Final Super Bowl 55 Lines, Odds & Money Movement

Last Updated: Feb 7, 2021

Final Super Bowl 55 Lines, Odds & Money Movement: Here are Super Bowl 55 Betting Notes from PointsBet.

Final Super Bowl 55 Lines, Odds & Money Movement at PointsBet

Spread

  • After Kansas City initially opened as 3.5-point favorites (-105), we saw a quick dip to the key number of KC -3 on Monday, where the line has remained since
      • Significantly more action on the Chiefs side, as we’ve seen all week. Since this morning there’s been some more action on Kansas City. Currently, 77% of spread bets and 90% of spread handle is on the Chiefs to repeat as Super Bowl Champions.

Total

    • The total opened Sunday night at 57.5 (-115/-105) – we then saw a dip to 56, where it has held steady all week until a drop to 55.5 this afternoon (sharps on the UNDER today)
      • Since this morning, we have seen another bump in interest for the UNDER throughout the week, now with just 65% of bets and 66% of money wagered on the OVER

Moneyline

    • On the ML, we opened at KC -186 and TB +155. Since the initial dip with the spread falling to 3 from 3.5, we saw ML adjust to KC -170 and TB +145 and held there for several days. This morning we saw another small adjustment on moneyline to KC -160 and TB +130.
      • Unlike the spread, moneyline bettors are liking Tampa Bay, with 56% of bets and 57% of the handle on the Buccaneers to win outright.

Best Result for Book

    • In an ideal world, the Kansas City Chiefs win by 1 to 2 points in a low-scoring affair
    • As far as futures go, both teams are a manageable loss for the book, and Super Bowl handle greatly outweighs futures liability
    • Some props that can really hurt us include Tom Brady OVER 0.5 rushing yards (+150), Tom Brady to win MVP (+200), Mike Evans to score the first TD (+1050) , and Tyreek Hill OVER receiving yards (opened at 91.5 and was bet up to 93.5 [-115]) – significant liabilities for the book on the aforementioned

Sharp Action/Notable Line Movements

  • Over 7.5 players to have a rushing attempt (from -165 out to -200)
  • KC/TB Half time/Full time result (bet at +900 now into +700)
  • Patrick Mahomes UNDER 73.5 1st quarter passing yards (-115 to -130)
  • Longest Punt OVER 56.5 Yards (Bet at +100, now at -115)
  • Longest Successful FG Distance UNDER 47.5 (Bet at -115, now at -130)
  • Tampa Bay Total Field Goal Attempts OVER 0.5 (Bet at -130, now out to -150)
  • Ryan Succop To Miss A Field Goal (Bet at +500, now at +400)
  • Shortest Field Goal Distance UNDER 27.5 (Bet at -115, now at -130)
      • Mecole Hardman OVER 25.5 receiving yards (Now up to 28.5)
  • No player to have 100+ rushing yards (Sharp action bet this into -500 from an opener of -400)
  • Tom Brady Rushing yards OVER .5 (into +150 from an opener of +175)

Notable Bets

    • On Tuesday, we had a client wager $10,000 that the opening kickoff would not be returned for a TD. Would win $200.
    • On Monday, a client wagered $75,000 on KC -3 (-120). Would win $62,500.
    • Late last week, we took a $2,500 bet on heads (-102 odds). Would win $2,450.98.

National Anthem

    • While not approved in the States, the PointsBet Australia team is allowed to offer a straight O/U on the National Anthem. Market consensus was O/U 118.5 seconds. Following Friday’s leaked recording, which timed up to 135 seconds, we – like other books – were very quick to pull the offering, but did see a flurry of action on the OVER in the short period it was still available.

Miscellaneous

    • A lot of movement today on our Gatorade bath prop – Yellow/Green (+400) remains the most bet color, taking 23%. Red (+225) sits in second, taking 21% of bets.
    • Shaquil Barrett continues to be a big liability for MVP. He currently sits as the fifth-most bet player (10% of bet count) to win MVP, and sits at +4000 odds (down from +6600).

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