The Texas A&M Aggies will take on the Penn State Nittany Lions in the bottom portion of the Midwest bracket.
The Aggies were given a No. 7 seed due to their poor scheduling in the non-conference slate. Still, Texas A&M reached the SEC Final against Alabama and still looks like the second-best team in the SEC heading into the NCAA Tournament.
On the other hand, Penn State was on the cusp of even making the tournament a couple of weeks ago. But a strong rally in March helped the Nittany Lions earn a No. 10 seed this season.
The Aggies and Nittany Lions both reached their conference championship games. Neither team won, but both have already shown the ability to win multiple games in a tournament this season.
Read on for my Texas A&M vs Penn State prediction.
Texas A&M vs Penn State Odds
Note: CBB odds mentioned in this article for Texas A&M vs Penn State were used from DraftKings Sportsbook unless otherwise noted, and are current as of Monday, March 13, at 4 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Texas A&M (-150) | Penn State (+130)
- Spread: Texas A&M -3 (-110) | Penn State +3 (-110)
- Total: Over 134.5 (-110) | Under 134.5 (-110)
Texas A&M vs Penn State Pick of the Day
Keep reading for more Texas A&M vs Penn State betting tips.
Texas A&M vs Penn State Prediction
Texas A&M 75, Penn State 68
The Aggies don’t shoot it nearly as well as the Nittany Lions. But they have earned 36.6% of offensive rebounds and get to the line at a ridiculous rate this year.
The Aggies have nailed nearly 76% of foul shots and should at least get shots up, knowing that Penn State doesn’t earn many turnovers on the defensive end.
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Texas A&M vs Penn State Best Bets
Texas A&M (-150) | DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Both teams are coming into this game hot, but the Big Ten didn’t excite me as much as the SEC did this year.
The Aggies went 15-3 in regular-season conference play and then won multiple games to get into the SEC Championship. Texas A&M rallied to beat Alabama and have wins against Tennessee, Arkansas, and Auburn.
Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions don’t have any notable wins. They got hot at the right time but can’t live on the edge forever.
Penn State won eight of their last 10 games, but six of those wins were won by four points.
Over 134.5 Total Points (-110) | DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 unit
Penn State can score at a rapid pace. The offense has shot an effective field goal percentage of 55.5%, the 13th-best in college basketball.
The Nittany Lions have also turned the ball over 13.7% of the time while hitting 38.5% from downtown this season.
Penn State is also excellent inside the arc, nailing 53.5% of baskets and shooting nearly 74% from the foul line.
On the other hand, Texas A&M won’t out-shoot Penn State percentage-wise. But the Aggies should be able to earn more second chances.
The Aggies have hauled in 36.6% of offensive rebounds and also get to the foul line at a very high rate. That’s helpful, especially when they’re shooting about 76% from the foul line this season.
I’ll take the Over in this matchup.
Over 62.5 First-Half Points (-110) | DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 unit
Penn State is the most experienced team in college basketball this year. That doesn’t necessarily mean that the Nittany Lions will win this game, but experience should help them get going offensively early in this game.
Meanwhile, Texas A&M is also very experienced. Penn State doesn’t foul at a high rate, but against the Aggies, that could change.
Texas A&M will likely be super aggressive, especially low on the glass. Some early fouls and disciplined shooting will help these two teams get on track quickly on the offensive end.
Texas A&M vs Penn State Same Game Parlay
Texas A&M vs Penn State SGP (+400) | DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: .25 Units
- Penn State Team Total Over 66.5 (-110)
- Texas A&M Team Total Over 68.5 (-115)
- Texas A&M Moneyline (-155)
As stated above, I’m rolling with the Over in this game. I like both teams to get Over their team total.
The Aggies will come out on top in this matchup when it’s all said and done.