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Browns vs Ravens Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Nov 8, 2023

While they’ve all played their fair share of ugly games, all four AFC North teams have at least five wins and look poised to represent the division in this year’s playoffs.

Sunday marks one of the first big games of the year regarding playoff positioning, as the Baltimore Ravens can move to 8-2 and potentially send the Cleveland Browns into last place at 5-4. Either team would receive a significant shot in the arm with a victory and likely move up the NFL power rankings.

Browns vs Ravens Odds

NFL odds used for this Cleveland vs Baltimore preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of November 7 at 4 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Ravens (-245) • Browns (+200)
  • Spread: Ravens -6 (-110) • Browns +6 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 37.5 (-108) • Under 37.5 (-112)
  • Implied Score: Ravens 21.75, Browns 15.75

Browns vs Ravens Predictions

Score Pick: Ravens 20, Browns 17

The last time the Ravens and Browns played was about a month ago, in the fourth week of the season. Baltimore entered as a slim 2.5-point favorite in Cleveland, with many experts calling for an outright upset in Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s first NFL start.

Well, it didn’t go well for the Browns in a 28-3 loss. The rookie threw three interceptions, and the team mustered up just 166 yards, but this time, it promises to be a bit different with Deshaun Watson in at quarterback.

Cleveland’s defense played somewhat well in the loss to Baltimore, and I think behind a better offensive attack, it can hang around in a low-scoring game. Still, this should be a Ravens victory.

Browns vs Ravens Best Bets & Props

Browns +6 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Here’s the thing about Cleveland’s Week 4 loss to Baltimore: The team didn’t play all that poorly. The Browns held the best-rushing offense in the league to just four yards per carry, and Lamar Jackson was bottled up with just 27 yards on nine totes.

While Keaton Mitchell stepped in last week and had instant success, 60 of his 138 yards came on one carry, and the rest of his afternoon was rather pedestrian. There are no significant changes up front for the Browns regarding injuries, so I think their performance can be replicated here in Week 10.

Cleveland has been one of the stingiest teams around when it comes to allowing yards to running backs, holding Arizona’s backs to just 10 yards last week and posting the best DVOA against the run this season.

With Watson bringing more life to this offense, the Browns are a strong bet here to cover and our NFL bet of the day.

Under 37.5 (-108)

FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

The only way in for the Browns will be in a low-scoring game, so I don’t mind doubling up and betting the total along with the underdog. The fact is that the Ravens rank third-slowest when it comes to time per play this year, and assuming they control this game with a lead, they should be able to grind the clock by running the ball.

While the Browns are running just 45% of the time, it’s an inarguable fact that they will have much more success on the ground given their modest 18th-place standing in rushing EPA as opposed to their bottom-three designation in dropback EPA. Watson improves the passing attack, but without discernable weapons, I think Cleveland will opt to run at the Ravens here.

This one should be slow and ugly, so grab the under along with the points.

Browns vs Ravens Same-Game Parlay

Browns vs Ravens SGP (+525)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units

  • Browns +6 (-110)
  • Under 37.5 (-112)
  • Over 3.5 Field Goals Made (-115)

We’ve already covered the first two legs, so let’s juice this up with another game prop.

I’m infatuated with special teams here in a game that is sure to feature plenty of big stops. The Ravens haven’t had the best field goal success rate in the league this year, but we can be sure that future Hall-of-Famer Justin Tucker will eventually see his numbers level out a bit as the season wears on and positive regression kicks in.

With the Browns’ stout rushing defense making life difficult on Baltimore, it should stall out on at least two drives, and the Ravens will opt to kick a field goal with one of the most reliable kickers in recent history.

On top of that, the Ravens own the top red zone defense in the league, allowing opponents to convert on touchdowns just 33.3% of the time.

Therefore, I think the Browns will have an equally hard time finishing off drives and opt for a few field goals of their own. This is a sneaky-great prop to add in here.

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