Here’s our report on 2021 Cardinals Win Total Bet: How Many Games St. Louis Will Win, complete with a 2021 Cardinals Wins Over/Under. The Game Day takes a dive into offseason acquisitions and losses to determine potentially profitable win total betting odds.
- Cardinals Win Total Over/Under odds and lines courtesy of PointsBet current as of 3/18/2021 at 6:00 p.m. ET.
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2021 Cardinals Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will St. Louis Win?
2021 Cardinals Wins Over/Under
- Over 86.5 wins (-110)
- Under 86.5 wins (-110)
The St. Louis Cardinals enter 2021 the favorites to win their division, after placing second in the National League Central in 2020. They finished last season with a 30-28 record, which was three games behind the division-leading Cubs. Since 2009, the Cardinals have finished no worse than third in their division, and they have led the NL Central five times in that time frame. In recent years the division has been competitive, and the Cardinals have worked hard to be able to remain in a good position to win.
The only significant departure from the team during the offseason was second baseman Kolten Wong, who signed with the Brewers. The Cardinals also traded away outfielder Dexter Fowler, but he only played in 31 of the team’s 58 games last season. Wong was above replacement value at second base throughout his career with St. Louis, but the front office believes Tommy Edman is more than ready to take over the position. Wong’s biggest asset was his ability to steal, which Edman also brings to the table.
The Cardinals have not been shy in recent years when it comes to striking big deals for veteran players. They acquired first baseman Paul Goldshmidt in a deal between the 2018 and 2019 seasons. This offseason, they traded for former Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado. Fans should expect Arenado’s home run output and batting average to take a dip in 2021 from what has been expected over his career.
Since Coors Field became Arenado’s home in 2013, it has been the No. 1 hitters park six out of eight seasons. In that same time frame, Busch Stadium in St. Louis has finished above 19th in park factors only once, making it a decidedly more pitcher-friendly park than Arenado’s old home. Even though he may lose 5-10 home runs and may only bat in the .270s after moving from the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field, he will help the Cardinals both offensively and defensively and is still one of the best all-around third basemen in the game.
St. Louis will field a young, talented outfield in 2021 - Harrison Bader, Dylan Carlson and Tyler O’Neill. Bader is known more for his defense than his offense. Expecting double-digit home runs and steals is realistic, but so is a .230 batting average, while Carlson and O’Neill will bring some pop to the offense.
The pitching staff is perhaps the most interesting element of this team, and the Cardinals’ success will hinge on how well their pitching staff performs this season. Jack Flaherty leads the staff, but towards the end of last season and into Spring Training, he has been struggling with command. He walked nearly four batters per nine innings in 2020.
Miles Mikolas returns after missing last season with a torn flexor tendon. He is exceptional at limiting walks but strikes out fewer than seven batters per nine innings. Adam Wainwright had a resurgence in 2020 after four disappointing seasons, but he will turn 40 in August. Carlos Martinez only pitched 20 innings last year and did not look good, and while Kwang Hyun Kim did well in 2020, it was only 39 innings of work. There are a lot of questions surrounding this staff, including if Alex Reyes and Daniel Ponce de Leon will see time in the rotation. Both young starters have shown excellent promise, but Reyes has had trouble staying on the field.
The Cardinals are not short on talented relievers. Jordan Hicks and Giovanni Gallegos will split time at closer. John Gant and Andrew Miller are talented veterans that will contribute as well. St. Louis could also use several starters out of the bullpen to limit their innings, but still keep them loose. Many industry experts think teams will want to limit innings for pitchers after a shortened season.
2021 Cardinals Win Total Wager: Over 86.5 wins (-110)
The Cardinals’ offense will be good, but not spectacular. Both the Cubs and the Brewers should be able to put up similar numbers offensively, but St. Louis has an edge over the rest of the teams in their division at pitching.
Their excellent bullpen and the deep well of starters will help them win over 87 games this year and lead them to another division title.
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