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Rams vs Cowboys Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Oct 26, 2023

The Cowboys have seemingly had multiple seasons within their six games as they suffered an upset defeat to the lowly Cardinals and a devastating blowout to the 49ers, but have also dominated lesser teams like the Patriots, Jets, and Giants. Coming off their bye week at 4-2, the Cowboys have a chance to set themselves up for a strong second half with a home game against the Rams.

The Rams sit at 3-4 after losing to the Steelers at home last week and have fallen into a pattern of beating the teams they’re supposed to beat while losing to the more elite teams they’ve played. Los Angeles is 2-1 on the road so far and need to stretch that record to 3-1 this week if it wants to stay in the playoff hunt.

Rams vs Cowboys Odds

NFL odds used for this Los Angeles vs Dallas preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Thursday, Oct. 26, at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Cowboys (-245) • Rams (+200)
  • Spread: Cowboys -6 (-110) • Rams +6 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 45.5 (-108) • Under 45.5 (-112)
  • Implied Score: Cowboys 25.75, Rams 19.75

Rams vs Cowboys Predictions

Score Pick: Cowboys 27, Rams 23

Although the Rams are finally healthy at wide receiver now that Cooper Kupp is back (and looking like his old self), they’re still dealing with some injuries with Kyren Williams notably on the Injured List for at least the next three games. Old friend Darrell Henderson ably stepped in for Williams last week after being signed off the street and should be able to duplicate most of what Williams does.

While Kupp, Puka Nacua, and Tutu Atwell have all had solid (and surprising in Nacua’s case) seasons to-date, Matthew Stafford has struggled to elevate his game beyond being a game manager. The 35-year-old hasn’t been bad, but he’s only thrown seven touchdowns all season and has offset that with six interceptions.

Stafford’s job will become even more difficult this week as he faces Micah Parsons and a strong Cowboys pass rush.

For their part, the Cowboys have been able to put up points against bad defenses (which the Rams would qualify as in allowing 20.1 points per game) despite their struggles here and there. Tony Pollard has struggled to get things going in the manner he did last year, but Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb have been able to lead the Cowboys to 25.7 points per game (good for fifth-best in the league).

The Rams should be able to move the ball this week, but the Cowboys have too much fire-power on both sides of the ball and will prove to be too much for Los Angeles to keep up with.

Rams vs Cowboys Best Bets & Props

CeeDee Lamb Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 Units

Though Lamb has topped this total in just half of his games this season, I think this total is way too low and is my NFL bet of the day. He’s coming off a seven-catch, 117-yard performance before the Cowboys’ bye and is averaging almost 80 receiving yards per game.

He’s also averaging seven targets per game so the usage he needs to get over 66.5 yards is more than there. Furthermore, the Rams just allowed George Pickens to put up 107 yards against them last week, so there’s recent precedent here, as well.

Rams Over 19.5 (-115)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

We’re just Under the Rams implied points total here, so Vegas (barely) likes the Rams to top 19.5. While historical patterns don’t predict the future, the Rams are averaging 22.1 points per game to date (though it’s worth noting they’ve been held below this total three times in seven games – including last week).

The Cowboys defense has been limiting opponents to 16.7 points per game, but it’s also worth noting there that two of those opponents have been quarterbacked by Zach Wilson and Mac Jones. With the Rams likely playing catchup for most of this game, they should be able to put up some points – even if it’s just in garbage time.

Over 45.5 (-108)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

This total has moved up by 0.5 points over the last 12 hours or so, but I think there’s still value here as both teams can put up points in a hurry. This isn’t a 1:1 correlation, but the Rams and Cowboys are averaging 47.8 points per game combined and both offenses feature high-powered passing attacks led by Kupp and Lamb.

I dropped to 1 Unit here as I think we’re cutting it close at 45.5 points, but there’s still value here at -108.

Rams vs Cowboys Same Game Parlay

Rams vs Cowboys SGP (+360)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 Units

  • CeeDee Lamb Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
  • Cowboys (-245)
  • Over 45.5 (-108)

Outside of the Cowboys moneyline (which I covered with my score prediction), we’ve covered these bets with the thinking that Lamb should smash 66.5 total receiving yards and that both teams are able to push this points total Over 45.5. If you’re on board with my thinking on those bets above, why not combine them all together at get +360 odds?

Author

Nick Roberts

Nick is an analyst at The Game Day who writes about the NFL and NBA from a betting perspective. He previously contributed to RotoWorld, Rotowire, and The New York Times. Nick resides in New Jersey.

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