2022 NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 18 | Who To Pick In Knockout Pool Week 18

It’s finally Week 18! If you’ve made it this far in your survivor pool, you’ve done extremely well. At this point, you can’t take half of the league, but ultimately, you just need to find one team that will win in Week 18 to win a huge prize.

I’m already eliminated. I’ve been eliminated since Mike White went wild against the Bengals back in the middle of the season. There have been dozens of crazy upsets this year that have forced many players out of their pools.

With an extra week this season, these pools are harder than ever. I’m going to try my best to help you select the best available team for the final week of the Survivor Pool. Best of luck!

All NFL Week 18 odds and lines are current as of 10:00 a.m. ET on Wednesday, January 5.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool Grid Week 18

Road TeamHome TeamOpening LineCurrent LineProb HmTm WProb RdTmWProb HmTmCvProb RdTmCv
Kansas CityDenver-3-100.32780.67220.57550.4245
DallasPhiladelphia-3.5-70.490.510.63250.3675
PittsburghBaltimore+6.5+4.50.62720.37280.50.5
CincinnatiCleveland+1.5+30.44270.55730.39890.6011
Green BayDetroit-11-20.23250.76750.33650.6635
TennesseeHouston-10-10.50.2510.7490.52310.4769
IndianapolisJacksonville-8.5-15.50.17110.82890.53730.4627
ChicagoMinnesota+6+30.63750.36250.5380.462
WashingtonN.Y. Giants-4-70.4680.5320.61910.3809
SeattleArizona+5+6.50.65220.34780.48850.5115
New OrleansAtlanta-3.5-4.50.37170.62830.49860.5014
N.Y. JetsBuffalo+17+170.88950.11050.51990.4801
San FranciscoLA Rams+6.5+40.61360.38640.49940.5006
New EnglandMiami-2.5-6.50.33750.66250.51120.4888
CarolinaTampa Bay+16.5+80.8350.1650.61740.3826
LA ChargersLas Vegas-2.5-30.47760.52240.54550.4545

The above survivor pool grid, created by Todd Beck of “The Prediction Tracker,” uses the average of the top computer ratings in the sports betting industry including computer systems like Sagarin, ESPN FPI, Massey Ratings, Stat Fox, and many, many more.

To read this grid properly, the opening line and current line are based on the road team.

Keep in mind that when this article is posted, current lines can change and probability for teams can also change based on breaking news.

2022 NFL Survivor Pool: Best Picks to Win in Week 18

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Don’t read into the narrative that the Colts can’t win on the road against Jacksonville. These Jaguars are a completely different team than the ones Leonard Fournette and Blake Bortles were part of.

These Jaguars are a two-win team that just got absolutely smacked by the Patriots, giving up 50 points in a blowout loss.

If the Colts want to make the postseason, they’ll really need to win this game against the Jaguars. I expect them to be up to the task, so take on the Colts and enjoy your winnings while they celebrate making the playoffs. It’s a win-win.

We bet against the Jaguars last week with the Patriots and we’ll finish it off with another fade of the Jaguars. The Colts have an 83.89 percent chance of winning against the Jaguars on the road and are a 15.5-point favorite. The Patriots easily covered that same spread last week per our NFL gameday odds.

Betting Pick: Colts -15.5 (-110) at Caesars

spread

-110

Colts Cover -15.5 Spread @ Jaguars

IND @ JAC | 01/09, 1:00 PM ET

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Washington Football Team @ New York Giants

If you’ve already used the Colts and have used most of the projected playoff teams, there’s still one more spot you can roll with.

Why not take Washington over the Giants? I know the Giants are at home, but Joe Judge‘s squad has shown no signs of life throughout the entire season. With Mike Glennon at quarterback, the Giants lost 29-3 to a bad Chicago Bears team and haven’t scored more than 21 points in their last five games.

Washington is pretty banged up as well, but they’ve at least been putting up a fight against competition (outside of that Dallas game). Washington lost to the Eagles 20-16 and had two other losses in their last four games that were by a deficit of 10 or fewer.

The Prediction Tracker has the Football Team winning 53.2 percent of the time. However, I would have to think Washington has a great chance of winning this game.

Betting Pick: Washington -7 (-110) at Caesars

spread

-110

Washington Covers -7 Spread @ Giants

WAS @ NYG | 01/09, 1:00 PM ET

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2022 NFL Survivor Pools: Sleeper Team To Win

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

The Detroit Lions could be without Jared Goff. That’s not fun knowing that Goff could be out for the final game of the season. But there’s a good chance that the Packers sit their best players and elect to roll with Jordan Love at quarterback.

The Lions are only a 2.5-point underdog at home against the Packers, who will more than likely use a quarterback that hasn’t developed as expected.

Meanwhile, Tim Boyle has helped the Lions progress offensively, scoring 29 points last week. There’s reason to think the Lions could sneak out a win to finish the season against a Packers team of backups.

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Chalk Pick That Could Lose

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

Let me set this straight. I don’t think the Texans end up winning this game, but I’d be a bit careful taking the Titans.

Remember earlier this year when the Titans ended up losing to the Texans by nine points? That’ll keep me away from betting the Titans.

Still, the Titans out-gained the Texans by plenty of yards and dominated them throughout the game. The only issue was their five turnovers to the Houston’s zero.

I don’t think the Titans turn the ball over like that in this game, but just be aware that the Texans already knocked them off once this season.

Thanks for reading our Week 18 Survivor Pool Picks! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL bet of the day.

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page