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Browns vs Ravens Predictions & Odds

Posted: Oct 23, 2022Last updated: Oct 23, 2022

The Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens are looking for bounce-back wins after disappointing Week 6 losses.

Cleveland lost by 23 to the New England Patriots and their third-string quarterback at home.

Baltimore lost by four to the New York Giants despite out-gaining the Giants 406 yards to 238 yards.

But which team will earn the victory? Which team will cover the spread?

Read on for our Cleveland vs Baltimore predictions, betting tips, and best bets.

Browns vs Ravens Odds

Baltimore opened as 5.5-point favorites, but the line was quickly steamed up to 6.5. I expect it to stay there until kickoff.

Meanwhile, the Over has taken all the sharp money, steaming up from the opener of 45 to 46.5.

Take a look at the best Browns odds and Ravens odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Browns vs Ravens Implied Totals

Ravens 26.5, Browns 20

Vegas oddsmakers are relatively confident in a Baltimore victory Sunday, predicting the Ravens to win by almost a touchdown in a normal-scoring NFL game.

Browns vs Ravens Pick of the Day

Read more on this Browns vs Ravens bet below.

Browns vs Ravens Prediction

Ravens 17, Browns 14

The Ravens have had a 10-point lead in every game this season, yet have three losses. It’s becoming clear that the Ravens are too reliant on Lamar Jackson, as his brilliance can’t carry the team for a full 60 minutes.

Baltimore has a below-average offensive line and is one of the worst defenses in football via EPA per Play allowed. In addition, the secondary hasn’t been as advertised, while the front seven ranks 24th in the NFL in Football Outsiders’ Rush DVOA allowed.

Baltimore is one of the top offensive teams in the league, as Jackson can slice-and-dice defenses with his arm or leg. But it hasn’t been enough to out-score his defense. The Ravens have also played lackluster situational football — something unbecoming of a John Harbaugh-led football team.

We can’t trust Jacoby Brissett and the Browns to out-duel Jackson and the Ravens, even with Baltimore flailing. However, Cleveland has the perfect combination of an above-average running game and defense to cover a moderately-large spread.

Expect a low-scoring, tight divisional game that the Ravens eventually win.

Falcons vs Bengals Bet Tips

Here are some Browns vs. Ravens betting trends to consider before placing your bets:

  • Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last six games against a team with a losing record.
  • The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven head-to-head matchups.
  • The Under is 6-2 in Baltimore’s last six games.

Browns vs Ravens Best Bets

Under 46.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Divisional matchups generally trend toward the Under. The AFC North sometimes trends even more toward the Under, given the lackluster offenses and top-tier defenses filling the division.

This game doesn’t fit that mold exactly.

However, Cleveland relies on a backup quarterback and a clock-moving, rush-heavy attack, while Baltimore is running into a talented Cleveland defense off a bad week.

The Browns and Ravens stayed Under this in both matchups last year, and we expect more of the same.

Before placing this bet, get the best Browns promo codes.

Browns +6.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

A low-scoring game gives an advantage to the underdog. We especially like the Browns to cover given their top-five ranked rushing attack per Football Outsiders Rush DVOA metric. In addition, Cleveland will control the ball to keep the ball out of Jackson’s hands.

Plus, it’s generally profitable to bet on the divisional road underdog. Divisional road dogs are 100-80-7 ATS since the beginning of the 2019 season.

Before placing this bet, get the best Ravens promo codes.

Author

Tanner McGrath

Tanner McGrath joined The Game Day to cover the NFL but is beginning to branch out in other areas as well. He can write about anything but is especially passionate about Major League Baseball (go Red Sox!) and NCAA Basketball. He’s a McGill University grad and former (Canadian) Division-I alpine ski racer who now spends his time drinking beer and betting home underdogs.

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