Welcome to Week 11! After a rough Week 10, I’m very happy to have a new week in front of us. Despite some lackluster results last week, I’m going to continue to rely on a solid process that will eventually lead to results (and profits).
That said, let’s dig in and see what kind of values we can find for the best NFL player props this week! All Week 11 odds and lines are current as of 4 PM EST on Friday, November 19.
Best NFL Player Props Week 11
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
A.J. Brown: Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
With Derrick Henry and Julio Jones both on IR, A.J. Brown is essentially the entire Titans offense right now. With at least nine targets in four of his last five games, Brown is clearly Tennessee’s alpha WR1 and Ryan Tannehill‘s top weapon at the moment. Look for him to have a big game here against Houston’s porous defense.
Ryan Tannehill: Over 232.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
If Brown is going to have a good day, someone has to throw him the ball, right?
Enter Tannehill, who’s already enjoyed several big performances this year with four games over 265 passing yards. With the Texans allowing 263.8 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks thus far, this is a great opportunity for Tannehill to show off his arm.
David Johnson: Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 0.5 Units
I can’t say I have a ton of confidence in this one, but the rushing total is also so low that I’m happy to throw a half-unit out there. While the Titans have a good run defense and David Johnson has only seen six carries in his last two games, he only needs a few productive totes to hit our mark here.
A lock? No. Worth a half-unit? Absolutely.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets to Make in Week 11
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Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears
Rashod Bateman: Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Don’t look now, but Rashod Bateman has quickly become one of Lamar Jackson‘s favorite targets. He’s seen at least six targets in every game he’s played this year and has topped 50 receiving yards in each of his last three games.
The Bears have also allowed the fifth-most yards to opposing receivers this season, so Bateman has a great matchup that should allow him to surpass this relatively low total.
Marquise Brown: Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Marquise Brown has been a target hog this year, seeing double-digit targets in four of his past five games. All those looks have typically translated to impressive yardage totals, as he’s eclipsed 80 receiving yards in four of his last six games. Like Bateman, he has a terrific matchup against Chicago’s secondary here.
Baltimore Ravens WR Marquise Brown figures to be busy in Week 11 against the Chicago Bears after seeing 12+ targets in 3 consecutive games. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)
San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Deebo Samuel: Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Deebo Samuel has been one of the most consistent players in football this year, tallying at least 50 receiving yards in all nine of his games this season including six games with over 90. The Jaguars are a bottom-10 team in terms of yardage allowed to opposing receivers, so this is a great matchup for him as well.
Jimmy Garoppolo: Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Jimmy Garoppolo is basically playing for his job at this point as the Niners may turn things over to Trey Lance if they lose another game and/or if Jimmy G plays poorly. Garoppolo has thrown for over 300 yards in two of his last three games and now gets a Jacksonville defense allowing 274.8 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets Today
Best Bet: D.J. Moore Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
D.J. Moore has been wildly inconsistent as of late, but he comes into a great matchup with the Washington Football Team allowing 192.2 yards per game to opposing wide receivers — second-most in the NFL.
Moore will be playing with a new quarterback this week in Cam Newton, but he’s seen at least seven targets in every game this season so he’s going to be featured in the Panthers’ offense no matter what. After clearing 55 receiving yards in seven of his 10 games thus far, Moore is a strong bet to do it again here as our NFL bet of the day.
Best Bet: DeVonta Smith Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
The Saints are almost as bad as the WFT at stopping opposing receivers, which bodes well for DeVonta Smith this week. While he doesn’t see a ton of volume, his athleticism and big-play ability have helped him average 60.3 receiving yards per game this year, making him a strong choice to hit the Over on our NFL gameday odds.
Nick Raducanu’s 2021 NFL Props Betting Record: 27-32, -4.5 Units
Thanks for reading our NFL Week 11 Player Prop Bets! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 11 Best Prop Bets.
