CFB Bowl Predictions Confidence Picks 2021-2022 | Ranking The Likeliest College Football FBS Winners

One of the best contests to compete in during college football’s bowl season is a bowl picks confidence pool.

Here, you take a certain number of CFB bowl games, predict the winners, and rank how confident you are in each pick.

The number 1 represents your least confident pick, and whatever number of bowl games you choose reflects your most confident pick. Example: If you pick 20 bowls, the level of 20 points is your most confident pick.

The competitor who earns the most successful “confidence points” wins the CFB bowl picks pool.

We’ve tasked this CFB bowl picks confidence pool contest to three of our college football analysts — Kevin Davis, Adam Kramer, and Jason Radowitz — who pick from 20 down to 1 their most confident CFB bowl predictions.

We’ve included the National Championship Game, which the writers will fill out once the matchup is determined. (This is a fun part of the strategy of this game. How many points do you save for later? Should you get as many confidence points as you can with the games we know?)

CFB Bowl Confidence Picks 2021-2022

BowlMatchupKevin DavisConfAdam KramerConfJason RadowitzConf
Nat' ChampTBDTBD8TBD5TBD2
OrangeMichigan vs GeorgiaGeorgia2Georgia14Michigan1
CottonAlabama vs CincinnatiAlabama20Alabama20Alabama7
RoseOhio State vs UtahOhio State13Utah2Ohio State14
FiestaNotre Dame vs Oklahoma StateNotre Dame17Oklahoma State3Notre Dame3
SugarBaylor vs Ole MissOle Miss11Baylor6Baylor16
CitrusIowa vs KentuckyIowa3Iowa1Kentucky17
OutbackArkansas vs Penn StatePenn State14Penn State7Arkansas13
GatorWake Forest vs Texas A&MTexas A&M15Texas A&M17Wake Forest4
SunWashington State vs Miami (FL)Miami (FL)18Miami (FL)12Washington St9
PeachMichigan State vs PittsburghMichigan State4Michigan State11Pittsburgh8
AlamoOregon vs OklahomaOklahoma5Oklahoma8Oklahoma15
HolidayNC State vs UCLANC State10NC State15NC State12
LibertyTexas Tech vs Mississippi StateMississippi State9Mississippi State19Mississippi State19
CureNo. Illinois vs Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina ✅6Coastal Carolina ✅18Coastal Carolina ✅20
LA BowlOregon State vs Utah StateUtah State ✅16Oregon State ❌16Oregon State ❌18
New OrleansLouisiana vs MarshallLouisiana ✅1Louisiana ✅13Marshall ❌5
Frisco BowlSan Diego St vs UTSASan Diego State7San Diego State9San Diego State11
BirminghamHouston vs AuburnAuburn12Houston4Houston10
Cheez-ItClemson vs Iowa StateClemson19Clemson10Clemson6
Bowl Pick PointsTOTALKD23AK31JD20

Top Bowl Confidence Pick

Coastal Carolina ✅

Northern Illinois had one of the more lucky seasons this year. The Huskies won the MAC after allowing more points than scoring this season. Northern Illinois is currently 9-4 on the year but has allowed 32.7 points per game while only scoring 31.5 points per game.

On the other hand, Coastal Carolina is 10-2 on the season and lost a close game to Georgia State, at home 42-40 earlier in the year, which basically kept the Chanticleers out of the SunBelt Championship. That game was lost because starting quarterback Grayson McCall was injured and out. Now he’s back in action and has helped Coastal average nearly 500 yards per game on offense. — Jason Radowitz

Best Bet: Coastal Carolina -10 (-110) at Caesars

spread

-110

Coastal Carolina Cover -10 Spread vs No. Illinois

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet + Free NBA Jersey
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Alabama

In my Alabama vs Cincinnati Cotton Bowl predictions, I recommend bets on Cincinnati. For bets against the sportsbook, I stand by this prediction, but bowl pick’em pools are a whole different animal.

For pick confidence pools, you want your top confidence pick to have the best chance of winning. No team is a larger favorite in their bowl game than Alabama against Cincinnati. Bowl teams are typically evenly matched up and the games are meaningless meaning underdogs frequently win.

The Cotton Bowl is not meaningless, and Alabama is the better team. — Kevin Davis

Alabama

Even with a spread hovering around two touchdowns in a College Football Playoff game, Nick Saban’s team will handle Cincinnati. The Bearcats have some quality NFL players at key positions. The issue, however, is size and depth across the board, and Alabama will likely take full advantage of that. — Adam Kramer

Alabama players sit during Alabama's win over Arkansas in 2021

Alabama isn’t going to make you a profit at the sportsbooks, but in 2022 bowl confidence pick pools, the Crimson Tide are a near sure thing to win the Cotton Bowl. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Bottom Bowl Confidence Pick

College Football Playoff Finals

Right now, we don’t even know which team will make the CFP Finals. I’m going to assume Michigan defeats Georgia and takes on Alabama in the finals. I like Michigan in both games and truly believe that the Wolverines can win it all this season.

