Memphis vs. Hawai’i Predictions | Hawai’i Bowl 2021 CFB Pick of the Day

The Memphis Tigers (6-6) will head to Hawai’i to take on the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (6-7) in Honolulu on Christmas Eve for the Hawai’i Bowl.

Memphis kicked off the season with a three-game winning streak, even beating Mississippi State. However, they lost three straight after that and lost momentum as they finished seventh in the American Athletic Conference.

Hawai’i didn’t find that type of streak at any point during the season. Still, they added a key win in the middle of the season against No. 18 Fresno State, followed by a close loss to No. 24 San Diego State down the stretch that led them to the Hawai’i bowl as they finished fourth in the Mountain West Conference.

Time to dive into the Hawai’i Bowl and take a look at who you should bet on when these teams face off in Honolulu.

All NCAAF gameday odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook and updated as of 11:00 a.m. ET on Wednesday, December 15.

Memphis vs. Hawai’i Prediction

Memphis heads to Honolulu in an evident road game-style environment with a -7 spread as the road favorites.

Hawai’i, on paper, doesn’t look as well built as Memphis, but they are in a friendly home environment, and their quarterback Chevan Cordeiro is coming off a four-touchdown and 400-plus yard performance over Wyoming that clinched their Bowl eligible status.


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The Memphis passing attack, led by Seth Henigan, is 17th in college football averaging 298.8 passing yards per game.

There’s an important caveat in this game, as Calvin Austin III, the star Tigers wide receiver, has decided to sit out this game and prepare for the NFL Draft. He had 1,149 yards on 74 receptions and eight touchdowns.

Not having Austin III out there makes this game more open than some would have expected.

Hawai’i Bowl Prediction: Hawai’i 30, Memphis 28


Hawai’i Bowl Best Bets

Best Bet: Hawai’i +7 (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 2 units

Hawai’i may not have been the streakier team, but they finished with the same amount of wins as Memphis and don’t have their best offensive weapon out for the game.

I really can’t stress enough how big of a loss Memphis is dealing with in this game without Calvin Austin III. This seems like an upset alert type of game, but only because the odds made it that way. For two teams with the same number of wins, giving Hawaii more than a touchdown seems ridiculous.

Memphis has not been great against the spread this year, with just 3 wins out of 12. I think the Rainbow Warriors are headed towards winning this game outright, which covers this one easily.

spread

-110

Hawai'i to Cover +7 spread Against Memphis (2021 Hawai'i Bowl)

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Best Bet: Over 56 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 unit

I have this game going over 56 with my prediction, but I can see this being more of a higher-scoring game than that.

Hawai’i forces turnovers (27 of them), and they will have a chance to blow this game up, especially if Cordeiro plays like he did last game against Wyoming. They have a dual-threat there, and I expect him to put points on the board.

On the other side, Memphis has an explosive offense even without Calvin Austin III, as they can still put up points. Both teams have gone over the total points spread five teams each this season.

I like the over in this one in a fun back and forth game that comes down to the final drive.

over-under

-110

Over 56 Total Points (2021 Hawai'i Bowl)

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Thanks for reading our Hawai’i Bowl Predictions & Best Bets! For more CFB betting tips, check out our CFB Pick of the Day.

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Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page