Week 16 NFL Bet Trends
1. The Baltimore Ravens have won nine straight games against NFC opponents.
Don’t look now, but the Baltimore Ravens are suddenly getting hot at the right time. They’ve won three straight games, and their offense has scored 118 points in those contests. This week, they will take on the New York Giants in a game both teams need to win to stay alive in the playoff hunt. That could be bad news for New York as Baltimore has now won nine-straight games against NFC opponents. That isn’t all that surprising, considering their style of offense is unique and challenging to stop. Teams that only see them once every four years aren’t prepared to stop them. And with Baltimore’s defense playing better (outside of their game against Cleveland), they suddenly have the look of a playoff contender in the AFC. Look for the Ravens to win and win easily against the Giants on Sunday.
2. The San Francisco 49ers have failed to cover in six straight games against the Arizona Cardinals.
It’s been a while since the 49ers have played well, as they have now lost six of their last seven games. After making the Super Bowl last season, they have fallen off a cliff, mostly due to injuries. Many were hoping that Nick Mullens would help save the season, he’s failed to impress and is becoming a major liability. In Week 16, the 49ers will play the Arizona Cardinals and they are 3.5 point underdogs on the road. However, that line feels low considering their lack of success recently against the Cardinals. San Francisco has lost nine of their last 11 meetings against Arizona and has now failed to cover the spread in six-straight games against the Cardinals. While Arizona is an improving team, they haven’t been fantastic over the last few years. But somehow, they have the 49ers’ number. Look for that to be the case once again in Week 16. Take Arizona -3.5 right now before that line moves up later in the week.
3. The Las Vegas Raiders have lost seven of their past nine games in December.
For whatever reason, Jon Gruden has struggled to find success in the month of December. This goes back to his days with Tampa Bay as well as his team’s fall off as the season comes to a close. While some wonder if it’s due to weather, the Raiders have played just as poorly indoors this season as they have outside.
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4. The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover in six-straight games.
Without question, the Kansas City Chiefs are the best team in the NFL this season. Does that mean they are a lock to win the Super Bowl? We shall see, but their record against the spread this season isn’t all that impressive (6-7-1). Kansas City has played in multiple close games over the last few weeks and haven’t won by more than six points since Nov. 1, when they played the New York Jets. That means that they have failed to cover the spread in any of those contests in their previous six games. In Week 16, the Chiefs will host the Atlanta Falcons, who have been impossible to figure out this season. Atlanta currently owns the No. 5 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft with a record of 4-10, but they have a positive point differential on the season. They’ve held big leads in several games this season, only to blow them at the end. The Chiefs are double-digit favorites in Week 16, but their recent play suggests they won’t be able to win by more than a touchdown in this game. Given how these two teams have played over the last two months, this might be a “stay away" game.
5. The total has gone Under in five straight games for the Seattle Seahawks.
Earlier in the year, oddsmakers couldn’t make totals high enough in games involving the Seattle Seahawks. With Russell Wilson cooking and the defense giving up points at will, we saw eight straight weeks where at least 50 points were scored in a game featuring the Seahawks. But over the last few weeks, the Seahawks’ offense has really cooled off. If you exclude their Week 15 performance against the Jets, Seattle is averaging under 20 points per game in their last five contests. That has led to the under hitting in five-straight games involving the Seahawks. In Week 16, Seattle will take on the Los Angeles Rams for the NFC West division, essentially. The total for this game is set at 47.5 and you would think the over would hit with ease given how explosive these offenses are on paper. But be mindful that divisional games, especially big ones like this, tend to be lower-scoring contests with both sides usually playing “tighter" than usual. Consider taking the under here with Seattle’s recent scoring woes.