Giants vs Bears Predictions Week 17 | NFL Pick of the Day

The New York Giants will head west to take on the Chicago Bears in a battle between two teams with virtually no playoff aspirations.

The Giants (4-11) got off to a tremendously slow start to the NFL season, but regained some confidence in the middle of the season. They’ve since lost all of it, losing four in a row and five of their last six. This team is in full rebuild mode behind quarterback Daniel Jones, and at this point, are looking forward to the NFL Draft.

The Bears (5-10) are in a similar spot. Like the Giants, they are looking to rebuild around their own young quarterback Justin Fields (for now).

Neither of these teams had any sort of expectations coming into the season, so this outcome makes sense. This game will not be a game you want to watch, but let’s find some value within the odds in this NFL pick of the day series.

All NFL gameday odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook and current as of 1 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 30.


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Giants vs Bears Prediction

As I have mentioned a few times already, neither of these teams are very good. What’s interesting about this matchup, though, is that both of these teams grade out very similarly overall, potentially setting up a slugfest from wire to wire.

The Giants will turn to either Jake Fromm or Mike Glennon in Week 17 with Daniel Jones on IR. The Giants are relatively healthy at the moment, but right tackle Nate Solder (undisclosed) and cornerback Adoree’ Jackson (COVID-19) are currently listed as questionable.

Justin Fields (ankle) is questionable for Week 17 action, too. Backup quarterback Andy Dalton has already been ruled out with hand and groin injuries, so if Fields is unable to go, things could get dicey for Chicago.

Standout receiver Darnell Mooney is also currently listed as questionable on the injury report with an ankle injury.

This should be an ugly game, but it could be an all-out war given the close nature of these two teams from a power rankings lens.

Let’s take a look at my final score prediction for the Giants vs Bears in Week 17.

Prediction: Bears 23, Giants 19


Giants vs Bears Best Bets

Best Bet: Giants +7 (-135) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

With the line currently standing at NYG +6 (Caesars), I highly recommend buying a full point to get to a full touchdown spread. I still like the Giants at +6 , but as more of a half-unit play than a one-unit play.

The Giants are averaging just a hair under 12 points per game across their last five games, but they have played a few tough opponents. The Bears have allowed 26.6 points per game over their last five, leading me to believe that the Giants, no matter who they start at quarterback, can score enough points to cover.

spread

-135

Giants Cover +7 Spread @ Bears

NYG @ CHI | 01/02, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $35

Best Bet: Over 37 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 0.75 Units

This is going to be a small play just because of the downside. The Bears and Giants are both bad football teams. We know this. Looking intrinsically at why they are bottom-feeding teams is important, though.

The Bears and Giants currently rank 18th and 19th respectively in team defense DVOA. These marks are better than most of the teams in their tier, but the defenses combined are still atrocious. This bodes well for the Over even if both teams have proven incapable of scoring at times.

When you pit two lower-tier teams against one another, sometimes crazy things happen. Back the Over on a minuscule number.

over-under

-110

Giants @ Bears: OVER 37 Points

NYG @ CHI | 01/02, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page