Here’s our report on 2021 Marlins Win Total Bet: How Many Games Miami Will Win, complete with a 2021 Marlins Wins Over/Under. The Game Day takes a dive into offseason acquisitions and losses to determine potentially profitable win total betting odds.
- Marlins Win Total Over/Under odds and lines courtesy of UniBet current as of 2/25/2021 at 11:30 p.m. ET.
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2021 Marlins Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will Miami Win?
2021 Marlins Wins Over/Under
- Over 70.5 wins (-134)
- Under 70.5 wins (+105)
The fact the 2020 MLB season and postseason were eventually pulled off defied logic and conventional wisdom in many ways, so it’s fitting that one of the teams that made it within striking distance of the World Series, the Marlins, owned an NL-worst 57-105 record just a year earlier.
Given the unusual context surrounding the season, it’s therefore also not surprising Miami made it as far as it did despite finishing the regular season two games above .500 and with an ugly -41 run differential that was only better than the non-contending Pirates and Rockies in the NL.
The overarching question looming over the 2021 Marlins is fairly straightforward: Can this team, essentially unchanged from last season in terms of major pieces, somehow pull off another smoke-and-mirrors act over a sample size of games nearly three times as much as 2020’s?
Even if the club’s young and undeniably talented pitching staff is able to shine once again, it will be an exceedingly tall task if Miami’s popgun offense doesn’t see a marked improvement over last year.
The Marlins finished the regular season with a pedestrian .244/.319/.384 line and just 60 home runs, the fourth-lowest figure in all of baseball. Miami’s 82 doubles also ranked in the bottom 10, as did their five triples and .703 OPS.
Having Starling Marte for a full season would be the one major upgrade offensively over last season, as the veteran outfielder didn’t join the club until the trade deadline and then missed the NLDS loss to the Braves with a fractured hand suffered in the Wild Card Series win over the Cubs.
The remaining bats in the projected starting lineup – which includes the likes of holdovers Corey Dickerson, Brian Anderson, Adam Duvall and Jesus Aguilar – ostensibly have the talent to outperform last season’s generally anemic collective numbers, but it’s also possible a full season exacerbates some of their deficiencies. Moreover, the club appears to have some serious depth issues that could bubble to the surface if/when injuries strike.
The projected top four members of the rotation — Sandy Alcantara, Sixto Sanchez, Pablo Lopez and Elieser Hernandez – now have some skins on the wall after an impressive collective body of work in 2020. With all those arms long on talent but also inexperience to an extent, their ability to extrapolate their performances over a full-length campaign will be one of the more intriguing aspects of this team to track.
2021 Marlins Win Total Wager: Under 70.5 wins (+105)
The Marlins got away with a general lack of depth and some crooked numbers during the shortened 2020 campaign, with the team arguably about a 65-to-68-win squad had it been a season of normal length. Playing in a loaded NL East that includes what could be two of baseball’s best teams in the Braves and Mets is a formidable challenge, and the Phillies and Nationals won’t necessarily be a picnic either.
Given Miami’s youth and tough schedule, I’m in the camp of Don Mattingly’s squad taking a step back and coming in under 70.5 wins, an appealing flyer on UniBet at plus money.
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