Week 6 of the college football season was another profitable one for this weekly column. We hit our Best CFB Parlay for a return of $212.44 but missed the other two for a -$35.
That leaves us with a Week 6 profit of $177.44.
Week 7 has four contests involving nationally ranked opponents, but we will avoid the flashy matchups and hopefully continue our winning ways.
There are three parlay options for you to consider for Week 7. Each parlay card is wagered differently based on the odds available and the likelihood of the parlay hitting.
Best CFB Parlay This Week
All three legs of our Week 6 Best CFB Parlay landed last week for $212.44, but we ended up on the wrong side of the numbers with -1.7% CLV.
Saturday’s Best CFB Parlay will feature three home teams facing teams that likely won’t cover the spread but should win their Saturday home conference matchups.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Best Parlay Record: 5-2 (+$561.91)
CFB Week 7 Parlay (+219)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
- James Madison (-230)
- South Florida (-135)
- Wisconsin (-360)
James Madison is 5-0 this season but 3-2-0 ATS and we look for the Dukes to dominate both trenches and win a tough battle at home. James Madison has hit the Moneyline in their last four home games (+4.25 Units / 64% ROI) and last eight overall and is a good bet to do so again.
South Florida has a bigger offense than FAU and will outscore the Owls in a battle between two schools that don’t play much defense. Florida Atlantic has only hit the Moneyline in one of their last five away games (-4.55 Units / -38% ROI), and I see this trend continuing Saturday.
Wisconsin, playing at home in the Big Ten against a banged-up Iowa offense, is starting a reserve QB at Wisconsin. The Badgers have hit the Moneyline in five of their last six games at home (+3.45 Units / 8% ROI), and I like them to beat Iowa on Saturday.
CFB Week 7 Long Shot Parlay Bet
We missed our Week 6 Long Shot parlay by two legs but did gain 1.7% CLV. I have three double-digit home favorites, and if all three legs land, pay $172.46 plus the $25 stake.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Long Shot Parlay 2023 Record: 1-6 (-$2.18)
CFB Week 7 Long Shot Parlay (+589)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
- Ohio State -19 (-112)
- Florida State -17.5 (-110)
- Utah -13.5 (-110)
Ohio State is 2-3-0 ATS facing a Purdue side that is 2-4-0 ATS this season. The Buckeyes defense has been surprisingly stout with an improving offense, and Purdue won’t score enough to cover the 19 points.
Utah is coming off a bye week and should finally have QB Cam Rising and TE Brant Kuithe. Cal is 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall, and I expect Utah to lay a beating on Cal this Saturday.
Syracuse is 0-6 ATS in their last six conference games, and they are playing No. 4 Florida State with the Seminoles coming off a 22-point home blowout over Virginia Tech.
CFB Week 7 Same Game Parlay Pick
We missed all three legs of our Week 6 Same Game Parlay, and we’ll head back to the drawing board for Week 7 from Saturday’s California at Utah Pac-12 contest.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Same Game Parlay Pick 2023 Record: 1-5 (-0.10).
CFB Week 7 SGP (+460)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.10 Units
- Under 45 (-110)
- Utah 1H -6.5 (-110)
- Utah TDs Over 3.5 (-105)
Utah has one of the best defenses in the country, and I don’t expect Cal to score more than two TDs, and that’s being generous. Utah has hit the Game Total Under in nine of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI), and this one should stay Under the total.
The Utes should score four TDs on a California defense, allowing 32 points per game. The Utah defense will stymie a Cal offense benefitting from playing soft defenses–Saturday, they will see the real thing, and Utah covers the -6.5.
Finally, the Utes offense has been sluggish, but they’ve had an extra week to prepare and get healthier. Cal plays little defense, and I expect Utah to find the end zone four times in this contest.
