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Cowboys vs Rams Predictions

Posted: Oct 5, 2022Last updated: Oct 5, 2022

The Cowboys are 3-1, winners of three straight with Cooper Rush under center. However, Dallas’ winning ways have more to do with their menacing defense than Rush.

In Week 5, they will travel to Los Angeles to face off against a Rams team that looks just as mediocre as their 2-2 record. The Rams are coming off of their second blowout loss of the year in primetime, this time to the 49ers, who exposed Los Angeles’ one-dimensional offense.

Let’s take a look at my Dallas vs Los Angeles best bets and betting picks for NFL Week 5.

Cowboys vs Rams Odds

The Rams are 4.5-point home favorites in a game that will be much closer than the line suggests.

The total is set at a low 43.5 points, which makes sense due to a dormant Rams offense and a Dallas offense led by game-manager Cooper Rush.

Take a look at the best Cowboys odds and Rams odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Cowboys vs Rams Implied Totals

Rams 24, Cowboys 19.5

The bookmakers believe that the Rams could put up 20 on a Cowboys defense that has conceded fewer than 19 points in each of their first four games. In two of those games, Dallas shut down Tom Brady and Joe Burrow.

Meanwhile, the Rams have totaled fewer than 20 points in each of their first four games of the year, scoring fewer than 10 points twice.

Cowboys vs Rams Pick of the Day

Read more on this Cowboys vs Rams bet below.

Cowboys vs Rams Prediction

Cowboys 20, Rams 16

I will back the Cowboys to pull off the upset on the road. The biggest reason why I am backing the Cowboys is their pass rush versus the Rams’ offensive line. Through four games, the Cowboys have logged 15 sacks while the Rams have yielded 16.

Matthew Stafford is not the modern-day mobile quarterback, which means his statuesque stature will be there for the taking by DeMarcus Lawrence, Micah Parsons, and a fierce Cowboys pass rush.

Furthermore, the Cowboys are +2 in turnover differential while the Rams are -2. If Dan Quinn’s defense continues to play to this elite level, they will be hard to stop. The question is more about the Cowboys’ offense and if they can score just enough points to steal a road victory.

The Rams’ defense isn’t the top-end unit they’ve been in years past. While they can still stuff the run, you can throw on them, which bodes well for Cooper Rush, who will take what the enemy defense gives him.

Rush may have to lean on pass-catchers not named CeeDee Lamb, assuming Lamb will have his hands full with Jalen Ramsey.

Cowboys vs Rams Bet Tips

Here are some Cowboys vs Rams betting trends to consider before placing your bets:

  • The Cowboys have sacked enemy quarterbacks 15 times, while the Rams have conceded 16 sacks this season.
  • Cooper Rush is 4-0 in four career starts and is also 4-0 against the spread in those matchups.
  • The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their past five games on the road.
  • The Over is 4-1 in the past five meetings between the Rams and the Cowboys.

Cowboys vs Rams Best Bets

Cowboys +4.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their past five games on the road. While the Rams are 3-1 ATS in their past four meetings against the Cowboys, these two teams split their last two matchups.

The Rams may be the Super Bowl champions, but between injuries and personnel movement, they are clearly a different team in 2022.  Their one-trick offense was exposed by the 49ers on Monday night and the Cowboys were paying attention.

Before placing this bet, get the best Cowboys promo codes.

Cowboys Moneyline (+180) at FanDuel Sportsbook

You can take the total to go Under 43.5 (-110), but if you want the value bet, it is on the Cowboys moneyline at +180 odds. The Rams are the home favorite, but do they deserve to be?

The bookmakers are likely overvaluing Matthew Stafford and undervaluing Cooper Rush, while ignoring the matchups the Cowboys will dominate. But entering Week 5, the Cowboys are simply the better team. If this game was played in Dallas, the odds would likely be flipped or at least closer.

Before placing this bet, get the best Rams promo codes.

Author

Anthony Cervino

Anthony Cervino is an NFL Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day. He is also a lifelong NFL savant and self-proclaimed league historian. In the industry, Anthony has excelled in both the fantasy football and sports betting space with fantasy his proverbial bread and butter. Anthony has made appearances on SiriusXM, amongst other publications. He is also the co-creator of the FF Faceoff (Faceoff Sports Network) and the FF Faceoff Mental Health Podathon partnered with the Hayden Hurst Foundation. Industry Clout: 15th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for both draft and in-season accuracy (2019) | 8th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for sleepers (2020) | 13th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for in-season accuracy, including 2nd at quarterback and 3rd at tight end (2021).

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