Illinois vs Purdue Predictions | CBB Pick of the Day

Two of the best college basketball teams in the country will square off tonight in a Big 10 rivalry game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (13) and Purdue Boilermakers (3).

Illinois leads the conference at 10-2, while Purdue is right behind them at 9-3. KenPom projects both teams to finish the season tied for first with 15-5 conference records, which reflects just how evenly matched these two teams are.

As the home team with a superior overall record, the Boilermakers are favored on our CBB gameday odds. Can they take down a tough Fighting Illini team?

Please note that all college basketball odds and lines are current as of 2 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 8.

Illinois vs Purdue Predictions

Illinois has faced a meat-grinder of a schedule this season, but they have yet to be turned into hamburger. Of all 358 teams in the NCAA, the Fighting Illini have played the 15th-toughest schedule.

Illinois has already beaten Michigan State, Wisconsin, and Indiana. After tonight’s game, they will be favored in all seven of their remaining conference games. If they can upset Purdue here, they are likely to win the regular-season conference title.


CBB Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before reading our 2022 college basketball betting tips, you should know that Caesars Sportsbook is one of the best around. Take advantage of Caesars’ outstanding welcome bonus, which matches your first deposit up to $1,500 when you use our promo code GAMEDAYCZR.

Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis for our best college basketball tipster picks.

Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook

  • Intuitive App

  • Plenty of Markets & Bet Types

  • VIP Rewards System

Get up to $1,500 FREE

Risk-Free Bet

GAMEDAY15Get bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.


Unfortunately for Illinois, Purdue is an unforgiving opponent. They have beaten a Villanova team that is likely to go far in the NCAA tournament, along with Ohio State, Michigan, and Iowa (twice).

While the Boilermakers are the better team and have home-court advantage here, their defense can be exploited. Purdue allows 68.7 points per game, which is just 1.1 points better than the NCAAB median and ranks 147th in the country.

Their defensive mediocrity can’t be attributed to tempo, either. Purdue has one of the slowest defensive possession lengths in the nation, ranking 292nd out of 358.

Illinois has the 18th-best offensive efficiency in the country and average 77.1 points per game. I don’t have the stones to take the Illini spread or moneyline, but I believe they’ll push the point total to the Over.

Illinois vs Purdue Prediction: Purdue 80, Illinois 76

Illinois Fighting Illini College Basketball

The potent offense of Illinois should make for a close game against Purdue in tonight’s Big 10 rivalry matchup. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Illinois vs Purdue Best Bets

Best Bet: Illinois Team Total Over 70.5 (-120) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

I see multiple scenarios for tonight’s game where Illinois goes over their team total of only 70.5 points: Illinois surprises Purdue and wins; Illinois keeps the game close and scores a lot of points at the end of the game; or Illinois falls behind, but starts pushing the pace in order to catch up.

For the Boilermakers to hold the Fighting Illini to fewer than 71 points, they must play better defense than usual. That’s a tall order against an explosive Illini offense, which is why I like the Over for my CBB bet of the day.

prop bet

-120

Illinois OVER 70.5 Points @ Purdue

Betway Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $250
Betway Casino Review

Bet $20, Payout $37

Best Bet: Over 146 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 0.5 Units

If Illinois scores 71 points or more, then the Over for the full game total will likely hit as well.

Purdue has the best adjusted offensive efficiency in the country and a bad defense, while Illinois can score. The only thing that can keep this game from going over is that neither team plays an up-tempo style of play.

Despite the slower tempo, I still believe that over 146 points will be scored tonight based on my projected score above.

over-under

-110

Illinois @ Purdue: OVER 146 Points

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,500 Risk-Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,500 FREE

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetRivers Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk Free Bet

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.