The Indianapolis Colts proved to be one of the more competitive teams in the AFC last season. They’ll have a new quarterback and offensive coordinator in 2021, but they are still looking to improve upon what they built in 2020. The Game Day is here to preview some of the best Colts prop bets for 2021.
Colts Prop Bets 2021: Best Indianapolis Odds + Betting Picks
Colts Prop Bets 2021: Team Bet Picks
Over 9.5 Wins (-150)
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The Colts were an 11-win team last season, and the NFL has added an additional game to the schedule since then. While the non-divisional schedule doesn’t do them any favors, the AFC South is weak enough to get them to 10 wins.
Indianapolis should get four or five wins within their division alone. They also have a solid chance or greater to defeat the New England Patriots, New York Jets, Seattle Seahawks, Las Vegas Raiders and Miami Dolphins. The Colts would need to find one or two wins in their matchups against the Los Angeles Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Arizona Cardinals, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills or San Francisco 49ers for this bet to hit.
To Make the Playoffs (-160)
The Colts and the Tennessee Titans currently have equal odds to win the division. While I would lean towards the Colts to take it anyways, they should be strong enough to grab a Wild Card spot regardless. This is one of the best defenses in the NFL, and Indianapolis won 11 games with Philip Rivers last season. While they may lack star power on offense, they have enough depth to beat anyone.
Exact Wins: 10 (+450)
We discussed above that the Colts should go over 9.5 wins for the season. That seems to be a bet you can place with confidence, so sprinkling a little on the exact wins is also worth it due to the payout. There may be some hiccups early in the season given the change at quarterback and offensive coordinator, however, the division just isn’t up to par, Indy’s defense is elite and Carson Wentz finds himself underrated. Look for them to go just over their projected win total with a strong second half.
Colts Prop Bets 2021: Player Bet Picks
Carson Wentz Passing Yards: Over 3,850.5 (-115)
This passing prop for Wentz is obnoxiously low. While he was bad last season in Philadelphia, he passed for 4,039 yards the year prior. Rivers passed for 4,169 yards in this same offense last season, and with the extra game added to this year’s schedule, Wentz should be able to do the same. He’s averaged 247.2 passing yards per game for his career. Keeping this pace, it would put him well over 4,000 yards in 17 games this season.
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards: Over 1,275.5 (-115)
We saw Jonathan Taylor get hot down the stretch of his rookie season. If we take away his final game, though — a 253-yard outlier — he was still averaging 97.6 rushing yards in the five games prior. Obviously, this pace would crush his rushing prop. Even if he splits some carries with Marlon Mack, Taylor should still see a large enough workload to replicate numbers similar to the end of last season.
Jonathan Taylor Rushing TDs: Over 11 (+100)
Taylor finished with exactly 11 rushing touchdowns last season. Over his final five weeks, Taylor saw a total of 20 red zone carries, which resulted in five touchdowns. He should continue to see the bulk of the red zone work, especially if there is any worry about Wentz turning the ball over. So, this should easily lead to an increase of rushing touchdowns this season, especially with an extra game to do it.
Darius Leonard Tackles: Under 152.5 (-115)
While Darius Leonard is one of the best young linebackers in the game, we are going to bet against him here. The issue is that there is a far greater chance he plays less than 17 games than there is he plays a full season, and there are several reasons for that. As a linebacker that loves contact, there’s reason to believe he’ll miss at least a game or two this season. So, this bet is more about projecting him at over/under 15.5 games played, and I would take the under, since he has never played 16.
