Iowa vs Kentucky Predictions | Citrus Bowl 2022 CFB Pick of the Day

The Iowa Hawkeyes were just one win away from becoming Big Ten champions. But, instead, Iowa showed their true colors, losing to Michigan in the Championship, 42-3. The offense has been a problem all year, but the defense has been one of the best in the nation.

Now, Iowa will look to shut down an SEC offense in Kentucky that averaged over 33 points per game this season. The Wildcats finished the season with a 9-3 record and were regarded as one of the top 25 teams in the nation coming into the playoffs.

In Orlando, Florida, will Iowa find enough offense to defeat a promising Kentucky team?

All NCAAF gameday odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook and updated as of 1:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 30.

Iowa vs. Kentucky Prediction

Both of these teams have had some incredible moments this year. Iowa put together a bunch of wins late in the season to earn a Big Ten Championship opportunity, while Kentucky ended up winning nine games in an incredibly tough SEC.

The Hawkeyes averaged 23.9 points per game while allowing 19.2 points per game. The offense averaged fewer than 300 yards on the offensive end per game. However, the defense allowed just 326.9 yards per game.

Quarterback Spencer Petras has not been the answer for Iowa, as he’s thrown just nine touchdowns with six interceptions on the year. Against Michigan in the Big Ten Championship game, Petras was eventually benched, but he’s listed as the starter for this game against Kentucky.


Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before you continue reading our Iowa vs. Kentucky betting tips, you should know that Caesars Sportsbook is one of the best around. Take advantage of Caesars’ outstanding welcome bonus, which matches your first bet up to $1,001 (win or lose) when you use our promo code GAMEDAY.

Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis for our best Vrbo Citrus Bowl 2022 tipster picks.

Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook

  • Intuitive App

  • Plenty of Markets & Bet Types

  • VIP Rewards System

Get a FREE NBA Authentic Jersey

Bet $100, Get Free Jersey

Get Up To $1,001 Free Bet

First Bet Matched Win or Lose

GAMEDAYGet bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.


Meanwhile, Kentucky has had its ups and downs this season. The Wildcats lost to Georgia, Mississippi State, and Tennessee but eventually finished the season on a three-game winning streak with wins against Vanderbilt, New Mexico State, and Louisville.

The Louisville win was impressive, especially on the road, where they won 52-21.

Kentucky is the more balanced team of the two. The Wildcats average 431.1 yards per game and allow just 337.1 yards per game. The offense can get down the field by passing the ball or with the run, as they’ve rushed for over 200 yards per game this season.

Therefore, I like Kentucky to put Iowa in its place.

Citrus Bowl Prediction: Kentucky 20, Iowa 10


Vrbo Citrus Bowl Best Bets

Best Bet: Kentucky -3 (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

As long as Spencer Petras is at quarterback for Iowa, I’ll fade them. Petras only completed 146 passes throughout the entire season. While he led Iowa to a championship game, it was mainly the running game and the defense that made it happen.

The only area where Kentucky has struggled a bit on the defensive end has been in coverage. But with a solid pass rush, that shouldn’t be a problem against Petras. The Wildcats have allowed 117.8 yards per game on the ground, which isn’t entirely terrible when you realize this team only allowed 337.1 total yards per game.

Meanwhile, the Kentucky offense has so much potential in the passing game. Kentucky scored over 50 points in their last two games and are really clicking. Iowa doesn’t have the most effective pass rush, and while they’ve been great defensively, Kentucky simply has more weapons.

spread

-110

Kentucky To Cover -3 Spread vs Iowa (2021 Vrbo Citrus Bowl)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet + Free NBA Jersey
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Best Bet: Under 44 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

There’s a real chance that Kentucky has some success in the air against Iowa. Will Levis has thrown for 23 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on the year. He’s not scared of throwing the football down the field, and in the last two games, it’s worked out in his favor.

However, Iowa’s an extremely tough defense to beat. Big plays won’t come very often, so while Kentucky will have the better offense, don’t expect Kentucky to score close to its average of 33.3 points.

Meanwhile, Iowa will have a hard time doing much against Kentucky. Kentucky is physical up front, and while they’ve struggled in coverage slightly, it won’t be an issue against Petras.

over-under

-110

Under 44 Total Points in Iowa vs Kentucky (2021 Vrbo Citrus Bowl)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet + Free NBA Jersey
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Thanks for reading our Vrbo Citrus Bowl Predictions & Best Bets! For more CFB betting tips, check out our CFB Pick of the Day.

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,001 First Bet Match + Free NBA Jersey

5 stars
Welcome offer FOX Bet promotion

Get Up To $500 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk-Free

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page