Here’s our report on 2021 Rays Win Total Bet: How Many Games Tampa Bay Will Win, complete with a 2021 Rays Wins Over/Under. The Game Day takes a dive into offseason acquisitions and losses to determine potentially profitable win total betting odds.
- Rays Win Total Over/Under odds and lines courtesy of SugarHouse NJ and BetRivers current as of 2/22/2021 at 9:30 p.m. ET.
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2021 Rays Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will Tampa Bay Win?
2021 Rays Wins Over/Under
- Over 85.5 Wins (-112)
- Under 85.5 Wins (-112)
The 2020 campaign was quite the chore for baseball, beginning with the abrupt interruption to spring training, the protracted negotiations on getting a season format agreed to, and the seemingly endless amount of COVID-related restrictions and absences once teams actually got back on the field. However, despite the abundance of challenges, there was a Cinderella quality to the Rays’ experience, as they secured their first AL East crown since 2010 and came within two games of a World Series title.
The good news for Tampa Bay is a majority of the key pieces that helped them to that unexpected level of success are right back in the fold in 2021. However, two that aren’t – Blake Snell and Charlie Morton – could potentially prove to be the key difference between last season’s outcome and what Kevin Cash’s squad is able to accomplish in the coming campaign.
Granted, neither pitcher had particularly productive showings during the shortened season and combined for a relatively modest 6-4 mark. However, it’s what Snell and Morton have proven capable of over a full season that almost takes precedence, considering baseball is back to 162 games in 2021. Snell is a one-time 21-game winner, while Morton won a combined 45 games from 2017-19, the latter season featuring a career-best 16 victories in Tampa.
The Rays still have Tyler Glasnow as a legitimate front-of-rotation piece, but the talented right-hander has never logged more than 13 starts in a season and therefore comes with an element of doubt attached.
Offseason acquisitions Michael Wacha and Chris Archer have undeniably had their moments in past seasons, with Archer once thought of as a future Cy Young candidate. Now 32, he returns after spending the last two seasons-plus with the Pirates and coming off a missed 2020 season due to surgery for neurogenic thoracic outlet syndrome. Veteran Rich Hill, also a new addition, may actually be the most reliable of the trio but will turn 41 on March 11.
When it comes to offense, the Rays are slated to trot out a very familiar lineup, as Hunter Renfroe, who only posted an anemic .156/.252/.393 line in his sole season in Tampa Bay, was the one offseason departure of note in terms of bats. However, relying on a majority of incumbents doesn’t necessarily shape up as the best recipe for success in a division where the Yankees and Blue Jays have absolutely loaded lineups.
As it was, the Rays generated a pedestrian .238/.328/.425 line last season across 60 games while striking out an MLB-high 608 times. Outside of the prodigious Randy Arozarena, who set a rookie record with 10 postseason home runs during Tampa’s memorable October run, and perhaps Austin Meadows, the Rays may be hard-pressed to muster the long-ball firepower it will take to keep up with some of their division mates and other AL contenders.
2021 Rays Win Total Wager: Under 85.5 wins (-112)
The Rays’ offseason pitching losses combined with the potential holes in the team’s lineup compared to division powerhouses New York and Toronto make this a very likely down year for Tampa Bay. While Arozarena’s body of work thus far in both the minors and big leagues supports the notion of him putting up excellent production throughout a full season, a review of the rest of the projected starting nine finds it lacking in consistently reliable power sources.
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