Browns vs Packers Week 16 Prop Bets | Aaron Rodgers, Browns 1st Half Spread, & More

Week 16 features the NFC No. 1-seeded Green Bay Packers taking on the AFC playoff-desperate Cleveland Browns.

The Packers are 11-3 and enter Week 16 following a hard-fought 31-30 road win against the Baltimore Ravens..

The Browns head to Green Bay at 7-7. They’ve won every other game going back to late October, and are coming off a heart-breaking loss in the final seconds to the Raiders at home.

Let’s dive into the Week 16 prop bets for this special Saturday NFL matchup.

Please note that all NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of 9:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, December 23.


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Browns vs Packers Prop Bets: NFL Week 16 Prop Betting Picks

Aaron Rodgers Over 255.5 Total Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 2 Units

I thought this was a typo at first, but clearly it’s not.

Aaron Rodgers has thrown over 255 yards in eight games this year. While Rodgers received more help from a heavy ground game earlier in the year, over the last five games, he has thrown over 255 yards in each with ease.

The Browns have a pretty good defense, and with the way the Packers struggled to pull away from the Ravens, I wouldn’t expect the Browns to roll over. They could keep this game close enough to keep Rodgers throwing late into the third and even fourth quarter, which is why I love this Over here.

A player that is going for back-t0-back MVP awards? Yeah, sign me up for him to throw over 255 yards for a sixth-straight game.

Player Prop

-115

Aaron Rodgers: OVER 255.5 Passing Yards vs Browns

CLE @ GB | 12/25, 4:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $37

Browns 1st Half +4 (+100) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

The Browns score more first-half points per game (12.5) than the Packers (12.1), so to see the Packers winning going into halftime by a field goal is not a crazy thought.

It’s not that I think the Browns offense is that good, although they will likely have Baker Mayfield back. It’s more so the stock I would put into the Browns defense to keep it somewhat knotted up early on, especially against a team that struggles getting off to fast starts.

I’ll take the Browns to cover the first-half spread with star running back Nick Chubb controlling the clock as best as Cleveland can. Tack in a stop or two against Green Bay and you likely have a 13-10 ball game for the Packers going into the half.

prop bet

+100

Browns: Cover +4 1H Spread @ Packers

CLE @ GB | 12/25, 4:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $40

Double Result: Tie/Packers (+1400) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

I know I said I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s 13-10 at the half, but I also think, in general, this game will be close going into the second half. This isn’t me telling you to 100 percent do this, but I do like the high risk, high reward factor of this bet.

Both teams average around the same points per game in the first half of games. Not to mention it’s December football, which probably means the Browns aren’t going to be tossing it around to start. I expect a long drive led by Chubb and a stout defensive effort from the Browns, as their season likely hangs in the balance.

If you happen to get the tie in your favor, you just have to hope that the Packers at Lambeau field can win the game outright. Good thing is that Matt LaFleur‘s Green Bay Packers are 22-3 at Lambeau Field since 2019. They simply do not lose often when at home.

The odds are big enough to go for a fun one on Christmas Day.

prop bet

+1400

Packers: 1H Tie and Win vs Browns

CLE @ GB | 12/25, 4:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $300

Packers Winning Margin 1-6 Points (+310) at Caesars

Wager: 1.25 Units

The Packers are easily the better team and have plenty of weapons, but as I’ve said, I think the Browns compete in this game due to their defense. As long as they can run the ball with Chubb, they can keep this game close.

Regardless, I’m taking Aaron Rodgers over Baker Mayfield at Lambeau in December and not looking back. I think this game will go down to the wire and will be won by a field goal or more, which is why I am going with the point margin of 1-6.

The Browns will give it their all, but in the end, I do see a 7-8 record that likely ends their playoff hopes.

prop bet

+310

Packers: Cover 1-6 Point Spread vs Browns

CLE @ GB | 12/25, 4:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $82

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NFL Betting News

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    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

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  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

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