Alabama vs. Auburn Predictions NCAAF Week 13 | College Football Pick of the Day

The Iron Bowl has arrived, but sadly, it may not be as entertaining or hard-fought as we had hoped for.

In their first game without Bo Nix, thanks to a season-ending ankle injury, the Auburn Tigers blew a lead against the South Carolina Gamecocks, losing 21-17 and dropping to 6-5 on the season.

The No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide narrowly escaped the No. 25 Arkansas Razorbacks at home, winning 42-35. We were on the Razorbacks last week and they covered the three-score spread with ease.

With Nix in the lineup, it wouldn’t be too crazy to predict an upset loss for the Crimson Tide, especially traveling to Auburn. With T.J. Finley as the new starter for the Tigers, though, let’s examine how they’ll stack up against the No. 3 team in the country.

All NCAAF gameday odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. All odds and lines are accurate as of 9 a.m. ET on November 22, 2021. All statistics are courtesy of Pro Football Focus (subscription required).

Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before reading our Alabama vs Auburn betting tips, you should know that Caesars Sportsbook is one of the best around. Take advantage of Caesars’ outstanding welcome bonus, which matches your first bet up to $1,001 (win or lose) when you use our promo code GAMEDAY.

Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis for our best Crimson Tide vs Tigers tipster picks.

Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook

  • Intuitive App

  • Plenty of Markets & Bet Types

  • VIP Rewards System

Get Up To $1,001 Free Bet

First Bet Matched Win or Lose

GAMEDAYGet bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.

Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction

Finley played fine against South Carolina. That’s just it, thoughβ€”he played fine.

Nix never turned into the world-beater we hoped he would be throughout his college career, but when he was on, we saw his elite capabilities. You cannot say the same about Finley, who threw for 188 yards and a touchdown but completed only 53 percent of his passes in his first start. Thankfully, the Tigers had running back Tank Bigsby, who rushed for 164 yards on 22 carries and a score.

Bigsby should show out for this game, but I’m just not confident Finley is capable of hanging with the Crimson Tide. Alabama’s defense made Razorbacks quarterback K.J. Jefferson look like a first-round NFL pick in Week 12, giving up three passing touchdowns and over 325 passing yards, but Alabama will score and Finley may be too conservative and limited to take advantage of this porous defense.

Betting Pick: Alabama 42, Auburn 17

Alabama vs. Auburn Best Bets

Best Bet: Alabama Crimson Tide -19.5 (-110) at Caesars

This originally opened at 19, but now Alabama will have to deal with a hook as well. I’ll admit that I’m not super confident in taking this Alabama team in three-score spreads against most SEC competition, but despite a monster game from Bigsby, the Tigers had trouble scoring with Finley under center.

Alabama has definitely had its issues, but there are some players, such as safety Jordan Battle and cornerback Jalyn Armour-Davis, who should be able to assist in creating turnovers. In coverage this season, Battle has only allowed 77 yards and Armour-Davis has allowed under 265.

The Tigers also have somewhat of a lack of talent at the receiver position, with none of them having more than 500 yards.

If Nix was playing in this game, this spread would be quite different. Regardless of the number, I would have taken the Tigers. With Finley, though, the offense won’t have the juice to cover.



Alabama -19.5 (Alabama @ Auburn, CFB Week 13)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Best Bet: Alabama Crimson Tide Moneyline (-1100) at Caesars

It has not been smooth sailing for the Crimson Tide lately, so betting on the moneyline is always a bit uneasy. However, in this game, if they were to lose to the Finley-led Tigers, that would be the stunner of the century.

It’s probably just best to ignore this moneyline as you’ll need to bet a few car payments just to win $100. But yes, the Tide will win this one.



Alabama to Win (Alabama @ Auburn, CFB Week 13)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $22

Best Bet: Over 55 (-110) at Caesars

Other than the game against LSU, Alabama has not had trouble scoring. Including that game, they’re still averaging more than 44 points per game over their last five contests.

Despite their pass-blocking issues as of late, Alabama should still be able to move the ball with ease against the Tigers. They should also see a wealth of offensive opportunities due to shortened drives from the Finley-led offense.

Alabama will need some help from the Tigers and they should get just enough. As mentioned, the Crimson Tide defense has its issues, and Bigsby is a legitimate threat to deal with.

When you factor in the playmakers Alabama has, the opportunities they should have, and Bigsby on the other side allowing for the Tigers to at least reach the teens, this should go over 55.



Over 55 Total Points Scored (Alabama @ Auburn, CFB Week 13)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Thanks for reading our Alabama vs. Auburn predictions! For more college football betting tips, check out our CFB Betting Tips.Β 

Related articles


Welcome offer FOX Bet promotion

Up To $500 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,001 First Bet Match

5 stars
Welcome offer TwinSpires Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk-Free

5 stars

Top Offers

Top DFS Offers

Support us