The Cowboys are 3-1, winners of three straight with Cooper Rush under center. However, Dallas’ winning ways have more to do with their menacing defense than Rush.
In Week 5, they will travel to Los Angeles to face off against a Rams team that looks just as mediocre as their 2-2 record. The Rams are coming off of their second blowout loss of the year in primetime, this time to the 49ers, who exposed Los Angeles’ one-dimensional offense.
Let’s take a look at my Dallas vs Los Angeles best bets and betting picks for NFL Week 5.
Cowboys vs Rams Odds
The Rams are 4.5-point home favorites in a game that will be much closer than the line suggests.
The total is set at a low 43.5 points, which makes sense due to a dormant Rams offense and a Dallas offense led by game-manager Cooper Rush.
Cowboys vs Rams Implied Totals
Rams 24, Cowboys 19.5
The bookmakers believe that the Rams could put up 20 on a Cowboys defense that has conceded fewer than 19 points in each of their first four games. In two of those games, Dallas shut down Tom Brady and Joe Burrow.
Meanwhile, the Rams have totaled fewer than 20 points in each of their first four games of the year, scoring fewer than 10 points twice.
Cowboys vs Rams Pick of the Day
Read more on this Cowboys vs Rams bet below.
Cowboys vs Rams Prediction
Cowboys 20, Rams 16
I will back the Cowboys to pull off the upset on the road. The biggest reason why I am backing the Cowboys is their pass rush versus the Rams’ offensive line. Through four games, the Cowboys have logged 15 sacks while the Rams have yielded 16.
Matthew Stafford is not the modern-day mobile quarterback, which means his statuesque stature will be there for the taking by DeMarcus Lawrence, Micah Parsons, and a fierce Cowboys pass rush.
Furthermore, the Cowboys are +2 in turnover differential while the Rams are -2. If Dan Quinn’s defense continues to play to this elite level, they will be hard to stop. The question is more about the Cowboys’ offense and if they can score just enough points to steal a road victory.
The Rams’ defense isn’t the top-end unit they’ve been in years past. While they can still stuff the run, you can throw on them, which bodes well for Cooper Rush, who will take what the enemy defense gives him.
Rush may have to lean on pass-catchers not named CeeDee Lamb, assuming Lamb will have his hands full with Jalen Ramsey.
Cowboys vs Rams Bet Tips
Here are some Cowboys vs Rams betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Cowboys have sacked enemy quarterbacks 15 times, while the Rams have conceded 16 sacks this season.
- Cooper Rush is 4-0 in four career starts and is also 4-0 against the spread in those matchups.
- The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their past five games on the road.
- The Over is 4-1 in the past five meetings between the Rams and the Cowboys.
Cowboys vs Rams Best Bets
Cowboys +4.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their past five games on the road. While the Rams are 3-1 ATS in their past four meetings against the Cowboys, these two teams split their last two matchups.
The Rams may be the Super Bowl champions, but between injuries and personnel movement, they are clearly a different team in 2022. Their one-trick offense was exposed by the 49ers on Monday night and the Cowboys were paying attention.
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Cowboys Moneyline (+180) at FanDuel Sportsbook
You can take the total to go Under 43.5 (-110), but if you want the value bet, it is on the Cowboys moneyline at +180 odds. The Rams are the home favorite, but do they deserve to be?
The bookmakers are likely overvaluing Matthew Stafford and undervaluing Cooper Rush, while ignoring the matchups the Cowboys will dominate. But entering Week 5, the Cowboys are simply the better team. If this game was played in Dallas, the odds would likely be flipped or at least closer.
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