The Tennessee Titans (7-6) head west to pay a visit to the Los Angeles Chargers (7-6) for a Week 15 conference clash.
Tennessee checks in having suffered a surprising 36-22 home defeat at the hands of the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 14, the third straight loss for Mike Vrabel‘s team.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles upended the Miami Dolphins, 23-17, on Sunday night at home in a game where they managed to largely neutralize the visitors’ high-octane passing attack.
With the stage set, let’s dive into our Tennessee vs Los Angeles best bets, predictions, and betting tips for Sunday’s key late-season showdown.
Titans vs Chargers Odds
The Chargers’ status as three-point home favorites as of Tuesday afternoon, Dec. 13, at Caesars Sportsbook, isn’t surprising when considering how well Tennessee has played on the road this season and Los Angeles’ occasional struggles at home.
The projected total of 47 points also seems in line with the belief that each team’s defense, while certainly vulnerable in certain areas, could provide enough resistance to keep both teams in the 20s as far as point totals.
Titans vs Chargers Implied Totals
Chargers 25, Titans 22
Oddsmakers appear to be expecting the Chargers’ offense to continue enjoying success now that it’s back to full health at the skill positions but also appear to envision the Titans mostly keeping pace with the help of their advantage on the ground against Los Angeles’ questionable run defense.
Titans vs Chargers Pick of the Day
Read more on this Titans vs Chargers bet below.
Titans vs Chargers Prediction
Chargers 27, Titans 24
The Chargers racked up 432 total yards against the Dolphins in Week 14, 350 of those through the air in what was a stellar performance by Justin Herbert.
However, that translated to a somewhat disappointing 23 points thanks in part to a mediocre 2-for-6 success rate for Los Angeles in red-zone opportunities.
The good news with respect to this matchup is that Herbert and his now-healthy receiving corps should be in an environment even more conducive to offensive success. No team has allowed more passing yards per road game than the Titans’ 303.3, and Tennessee is also yielding an elevated 11.1 yards per completion in that split.
Mike Williams showed no ill effects from the ankle injury that had cost him the prior two games in the win over Miami, posting a 6-116-1 line on six targets. Meanwhile, Keenan Allen turned in a vintage performance that included 12 receptions on 14 targets.
With Joshua Palmer having contributed four catches for 53 yards in his own right and unquestionably having gained plenty of confidence earlier this season when both Allen and Williams were previously injured, Herbert has a legitimate triple threat at wideout without even factoring in the elite pass-catching skills of Austin Ekeler or the capable work of Gerald Everett.
That bodes especially well for a matchup with a defense that’s surrendered the third-most receptions (187) and third-most receiving yards (2,488) to wideouts, along with an NFL-high 18 touchdowns to the position.
The Titans are shutting down the run at an elite level on the road (NFL-low 60.7 rushing yards per road game allowed), but that funneling of action to the air is likely to bring them plenty of trouble considering Herbert’s skills and embarrassment of riches.
The Titans are going to keep this game close primarily through the exploits of Derrick Henry, who appeared to be well on his way to yet another trampling of the Jaguars’ defense in Week 14 before the game script robbed him of the opportunity.
Henry has another appealing matchup on tap in this game against a Chargers defense that’s given up 147 rushing yards per game and an NFL-high 5.5 RB yards per carry.
Nevertheless, a Bolts secondary that proved capable of stymieing the Dolphins’ passing attack despite the absence of Derwin James (quadriceps) will eventually prove to be the difference in this close, high-scoring game, giving the Chargers a critical home win.
Titans vs Chargers Bet Tips
Here are a few Titans vs Chargers betting trends to consider before making your bets:
- The Titans are 8-5 against the spread, including 5-2 on the road and 6-3 against conference opponents.
- The Chargers are 8-5 against the spread, including 3-3 at home and 6-3 against AFC foes.
- The Over is 5-8 in the Titans’ games, including 3-4 in Tennessee’s road games. The Over is 5-7-1 in the Chargers’ games, including 3-3 in Los Angeles’ home contests.
- The line for this game could conceivably narrow if Treylon Burks, who missed Tennessee’s Week 14 loss to the Jaguars with a concussion, is announced as available.
Titans vs Chargers Best Bets
Over 47 points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
As already detailed, each team’s defense happens to be vulnerable to the opposing offense’s strength, which should lead to a good amount of points eventually being scored. With the Titans likely to encounter success on the ground and the Bolts potentially passing at will, I like the chances of this wager cashing.
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Titans +0.5 2H (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Something will have to give in this game with respect to each team’s second-half tendencies. Both have tended to get outscored by a good margin in the second half - the Titans are averaging the second-fewest points per second half per road game (4.7) while allowing 11.1 in that split, while the Chargers have put up the second-fewest points per second half per home game (6.3) while conceding the fourth-most (13.5) at home.
Assuming the two teams meet somewhere in the middle of their respective extremes, I like Tennessee’s chances of keeping things close to the end, especially with the likelihood Henry progressively softens up Los Angeles’ front seven.
Want to bet on the Chargers? Check out the best U.S. sportsbooks!
Titans vs Chargers Props
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