2021 Mets Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will New York Win?

Here’s our report on 2021 Mets Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will New York Win with 2021 Mets Over/Under wins total odds and lines courtesy of BetMGM, current as of the afternoon of March 3.



2021 Mets Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will New York Win?

2021 Mets Win Total

Over/Under 90.5 wins (BetMGM)

In the last twenty seasons, the New York Mets have only eclipsed 90 wins twice. That being said, new ownership has brought a new attitude and a sense of optimism for the Mets. In an abbreviated season last year, the Mets would finish fourth in the NL East with a 26-34 record. One of the biggest culprits in the Mets’ failures last season would be their failure to capitalize on opportunities. While they finished above the league average with 286 runs scored, among teams with 280 or more runs scored, the Mets had the lowest percentage of runs scored on their hits with 51.9 percent.

Then Mets pitching was also a source of concern as last season they posted a team ERA of 4.98, the ninth highest in the league and the third-mark in team history. As previously mentioned, Steve Cohen has assumed ownership of this struggling franchise and immediately went to work. 

The biggest move offseason for this franchise was acquiring Francisco Lindor from the Cleveland Indians. The two-time gold glove and silver slugger award winner, Lindor will make an immediate impact on both sides of the diamond. While JT Realmuto was on Mets fan’s wishlist, the addition of 2019 All-Star James McCann is also a welcomed upgrade. McCann, much like Lindor, is steady offensively and defensively. Last season, McCann was tied for the fifth-most home runs at his positions and is fifth as well in caught stealing percentage among active players. The bench was also a focus for Sandy Alderson and the Mets as they added Jonathan Villar and Kevin Pillar.

All of these additions should be warmly received by Jacob deGrom. While practically having a residency in the Cy Young conversation and winning just 25 games in the last three seasons, deGrom has long been a victim of run support. While the failure to add Trevor Bauer could loom large this season, behind deGrom in the rotation is the newly acquired Carlos Carrasco and the returning Marcus Stroman.

A Long Island native, Stroman opted out of the 2020 season and will look to finally make good on his trade to the Mets. Since being traded to the Mets in 2019, Stroman has pitched in only 59.2 innings and posted the third-highest ERA of his career. Carrasco, who came with Lindor in the Mets blockbuster trade, had a promising 2020 season. In 12 games pitched for the Indians, Carrasco posted a 2.91 ERA.


2021 Mets Win Total Bet

Over 90.5 wins (-110)

over-under

-110

New York Mets To Win Over 90.5 Games

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The biggest thing that could hurt the Mets this season is closer Edwin Diaz. After recording 57 saves with the Mariners in 2018, Diaz has had 31 saves in two seasons with the Mets and will continue to have his New York reputation tarnished by his 2019 ERA of 5.59. Trevor May was one of the first moves under the Steve Cohen era and will certainly bring stability to the bullpen but if Diaz has trouble closing games, do not be surprised to see the Mets aggressive at the trade deadline for a closer. 

The optimism surrounding the Mets this season is certainly justifiable. Mind you on top of what was previously mentioned, this is a team that also has Pete Alonso, Jeff McNeil and Michael Conforto, all players that landed on the MLB network’s Top-100 list last month. While I believe they fall short of the NL East crown, this is a much more talented roster than the 2019 Mets who won 86 games. That is what you are asking of this team, five more wins than they had in 2019. The Mets always go with the slogan that you gotta believe and in 2021, I’m a believer in betting over. 

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