Here’s our report on 2021 Rangers Win Total Bet: How Many Games Texas Will Win, complete with a 2021 Rangers Wins Over/Under. The Game Day takes a dive into offseason acquisitions and losses to determine potentially profitable win total betting odds.
- Rangers Win Total Over/Under odds and lines courtesy of PointsBet current as of 3/16/2021 at 4:00 p.m. ET.
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2021 Rangers Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will Texas Win?
2021 Rangers Wins Over/Under
- Over 67.5 wins (-115)
- Under 67.5 wins (-105)
The Texas Rangers finished 2020 in last place, 16 games under .500, and 14 games behind the division-leading Athletics, but only 7 games separated them and the second-place Houston Astros. Texas has not had a winning record since 2016 when they won the division, and while they are not likely to win the American League West division this season, they should still remain competitive. Perhaps if 2020 had been a full season, things may have turned out better for them. Despite some offseason losses, the Rangers could be better than most people think.
The Rangers allowed former Cy Young winner Corey Kluber to walk in free agency, along with Shin-Soo Choo and Danny Santana. They also traded away reliever Rafael Montero, starting pitcher Lance Lynn and shortstop Elvis Andrus. Lynn may be the biggest loss for them, but as it goes with trades, the Rangers also added several assets.
First baseman Nate Lowe, acquired from the Rays, is off to a slow start in Spring Training, but he’s shown the ability to hit home runs in the minors. He’s shown the ability to hit the ball hard and is a nice 1B/DH option for the Rangers. They also acquired starter Dane Dunning in a deal with the White Sox. Dunning did moderately well in his debut season last year. A 9.2 K/9 and 1.02 HR/9 are promising, but he will have to work on getting his walk rate down. If he can hover around a 4 ERA this season in Texas and improve in some other areas, he could be valuable to them.
In addition to trades, the Rangers made some important additions in free agency as well. They just picked up reliever Ian Kennedy who had a rough 2020, but in 2019 had 30 saves and a mid-3 ERA. They also signed outfielder David Dahl who should finally see significant time in the outfield after being released by Colorado. He has the potential to hit for average and pick up double-digit home runs, while also adding to the defense in left or center field.
While the pitching staff is not much to write home about - a rotation including Kyle Gibson, Kohei Arihara, Kolby Allard, Dane Dunning is not exactly exciting, nor is a bullpen that features Jose Leclerc, Jordan Lyles, and not much else - the positional players on the Rangers will keep the team competitive.
Outfielder Joey Gallo is looking to bounce back after a disappointing 2020 season, even for someone whose career batting average is .208. Many expected him to build off his surprising 2019, but he seemed to be hitting into some bad luck. Most of his plate discipline metrics like his chase rate and swinging-strike rate actually showed a more disciplined hitter last year than in 2019. Rookie outfielder Leody Taveras is expected to blossom this season after playing in 33 games last year. If he can improve the strikeout rate in his sophomore season, it is not unreasonable to expect a .240 average with 10-15 home runs and 15-20 steals.
One of the things that make this team interesting is positional flexibility. Nick Solak, Rougned Odor, Brock Holt and Isiah Kiner-Falefa are all multi-position eligible. Several players could be rotated into the designated hitter position depending on matchups including Khris Davis, Willie Calhoun and Ronald Guzman. The Rangers also have some interesting options at catcher in talented rookies Jonah Heim and Sam Huff. They also currently have three switch-hitters on their depth chart. Though the Rangers do not possess a singular “star" player like Mike Trout or Juan Soto, it is the combination of the players they have, and the ability to match up well against their opponents that will allow them to remain in games despite pitching deficiencies.
2021 Rangers Win Total Wager: Over 67.5 wins (-115)
Even if the Rangers do not win the division, and even if they do not finish with a winning record, 70-plus wins are not out of the question. The Rangers made enough additions and have added enough depth and flexibility to offset the losses from the past offseason.
Although the pitching staff is a concern, the Rangers’ offense should be able to help keep games close, and the -88 run differential from last year should be much improved in 2021. An improved season from Gallo, a season of growth for Taveras and other young players, and the ability to match up well against other teams will push the Texas Rangers over 67.5 wins this season.
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