March 22 NBA DFS Picks: De’Aaron Fox A Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Sleeper
March 22 NBA DFS Picks on Monkey Knife Fight: Monkey Knife Fight (MKF) combines elements of daily fantasy sports and traditional prop betting to offer a unique array of contests daily for a multitude of sports, including 3/22/21 NBA DFS Plays.
With NBA season in full swing, MKF enhances the enjoyment of the hardwood with exciting opportunities each night to win cash based on your knowledge of some of the league’s top players.
The Game Day breaks down two MKF contests daily that we feel have profit potential. With Monday’s slate featuring plenty of big names, here’s a closer look at some opportunities involving some of the most offensively explosive players in action:
March 22 NBA DFS Picks
Star Shootout (Early Games)
MKF Contest: More or Less (Pick 2/2 correctly to win 3x your Buy-In)
De’Aaron Fox, PG, Sacramento Kings (at Cleveland Cavaliers): More Than 23.5 points
Fox is averaging a career-high 23.7 points per contest and has scored at least 24 in 21 of 41 games thus far. He’s actually accomplished the feat on the road in 13 of those occasions, a sample during which he’s averaged 29.7 points on 50.2 percent shooting. Fox is averaging 25.5 points on 20 shot attempts per road game overall, and the Cavaliers enter Monday’s matchup allowing the second-highest home shooting percentage (47.9) of any team, including the fifth-highest three-point shooting percentage (38.5). With the Kings’ own defensive deficiencies also usually forcing Fox to keep his foot on the gas, I like the idea of him exceeding this benchmark.
Collin Sexton, PG, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. Sacramento Kings): More Than 22.5 points
That said, I think Sexton is in just as good a scenario as Fox on the opposite side of the matchup. The Kings have allowed the third-most points per game (26.4) to point guards, including the most (30.0) per contest over the last 15. Sacramento is also surrendering NBA-high 49.1 percent shooting, including a league-high 39.3 percent from three-point range. Sexton is putting up a career-best 24.2 points per game on 48.0 percent shooting, and he comes in having exceeded the benchmark in three straight and 23 of 37 games overall. He’s also been at his best at home, where he’s averaging 26.3 points per game on 48.4 percent shooting, including a blistering 44.8 percent from three-point range.
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Star Shootout (Late Games)
MKF Contest: More or Less, Fantasy Points (Pick 2/2 correctly to win 3.5x your Buy-In)
MKF NBA Fantasy Points Scoring System:
- Point= +1 point
- Assist= +1.5 points
- Rebound= +1.2 points
- Steal= +3 points
- Block= +3 points
- Turnover= -1 point
Kawhi Leonard, SF, Los Angeles Clippers (vs. Atlanta Hawks): Less Than 45.5 Fantasy Points
The Hawks have been one of the league’s toughest teams against small forwards all season, surrendering the third-fewest MKF points per game (39.1) and the eighth-lowest offensive efficiency (21.6 percent) to the position. Leonard’s fantasy production has also been more subdued of late, as he’s scored under 46 MKF points in five of the last nine games. Leonard has failed to hit the benchmark on 16 occasions overall – including four times at home – and with L.A. a fairly comfortable 6.5-point favorite in this contest and the tough positional matchup, I think there’s a reasonable chance he checks in at least narrowly under it again Monday.
Jayson Tatum, SF, Boston Celtics (at Memphis Grizzlies): More Than 45.5 Fantasy Points
Tatum usually takes on an even heavier workload than usual when Kemba Walker sits out for rest, and that will be the case again Monday. The star wing is averaging 47.6 MKF points per 36 minutes with his teammate off the floor, along with a 33.0 percent usage rate in that circumstance. He’s exceeded the benchmark of 45.5 MKF points in 16 of 37 games overall and put up 45.4 on one other occasion as well, with nine of those instances (including the 45.4) coming in road games. Tatum has been a more productive scorer when traveling overall, averaging 25.8 points (compared to 23.9 at home) on 21.4 shot attempts (compared to 19.4 at TD Garden). Finally, consider Tatum is in a good matchup positionally whether he lines up at small forward or power forward Monday, as Memphis is ranked in the bottom five in offensive efficiency allowed to each position.
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