Ravens Patriots Bet Tips for Week 10

Last Updated: Jan 8, 2021

The Baltimore Ravens visit the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on Sunday night at 8:20 p.m. ET. Here are our Ravens Patriots Bet Tips.

All odds and lines from PointsBet, current as of Friday at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Baltimore Ravens (6-2) at New England Patriots (3-5)

Ravens Patriots Bet Tips

Ravens Patriots Odds and Betting Lines

  • Against The Spread: Ravens -7 (-110)/Patriots +7 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Ravens (-331)/Patriots (+255)
  • Total: 43.5 — Over 43.5 (-110)/Under 43.5 (-110)
  • Implied Team Totals: Ravens 25, Patriots 18

While the Ravens have only lost two games this season, they are showing kinks in their armor. They will look to return to their dominant ways on Sunday as they take on a Patriots club coming off of their first win since September 27.

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Ravens Patriots Injury Report

Ravens

  • LB L.J. Fort (finger), Questionable
  • CB Jimmy Smith (ankle), Questionable
  • RB Mark Ingram (ankle), Questionable
  • DL Calais Campbell (calf), Out

Patriots

  • OL Joe Thuney (ankle), Questionable
  • OL Shaq Mason (calf), Questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (chest), Questionable
  • QB Cam Newton (neck), Questionable
  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee), Questionable


Ravens Patriots Players to Watch

Ravens TE Mark Andrews is one of the best young tight ends in the NFL this season. However, following his breakout 2019 campaign, Andrews has not lived up to expectations.

Through eight games, Andrews is 14th in targets (44), 13th in receptions (26), and 15th in yards (297). Andrews’ saving grace, however, is his red-zone usage where he is currently fifth in red-zone targets (10) and third in touchdowns (5).

As we stand, Andrews is on a three-game scoring drought after finding the end zone in three of the first five games of the year. Andrews has also caught fewer than three receptions for 32 yards in that three-game time period.

In his only other career appearance against the Patriots, Andrews caught two balls for 21 yards. That game was last November. Not too long ago. And although the New England defense is no longer elite, they remain a top-end unit, especially versus the tight end.

The Patriots’ defense is in the top three in fewest receptions, yards, and touchdowns allowed to the tight end postion with a 23/294/1 collective stat line in eight games.

Patriots QB Cam Newton is dealing with a neck injury but should be cleared in time to play against Baltimore on Sunday night.

While the Patriots are vastly outmatched by the Ravens, Newton is the difference-maker. When Newtron is on, he plays like he is still in his 20s, and like he is still one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the league.

However, when he is off, the ship will sink… quickly.

Whether it is a lack of weapons — Newton is 29th in supporting cast efficiency — or system, Newton has been off more than he’s been on this year. Newton is in the bottom half/ bottom 10 of the league in most statistical categories as a passer.

If it wasn’t for his rushing floor — Newton is a top-three quarterback in all significant rushing categories for a signal-caller — things could be even worse.

Newton has thrown for fewer than 174 yards in 5-of-7 games, has not thrown a passing touchdown in four games, and has only thrown for two scores overall this season.

If the Patriots are going to be competitive or even think about coming out of Sunday night with a win, Newton must have his best outing of the year.


Ravens Patriots Weather Report

The weather at Gillette Stadium calls for a possibility of light rain at the time of kickoff with a 55% chance of precipitation.

The temperature is forecast for 55 degrees Fahrenheit with 14 mph winds blowing South.


Ravens Patriots Bet Tips

BEST BET: Ravens -7 (-110)

Although this game is being played in New England, I expect Baltimore to win this game handily. The Ravens vastly out-match the Patriots and should dominate this football game, which bodes well for the spread.

Baltimore is 4-4 against the spread this season, 5-5 ATS in their past 10 games, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 19.

Meanwhile, the Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their past five games and 3-5 ATS this season overall, matching their straight-up record.

The Ravens dominated the Patriots 37-20 in last November’s meeting in Baltimore.

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CONSIDER: Under 43.5 (-110)

The Ravens employ one of the most stingy defenses in the league while the Patriots field one of the league’s most-feeble offenses. This game has Under, written all over it.

Baltimore is averaging the eighth-most points per game (28.4) in the NFL this season while surrendering the fewest PPG (17.8) PPG.

New England is averaging the fifth-fewest PPG (20.8) this season while allowing the 12th-fewest PPG (24.2).

While the Under is 1-4 in the past four meetings between New England and Baltimore, this is no longer Tom Brady’s Patriots. Putting points on the board have been hard to come by for Cam Newton’s Pats.

The Under is 6-4 in Baltimore’s last 10 games and 5-3 in eight games in 2020.

PASS: Patriots (+255)

All the Patriots have left from their 20-year run is Bill Belichick. And while many believed Belichick and Cam Newton would be enough to keep the Patriots afloat this season, that has been far from the case.

The Patriots had a hard enough time getting passed the Jets last week. Now, they get the Ravens who even at their worst, should still walk out of Sunday night with a win. I am punting the Patriots’ Moneyline this week.

Anthony Cervino is 17-14-1 on his NFL Best Bets in 2020.

Prepare Week 10 betting tips and plan

Author

Anthony Cervino

Anthony Cervino is an NFL Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day. He is also a lifelong NFL savant and self-proclaimed league historian. In the industry, Anthony has excelled in both the fantasy football and sports betting space with fantasy his proverbial bread and butter. Anthony has made appearances on SiriusXM, amongst other publications. He is also the co-creator of the FF Faceoff (Faceoff Sports Network) and the FF Faceoff Mental Health Podathon partnered with the Hayden Hurst Foundation. Industry Clout: 15th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for both draft and in-season accuracy (2019) | 8th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for sleepers (2020) | 13th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for in-season accuracy, including 2nd at quarterback and 3rd at tight end (2021).

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