Cleveland Browns (9-4) at New York Giants (5-8)
Browns-Giants Bet Tips
Odds & Betting Lines for Browns-Giants Picks
- Against The Spread: Browns -5 (-112)/Giants +5 (-109)
- Moneyline: Browns (-215)/Giants (+185)
- Total: 44 — Over 44 (-114)/Under 44 (-107)
- Implied Team Totals: Browns 24.5, Giants 19.5
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Browns-Giants Key Injuries
BrownsBrowns TE Austin Hooper missed last week’s loss to the Ravens with a neck injury. However, even if Hooper was active, I don’t think it would have made a difference. The high-priced free agent has made a minimal impact for Cleveland’s offense as a pass-catcher, tracking some of his lowest statistical totals since 2017. Last week against the Ravens, David Njoku and Harrison Bryant combined for six receptions and 63 yards on 10 targets with Hooper sidelined.
GiantsGiants QB Daniel Jones is in danger of missing Sunday night’s tilt with the Browns. Despite returning from a hamstring injury in last week’s loss to the Cardinals, Jones was not quite himself. In addition to his hamstring injury, Jones is also dealing with an ankle, likely suffered in Week 14, in a game he was ultimately pulled out of in the fourth quarter. If Jones misses his second game in three weeks, Colt McCoy will draw his second start in as many outings as well. McCoy is 1-0 as the Giants’ starter this season, beating the Seahawks on the road in Week 13. A significant impact will happen on the defensive side, too, now that lockdown cornerback James Bradberry was placed on the COVID-19 list and will miss Week 15.
Browns-Giants Players to Watch
Browns WR Jarvis Landry has really begun to emerge, really for the first time all season in his past three games. Since Week 12, Landry has 9+ targets, 6+ receptions, and 52+ yards in all three games. He also has two touchdowns, which he scored in back-to-back games in Week 12 and 13. While the Giants have a terrific defense, they have holes in their secondary that will be exacerbated by the absence of Bradberry. The Giants are allowing the 16th-most passing yards per game (241.5). Giants TE Evan Engram must step up if the Giants are going to have a chance to knock off the Browns, likely without Daniel Jones. The Browns are allowing the second-most receptions (74), the sixth-most yards (767), and the third-most touchdowns (9) to the tight end postion in 2020. This is a prime matchup for the athletic Engram to exploit no matter who is under center. Engram isn’t having the greatest season compared to some of the league’s elite, but for the first time in his career, he has managed to remain healthy. The last time Engram played in 13 games was 2017, his rookie year in which he appeared in 15. While Engram already has his most targets (88), receptions (50), and yards (526) since 2017, he only has two touchdowns this season. Engram’s fewest touchdowns scored in a single season was three, accomplishing that feat in eight and 11 games in each of his past two seasons.
Browns-Giants Weather Report
The weather at MetLife Stadium calls for an overcast evening with a 5% chance of precipitation. The temperature is set at 32 degrees Fahrenheit with 3 mph winds blowing Southwest.
Browns-Giants Picks & Best Bet
BEST BET: Under 44 (-107)Since Daniel Jones (ankle, hamstring) is unlikely to play, the Giants will start Colt McCoy at quarterback, which does not bode well for points. The Giants have scored fewer than 19 points in each of their past three games, seeing a mixture of Jones and McCoy in those matchups outside of Week 13 in which the regular QB1 was inactive. While the Giants’ strength is their defense, allowing the 10th-fewest points per game (22.4), the Browns’ force is their offense, averaging the 13th most PPG (26.8). The Under is 6-4 in the Browns’ past 10 games, but 3-3 in their past six, hitting the over in three straight. The Under is 8-2 in the Giants’ past 10 games, hitting in five stright. The Under is 3-1 in the Giants’ past four home games, hitting in two stright.
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CONSIDER: Browns (-215)I don’t love Moneyline odds over (-200), but this is the safer way to go versus taking the Browns giving the five points. While Colt McCoy managed the Giants to a road victory over the Seahawks in Week 13, he has been pedestrian in all of his time playing in lieu of Daniel Jones. While I do expect the Browns to win this game straight up, I can see them winning in a blowout or on a last-second field goal. The Browns are 4-1 straight up in their past five games, losing last week to Baltimore. The Giants are 4-1 SU in their past five games, losing last week to Arizona. With a disruptive force like Myles Garrett manacing McCoy all night, the Browns will win this game outright one way or another. This is a terrific opportunity for the Cleveland defense to shine. And considering the circumstance, they should if they are for real.
PASS: Browns -5 (-112)I am passing on Cleveland giving the five points. As I said above, I do not trust this matchup as it can go either way in terms of how much or how little the Browns will win by. The Browns are 2-6 against the spread in their past eight games, covering in two of their past four. The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their past seven games, failing to cover last week. Anthony Cervino is 48-40-1 on his NFL Best Bets in 2020.
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