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March Madness Final Four Parlays

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
@FAmmiranteTFJ
Last Updated: Mar 28, 2023

We’re now at the Final Four of March Madness in what’s been one of the wildest tournaments in recent memory, with two 5-seeds, one 4-seed, and one 9-seed making up the remaining teams.

In this article, you’ll find a best bet, longshot, and Same-Game Parlay. The parlays will feature a variety of bet types, including moneylines, point spreads, and more. We’ll need to bounce back in this round because it’s been a challenging tournament.

With that in mind, let’s explore my favorite ticket builds of March Madness parlays for the Final Four this weekend.

Frank Ammirante’s March Madness Betting Record: 18-32-1 (-13.55 units)

Best March Madness Final Four Parlay

All March Madness odds referenced here are current as of 10 a.m. ET on Tuesday, March 28, and are found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

NCAA Tournament Final Four Top Parlay (+122) DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

  • UConn Moneyline (-240) vs Miami
  • San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic: Under 135.5 Total Points (-175)

Final Four SGP

UConn has looked like the strongest team in the tournament, coming off the most impressive win of their run in a blowout victory vs Gonzaga. The Huskies have been led by Adama Sanogo on the interior, along with strong guard play from Jordan Hawkins and Andre Jackson.

Miami continues to defy the odds and overcome their defensive efficiencies, adding Texas to their list of upsets that includes a win against Houston. The Hurricanes have now eliminated the top-two seeds in their region. Jordan Miller led the way against Texas with 27 points.

However, at some point, Miami’s questionable defense (104th per KenPom) has to catch up to them. I’m betting against them once again here, taking the more balanced UConn team (third in offense, 11th in defense). The Huskies just shut down Gonzaga and could do the same vs Miami.

San Diego State continues to scrape and claw through the tournament, led by a tenacious defense that has held three of their four opponents below 60 points. The Aztecs now rank fourth in the nation on defense. They just held Creighton to only 23 points in the second half.

Florida Atlantic is this year’s Cinderella story, shocking the world as a 9-seed to reach the Final Four. The Owls rank in the top 30 on both sides of the floor, so they can beat you in multiple ways. They just took care of Kansas State in a 79-76 high-scoring win.

However, we saw what happened to Florida Atlantic when they went up against an elite defense like Tennessee in Sweet 16. It was a physical game with a low-scoring result, with the Owls prevailing 62-55. Look for a similar result against this stout Aztecs’ defense.

Take UConn on the moneyline and the Under on the alternate total in the Aztecs-Owls game in our CBB bet of the day.


📈 Find more NCAA Tournament futures with our odds comparison tool:


March Madness Final Four Longshot Parlay

NCAA Tournament Final Four Longshot Parlay (+300) DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

  • Florida Atlantic Moneyline (+110) vs San Diego State
  • UConn vs Miami: Under 149 Total Points (-110)

The Owls are live dogs against the Aztecs in this matchup because Florida Atlantic has proven to win when they need to score, knocking off Kansas State 79-76, while also buckling down on defense to defeat Tennessee 62-55. The Owls are the more balanced team here.

Meanwhile, we’ve seen San Diego State struggle on offense at times. The Aztecs shot 37% from the field vs Creighton while getting to the free throw line only six times. They have been held below 60 points in two games during their tourney run.

According to KenPom, Florida Atlantic (17th) is below San Diego State (14th). However, the Owls (24th offense, 29th defense) are more balanced than the Aztecs (75th offense, fourth defense).


Read more NCAA Tournament Final Four betting tips:


This gives the edge to Florida Atlantic. Look for center Vladislav Goldin to make an impact in the paint.

We’ll complete the longshot parlay with the Under in the UConn/Miami game. The main angle here focuses on how dominant UConn has been in their recent wins, particularly vs Gonzaga. The Zags had the No. 1 offense in the country, yet were held to only 54 points vs UConn.

While I understand that Miami’s offense (fifth) can light it up against any competition — just look what they did vs Houston and Texas — I think that the buck stops here for them.

The Under has a strong correlation with my UConn moneyline play because if the Huskies win, they likely locked down on defense.

The other key point worth noting is that we’re getting a high bar here at 149 points. In other words, it’s not like we need this to be a low-scoring game for the Under to hit.

UConn can win this game with a score of 76-72 and we’d still win this wager, which makes it appealing to me.

March Madness Final Four Same Game Parlay

UConn vs Miami Same Game Parlay (+200) DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

  • UConn: Win by 10+ Points (+135)
  • Miami: Under 70.5 Points (+105)

We’ll target the UConn/Miami game for our Same Game Parlay because I really believe that the Huskies have the edge here. They’re 5.5-point favorites, so it’s not like taking them to win by double-digits is asking too much.

I like the value at +135 odds, especially with how we’ve seen them blow out their opponents.

The Under on Miami’s team total at 70.5 points has a strong correlation with this play. If UConn wins in a blowout, there’s a great chance that they were able to keep the Hurricanes’ offense in check.

The Huskies have prevented opponents from scoring 71 or more points in each of their four wins in this tourney.

Look for UConn to control this game and hold Miami below 71 points.

Author

Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

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