

Here are a few Jaguars vs Lions betting trends to consider before making your bets:

  • The Jaguars are 4-6-1 against the spread, and Unders are 6-5 in their games this year.
  • The Lions are 7-4 against the spread, and Overs are 7-4 in their games this season.
  • Detroit home games average 60.67 points per game this year.

Jaguars vs Lions Best Bets

Over 51.5 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Lions’ home games have been riddled with shootouts throughout the year. Five of their six home games have combined for 52 points or more.

It’s not like Jacksonville’s defense is good enough to slow down the points here. The Jaguars rank 30th in pass DVOA, so we could see Goff pick them apart in this one.

Before placing this bet, get the best Jaguars promo codes.

Over 24.5 1st Half Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

I’m doubling down by going with the first-half Over, as well. I love what I saw out of Lawrence against the Ravens last week, where he threw for 321 yards and three touchdowns against a tough defense.

While I do think Detroit will win, I’m more confident in targeting the total in what should be a high-scoring game.

Before placing this bet, get the best Lions promo codes.

Jaguars vs Lions Props

Check out the best Jaguars vs Lions player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on “Show More Games" below to find the Jacksonville vs Detroit game and see all of its prop bets.

Author

Frank Ammirante

Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.

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