Week 10 of the college football season was solid, as we hit one of our Week 10 CFB Parlays for $308.57. The other two parlay cards failed to land, but we are happy with the results and look forward to Week 11 and our three parlay card selections.
Schools seeking conference championships and/or their sixth win to become bowl-eligible should bring additional excitement into Week 11.
Best CFB Parlay This Week
We won our Best CFB Parlay for Week 10 when all four moneyline legs landed. That was a welcome relief after a couple of lousy weeks, and we’re looking forward to this week’s Best CFB Parlay Bet.
There are three parlay options for you to consider for Week 11. Each parlay card, including our same-game parlay selection, is wagered based on the odds available and the likelihood of each parlay card landing.
Our Week 11 selection features three Big Ten away favorites. Except for the juicy Michigan ML market, I also plan on playing Maryland and Rutgers individually.
We’ll call it our Big Ten Away Parlay and bet the usual $100 on this three-leg card.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Best Parlay Record: 6-5 (+$570.48)
CFB Week 11 Parlay (+425)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
- Michigan (-192)
- Maryland (-130)
- Rutgers (-105)
The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines should beat the Penn State Nittany Lions in Happy Valley.
The Wolverines have the top-scoring defense in the country, with Penn State ranked third. The Nittany Lions struggled offensively against the Ohio State Buckeyes, and Michigan has scored at least 31 points per game and average 40.1.
The Maryland Terrapins are a short away favorite, hoping to avoid a four-game losing streak. The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 4-1 at home but lost to the Michigan State Spartans in East Lansing and have played a weaker home schedule.
Both teams secure bowl eligibility with a victory, and I expect a decisive Maryland victory against an overrated Cornhusker defense.
Finally, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights boast one of the top defenses nationally with a good enough offense to outscore a lousy Iowa Hawkeyes offense. The Scarlet Knights offense can be sneaky good, and I expect them to exit Ames, Iowa, with a victory.
CFB Week 11 Long Shot Parlay Bet
We missed our CFB Week 10 Long Shot Parlay bet and the $25 stake when three of the four Unders failed to land. I’m beginning to believe the Under is dead in college football, but the longtime bettor in me still loves the Under.
Week 11 has an underdog feel to it, and we have three dawgs that hopefully will land for us. We’ll bet $25 on our Week 11 Long Shot Parlay Bet.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Long Shot Parlay 2023 Record: 2-9 (+$95.28)
CFB Week 11 Long Shot Parlay (+868)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
- Texas Tech (+154)
- Minnesota (-105)
- Coastal Carolina (-105)
The No. 21 Kansas Jayhawks are a short favorite at home, but the Texas Tech Red Raiders have the better defense, and Red Raiders sophomore QB Behren Morton could have a field day against a below-average Jayhawks secondary.
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have a great home matchup against a Texas State group that is 2-2 as the away team. The Chanticleers have a strong defense and will find a way to slow down Bobcats QB T.J. Finley enough to win this game at home.
Both the Minnesota Golden Gophers and Purdue Boilermakers struggle to score the football. The Golden Gophers boast the 50th-best scoring defense and will flex those defensive muscles against a mediocre Purdue offense.
Minnesota frosh RB running back Darius Taylor has scampered for 100+ in three of his last four and should eat against a Boilermakers defense having difficulties stopping the rush.
CFB Week 11 Same-Game Parlay Pick
We missed our CFB Week 10 Same-Game Parlay Pick when Michigan could not cover the spread. We’re still profitable, and hopefully, this week will right the ship and find us in the winning circle.
We’ll use Saturday afternoon’s ACC conference matchup between the Miami Hurricanes and No. 4 Florida State Seminoles for our CFB Week 11 Same-Game Parlay Pick.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Same-Game Parlay Pick 2023 Record: 2-9 (+$45.90)
CFB Week 11 Miami FL vs Florida State (+288)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.1 Units
- FSU -14 (-112)
- Over 50.5 (-110)
Rivalry games are fun, and this one should be good on Saturday. Florida State is certainly two TDs better than Miami, and I like that play; you should also play as a single wager. The Seminoles are 4-1 ATS at home and have covered in three of their last five matchups with the Hurricanes.
While 50.5 is a big number, this game will exceed the bookmakers’ total. The Over is the soundtrack to both schools’ seasons, as each group has above .500 Over/Under records this season.