Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today 6/10/21. All odds for June 10 MLB bet picks were obtained from BetMGM, which offers new players a Risk-Free Bet of up to $600. Click here to sign up, claim this welcome promotion, and place 2021 MLB bets.
Yesterday was no fun. They say when you put the ball in play, good things happen. That wasn’t the case for the Diamondbacks, though, who struck out just five times all game and had only two hits and no runs. Apparently, Arizona forgot that putting the ball in play isn’t enough; you also need to hit ’em where they ain’t.
As always, you can find my bets — including any late additions to the card — on my Twitter page @Jason_Radowitz. Now, here are some tips for my Best Baseball Pick Today 6/10/21.
- Overall: 14-11 (+0.84 units)
- Team Totals: 6-6 (+0.15 units)
- First 5 IP Bets: 4-3-3 (+0.34 units)
- Moneylines: 3-2 (+0.65 units)
- Totals: 1-1 (-0.3 units)
MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 6/10/21
Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)
- Astros @ Red Sox 6/10/21 Game Preview
- Probable Pitchers: RHP Zack Greinke (HOU) vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS)
Astros to win (-115)
Wager: 1.15 units
The Boston Red Sox will send Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound for his second start of the year against the Houston Astros, who clobbered him for six runs on seven hits in 4 2/3 innings the last time they saw him. They’ll also face Rodriguez at Fenway Park, where he’s made just three of his 11 starts this year.
The Astros aren’t the only team that’s been hitting Rodriguez hard lately. Over his last seven starts, the lefty has a 6.94 ERA while allowing batters to hit .342/.394/.527 against him. He’s also given up 50 hits in 35 innings during that stretch, including five home runs.
All that hard contact is a big reason why Rodriguez’s BABIP is so inflated at .369. Both lefties and righties have an average exit velocity over 90 mph against him this year, which explains why his line-drive rate is at a career-high 25.6 percent. Given that the Astros are MLB’s toughest team to strike out this year and have MLB’s best wRC+ (128) against southpaws, he’ll likely give up a lot of hard hits tonight as well.
On the other hand, Zack Greinke has been much more effective recently. He’s gone at least eight innings while allowing only one run in three of his last four starts and will carry a 3.38 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP into tonight’s game. While his strikeout rate is down this year, the 37-year-old has succeeded by limiting hard contact, as his 24.5 percent hard-hit rate is the third-lowest of his career.
Furthermore, the Astros have had Boston’s number this year, going 5-1 against the Red Sox and outscoring them 34-13. After embarrassing Boston with a pair of blowout wins in the first two games of this series, Houston will be going for the sweep tonight. Considering that the Astros have won eight of their last 10 games, I see them breaking out the brooms.