But in reality, this is a really risky play. I’m not going to go heavy on the most notable games. I want to make my way to the top with the games that most people don’t know too much about. — Jason Radowitz

Louisiana ✅

Louisiana is playing Marshall in the New Orleans Bowl and I have no idea who is going to win.

The Ragin’ Cajuns are currently 4.5 point favorites against the Thundering Herd, but by no means do I feel confident in their ability to beat Marshall.

Louisiana is nationally ranked, has a 12-1 record, and won the Sun Belt Conference. Marshall has a 7-5 record and has underperformed this season. It appears Louisiana should win, but I have doubts on how excited they will be to play in a meaningless bowl game. — Kevin Davis

Iowa

I’m just not sure what version of the Hawkeyes we are going to get in the Citrus Bowl against Kentucky, and the departure of running back Tyler Goodson is a tremendous blow. Still, Iowa can play just enough defense and score just enough points to ugly up this game just enough. I’m limping in with that prediction, but I’m comfortable enough. — Adam Kramer

CFB Bowl Sleeper Pick

Penn State

I know Arkansas is a fun team with a really good head coach, although the Nittany Lions are seasoned, incredibly well coached and balanced on both sides of the ball. Arkansas, which is a slight underdog in this game, is likely to garner some significant buzz. Not from me, though. James Franklin delivers a nice win. — Adam Kramer

Best Bet: Penn State Moneyline (-110) vs Arkansas in Outback Bowl

spread

-110

Penn State Cover -1 Spread vs Arkansas

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet + Free NBA Jersey
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Wake Forest

The Texas A&M Aggies finished the regular season 8-4 and lost two of their last three games this season. The offense scored 24 or fewer points in three of their last four games. The Aggies are relying on Zach Calzada under center. The reality is, he doesn’t have the mobility to run around the field and create havoc.

Texas A&M is used to having players like Kellon Mond and even Haynes King. Calzada put together a signature win against Alabama earlier this year but I’m not so sure this SEC defense knows how great some of the ACC offense was this year.

I’m counting on Wake Forest to outscore Texas A&M as a seven-point favorite and truly believe it happens. — Jason Radowitz

Utah State ✅

Utah State is arguably the most improved team in the country. In 2020, the Aggies went 1-5. This season Utah State is 10-3 and won the Mountain West Conference.

The Aggies beat Washington State to start the season, and San Diego State in the Conference Championship game. Oregon State went 7-5 in a better conference. Yet, the Beavers are favored by seven points.

Utah State could easily beat Oregon State if they bring their a-game. That is why I recommend them as a sleeper pick as well as recommend their +230 money line at Caesars Sportsbook. — Kevin Davis

CFB Bowl Team I’m Fading

Auburn

With the news that Bo Nix is transferring, Auburn is going to be in the dumps. Nix led this team through so much adversity and now has to rely on young quarterback T.J. Finley to lead them. Auburn lost four straight games and was embarrassed after losing to South Carolina with the Gamecocks using their third-string starter in that game.

Finley is not the answer. Meanwhile, Houston lost to Cincinnati in the AAC Championship and took an overtime loss to East Carolina earlier in the year. Other than that, the Cougars have dominated the competition, much like Cincinnati in that conference.

I’ll trust Houston in this spot against an Auburn team that is on a four-game losing streak. — Jason Radowitz

Ohio State

I know the Buckeyes are still explosive, and quarterback C.J. Stroud could be in line for another big performance in the Rose Bowl. But we just saw OSU get overwhelmed up front by a solid running attack and an aggressive approach, and Utah has precisely that.

Also, while it’s the Rose Bowl, I question what motivation we’re going to get out of Ryan Day’s team. The Utes have a tremendous opportunity to send a message. — Adam Kramer

Washington State

On New Year’s Eve in the Sun Bowl, Washington State faces Miami (FL). Both the Cougars and Hurricanes finished 7-5 this season and both teams fired their coaches.

What makes Washington State likely to be the team that the public is picking is that they fired their coach Nick Rolovich in the middle of the season. Since Rolovich was canned, Washington State is 3-2 with their only losses against BYU and Oregon.

The Cougars are likely to be a public underdog as the narrative makes them look good, but Miami has better players. If the Hurricanes go into the meaningless Sun Bowl and try to win, they should beat Washington State. — Kevin Davis

Thanks for reading our CFB Confidence Picks 2021-2022! For more CFB bowl betting tips, check out our CFB Picks of the Day.

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,001 First Bet Match + Free NBA Jersey

5 stars
Welcome offer FOX Bet promotion

Get Up To $500 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk-Free

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page