Several impactful players went down with injuries in Week 5. Among those who are slated to miss multiple games are Justin Jefferson, De’Von Achane, and James Conner. That should make for some interesting betting angles for Week 6.
One matchup that hasn’t been hammered by injuries features the Falcons hosting the Commanders. These are similar teams in that they both have good running backs, but issues at quarterback could impact their chances to make the playoffs.
Let’s dive into the betting market for this matchup and highlight some wagers to consider.
Commanders vs Falcons Odds
NFL odds used for this Washington vs Atlanta preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, Oct. 10, at 2 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Falcons (-148) • Commanders (+124)
- Spread: Falcons -2.5 (-118) • Commanders +2.5 (-102)
- Total Points: Over 42.5 (-108) • Under 42.5 (-112)
- Implied Score: Falcons 22.5, Commanders 20
Commanders vs Falcons Predictions
Score Pick: Falcons 27, Commanders 20
After nearly pulling off an upset over the Eagles in Week 4, the Commanders laid an egg in a 20-point loss to the Bears at home in Week 5. Their defense has been dreadful, giving up at least 33 points in each of their last four games.
Sam Howell hasn’t been great, either, compiling six interceptions to go along with a modest six touchdown passes through five games.
The Falcons pulled off a comeback win over the Texans last week, kicking the winning field goal within the final two minutes of the fourth quarter. With their running game struggling, Desmond Ridder stepped up to throw for 329 yards and a touchdown, while also recording a score on the ground.
The Falcons are now 3-0 at home and have not given up more than 24 points in a game this season. Look for them to extend their home winning streak to four games.
Commanders vs Falcons Best Bets & Props
Falcons (-148)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
This is a problem matchup for the Commanders.
First, the Falcons have played exceptionally well at home. Atlanta also loves to run the ball, posting the seventh-most rushing attempts in the league.
The Commanders have not been good at stopping the run, allowing the ninth-most rushing yards per game. That combination puts the Falcons in a favorable position to win, making this our NFL bet of the day.
Race to 20 Points: Falcons (+105)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
With the Commanders’ defense allowing at least 33 points in four of their five games, this is a prop to target. In those four games, they lost the race to 20 points each time.
The Falcons have scored at least 21 points in all three of their home games, and with how bad the Commanders have been against the run, they should be able to reach that threshold again.
Commanders Score 11-20 Points (+145)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units
The Commanders might not possess the ball a lot in this game. Given how well the Falcons run the ball and how poorly the Commanders have stopped it, the Falcons could have a significant advantage in time of possession.
Atlanta has also allowed an average of just 19.2 points per game for the season, which leaves the Commanders with limited scoring upside.
Commanders vs Falcons Same Game Parlay
Commanders vs Falcons SGP (+118)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
- Falcons (-148)
- Race to 20 Points: Falcons (+105)
We’re already on both of these individual bets and combining them gets us plus-odds.
It would be a surprise to see the Commanders pull off the road upset, especially with how poorly they played in Week 5 against the Bears. Ridder’s overall struggles are a concern, but the Falcons haven’t let that stop them from winning all three of their games in Atlanta.
An underrated player within the Falcons’ offense has been tight end Jonnu Smith. Over the last three games, he has caught 17 of 21 targets for 199 yards.
Having him as a safety valve helps Ridder, and also helps take some of the pressure off their rushing attack. The Falcons have enough weapons to win the race to 20 points.
