Two surprising 2-1 teams will square off when the Chicago Bears face the New York Giants on Sunday.
New York, which is playing its third straight home game, fell to the Dallas Cowboys 23-16 on Monday night for its first loss after a 2-0 start.
The Bears moved over .500 with a 23-20 victory over the Houston Texans on Sunday.
Here’s a look at the Chicago vs New York best bets for Week 4.
Bears vs Giants Odds
New York opened as a 2.5-point favorite, but that ballooned to 3.5 points before settling at three on Wednesday. Unsurprisingly, the Over/Under is low given the teams’ suspect offenses.
Bears vs Giants Implied Totals
Giants 21, Bears 17.5
The Bears are averaging about 17 points per game through three games while the Giants are putting up about 18 per game. Neither team has scored more than 23 in a game.
Bears vs Giants Pick of the Day
Read more on this Bears vs Giants bet below.
Bears vs Giants Prediction
Giants 20, Bears 17
The Giants and Bears are mirror images of each other: bend-but-don’t-break defenses and suspect offenses driven by a solid running games.
Each team has a rookie coach in Brian Daboll (Giants) and Matt Eberflus (Chicago), a young, highly-drafted quarterback in New York’s Daniel Jones and Chicago’s Justin Fields, and dynamic lead backs in Saquon Barkley and David Montgomery. The Bears and Giants are both still trying to figure out who their other offensive playmakers are.
The Giants, however, have a couple distinct advantages. For starters, kicker Graham Gano is a weapon. Gano is 7-of-8 on field goals and a perfect 4-for-4 from 50-plus yards this season, meaning if New York crosses midfield, it is in Gano’s range.
Bears kicker Cairo Santos is 4-for-4 on FGs, but just 4-of-6 on extra points, which could matter in a tight, low-scoring game.
The Giants have a dual-threat running game in Jones and Barkley, and the Bears are tied for the second worst in rushing yards allowed through three weeks (157 per game). The Giants have allowed about 138 rush yards per game, which isn’t much better, but Montgomery is questionable with a leg injury.
New York defensive coordinator Wink Martindale will undoubtedly draw up a game plan to force Fields to beat them. I don’t think Fields can.
Bears vs Giants Bet Tips
- The Under is 12-2-1 in New York’s past 15 games, including its 29-3 loss to the Bears in Week 16 of 2021.
- Fields has the fewest number of passing yards (297) of any QB that has started all his team’s games.
- Jones has the second-most rushing yards (125) of any QB behind only Jalen Hurts of the Eagles.
- Chicago is tied for seventh in the NFL in takeaways (five).
- The Giants have allowed the third-most sacks of any team (13); Chicago has allowed 10 sacks, the sixth-most in the league.
Bears vs Giants Best Bets
Under 38.5 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
The Bears and Giants both have bend-but-don’t break defenses and adept running games, which means there shouldn’t be many big plays or quick-strike scoring drives. That lends itself to the Under, even when it is this low.
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Giants Winning Margin: 1-6 Points (+260) at Caesars
Given the fact I think this is a three-point game in the Giants’ favor, and the spread is listed at three, this seems like a great prop with exceptional odds.
The Giants’ two wins came by a total of four points. Their defense might overwhelm Fields and the Bears offense, especially if Montgomery can’t play, but the more likely outcome is a close, low-scoring game, and this bet lends itself to that.
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