Welcome to Week 15!
This has been one heck of a week with injury and Covid news, so we’re going to have to dig deep to even find props. That said, I’m still seeing some good value out there, so let’s see what we can find!
All NFL gameday odds for Week 15 player prop bets are current as of December 17 at 1 p.m. ET.
For in-depth analysis on this NFL bet of the day and others, continue reading.
Best NFL Player Props Week 15
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
Mike Glennon Over 196.5 Passing Yards (-120) at Caesars
Wager: 0.5 Units
I really don’t like putting any stock in Mike Glennon (hence the units), but this prop is low enough that I feel alright taking the plunge. Glennon has yet to top 196 yards in any of the three games in which he’s played this season, but he’s been hovering right around this mark in all three contests.
Perhaps more importantly, the Cowboys are a bottom-10 defense in terms of passing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks (269.5) and the Giants are likely to be playing from behind in this one. At a lower unit total, I’m firing up Glennon this week.
Kenny Golladay Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 0.5 Units
I’ll put Kenny Golladay in the same category (and unit confidence) in which I’m putting Glennon. While his recent production doesn’t give me the highest hopes, the low total and the matchup make me feel better about this one.
Golladay has had a disappointing season, but he’s surpassed 35 receiving yards in six of the 10 games in which he’s played. And the Cowboys are also a bottom-10 team in terms of yardage allowed to opposing wide receivers.
Dak Prescott Under 275.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Jerry Jones said it best. Dak Prescott is in a bit of a mini-slump. He hasn’t been horrible or anything like that, but he’s only topped this total once in his last four games and hasn’t even come close in the three games in which he’s fallen short.
While the Giants aren’t extremely tough against the pass, they’re still allowing just 254.8 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. I also don’t think the Cowboys will have to throw the ball all that much in this one as they should be playing with a lead for most of it, so I don’t see a great path to 276-plus yards for Dak here.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets to Make in Week 15
Check out the best player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool, including projections to help you make the best decisions.
Click “Place Bet" to unlock the associated sportsbook’s welcome offer and place your bet.
Learn more about NFL prop bets and the best sportsbooks for prop betting.
Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers
Ryan Tannehill Over 216.5 Passing Yards (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 0.5 Units
I can’t fully blame Ryan Tannehill for his recent lackluster play as he’s been dealing with a lack of weapons around him. That said, he’s still missing almost all of those same weapons (more on that in a second), so it’s not like the cavalry is coming to rescue him this week.
While this total is low, Tannehill has thrown for less than 216 yards in four of his last five games and only has 284 total passing yards combined in his last two games.
Julio Jones Under 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 0.5 Units
Julio Jones is really the only weapon Tannehill is getting back for this week, but even that’s a little misleading. The Titans have said they’re going to limit Jones in the hopes of preserving his health for the playoffs, so it’s unlikely we’ll see a full set of snaps for Jones this week.
He only played 32 snaps last week (45 percent of the Titans offensive plays) in putting up 33 receiving yards, so he’ll only have limited opportunity to surpass this total. Combine that with the fact that he’s only topped 54 yards twice this season, and I’m staying away from the over here.
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens
Davante Adams Over 94.5 Receiving Yards (+110) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
It’s no surprise that Davante Adams is Aaron Rodgers‘ favorite receiver, but it’s a bit of a surprise that defenses aren’t throwing the kitchen sink at Adams to stop him.
Adams has topped 100 receiving yards in each of his last three games and is averaging 10 targets over the span. He’ll also get to face a Ravens defense that is bottom-10 in the league in terms of receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets Today
Best Bet: Aaron Rodgers Over 283.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
Rodgers is on an absolute heater and may very well be the leader in the clubhouse for NFL MVP right now. He’s thrown for more than 300 yards in three straight games and has only thrown four interceptions all year.
The interceptions don’t matter for this prop, but the Ravens allowing 280 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks (which is second-worst in the league) sure does. While the prop may look high at first glance, Rodgers’ recent play, combined with his opponent, has me salivating.
Best Bet: Mac Jones Over 226.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
Am I really picking a guy who threw three passes in his last game? You bet! Mac Jones won’t be dealing with a hurricane this weekend, as he’ll be playing inside of a dome, and the Patriots are unlikely to run quite as much against a tough Colts run defense.
The Colts are allowing 244.7 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, which is a number Jones should be able to hit if he throws the ball upwards of 25 times this week as I expect him to.
Nick Raducanu’s 2021 NFL Props Betting Record: 40-52, -13.0 Units
Thanks for reading our NFL Week 15 Player Prop Bets! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 15 Best Prop Bets.
