Week 8 of the college football season was a complete disaster for us in this space, but sometimes that’s how it goes in sports betting.
The disaster was losing $135 during Week 8, but we have another opportunity this week to add to our bankroll, and Week 9 should be a good week for doing just that.
There are three parlay options for you to consider for Week 9. Each parlay card, including our Same Game Parlay selection, is wagered differently based on the odds available and the likelihood of the parlay hitting.
Best CFB Parlay This Week
We’ve lost our Best CFB Parlay for two consecutive weeks on home favorites that couldn’t seal the deal. This portion of the weekly column is still profitable, and we hope to right the ship with a big winning Saturday.
This week, we’ll look at three CFB totals with -110 odds that will pay out $601 plus the $100 stake. Let’s have ourselves a day.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Best Parlay Record: 5-3 (+$361.91)
CFB Week 9 Parlay (+601)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
- New Mexico @ Nevada Under 49.5 (-110)
- Oregon @ Utah Under 48 (-210)
- Indiana @ Penn State Over 46.5 (-110)
New Mexico and Nevada usually play tight contests, and the Under is 6-1 over their last seven meetings. It’s going to be a typical October night in Reno - cold with some wind, which won’t help a miserable Reno-scoring offense find the endzone.
The Oregon and Utah defenses should take center stage in this one. Their last three meetings between these schools have all ended Under the bookmakers’ total, and I expect this to be a ferocious battle as the losing team will be eliminated from FBS Playoff consideration.
Four of their last five meetings have gone Over the oddsmakers’ total, and I expect Saturday’s Indiana vs Penn State matchup to continue this trend. Penn State could exceed this total on its own, but Indiana will likely score a couple of TDs and send this game Over the total.
CFB Week 9 Long Shot Parlay Bet
We missed our CFB Week 8 Long Shot Parlay bet and the $25 stake. That was disappointing, but I overreacted to the weather forecast, which was a big mistake.
For our CFB Week 9 Long Shot Parlay, we will do something we should never do: lay big points on a parlay. We’re laying big numbers on the Ohio State game but getting points on the other three legs, and this one would pay $338 for a $25 wager.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Long Shot Parlay 2023 Record: 2-7 (+$145.28)
CFB Week 8 Long Shot Parlay (+1252)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
- UNLV +7.5 (-112)
- Coastal Carolina +4 (-110)
- Utah +6.5 (-110)
- Ohio State -14.5 (-108)
UNLV is 6-1 ATS against a Fresno State side with a 3-4 ATS record. Bulldogs QB Mikey Keene missed last week, and his status is up in the air. The Rebels are 3-0 ATS as the underdog and 2-1 straight up on the road.
Coastal Carolina is 5-2 ATS this season and meets a Marshall team with a 2-5 ATS record and a losing away record. Marshall may win, but +4 is too many points here.
DraftKings opened Utah as a -1.5 favorite, and that number has been bet to Utah +6.5. Pinny opened Utah +6.5, and their number hasn’t budged. I usually don’t like to get +6.5, but I believe the Utes defense is going to make a play or two, and Utah could win this one straight-up.
Ohio State should beat Wisconsin by three TDs. The offense is finding its way, and the Buckeyes defense seems to be legit and is No. 3 nationally in points allowed. That group should get enough stops to cover the spread against a mediocre Badgers offense.
CFB Week 9 Same Game Parlay Pick
We missed our CFB Week 8 Same Game Parlay Pick last week, costing us $10. However, we still have a positive ROI, and our CFB Week 8 Same Game Parlay Pick will be from Saturday’s Big Ten matchup between Indiana and Penn State.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Same Game Parlay Pick 2023 Record: 2-7 (+65.90).
CFB Week 9 SGP (+315)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.10 Units
- Over 46 (-110)
- Indiana Over 6.5 (-130)
- Penn State Over 38.5 (-110)
This SGP correlates nicely and feeds off our Best Parlay pick of this game, going Over the total.
Penn State averages nearly 40 points per game. The Indiana defense won’t be able to handle that, and the Nittany Lions will lay a big number on Indiana.
The Hoosiers offense seems to move the ball behind dual-threat frosh QB Brendan Sorsby, and Indiana has scored at least one TD in each of its last six contests. The Penn State defense has pitched two shutouts this season but does allow 9.7 per game, and the Hoosiers will score at least a TD.