Not even 24 hours removed from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ 31-9 beatdown of the Kansas City Chiefs en route to their Super Bowl 55 victory, it’s time to look ahead to next season as we are in NFL offseason mode. I’ve put together some analysis of 2022 Super Bowl 56 Early Betting Odds, Picks, and Best Bets.
The new league year does not officially kick off until March 17 at 4 p.m. ET — 2020 contracts expire, the opening day of free-agent signings, previous trades, and signings become official.
However, teams around the NFL are all equal as of now. All 32 clubs are 0-0.
The bad teams may blow up their roster. The good teams will look to add a piece to put them over the top. The middling teams will decide if they can compete, and if they can’t, they may blow it up a year early to get ahead.
And while we are 213 days away from the start of the 2021 NFL regular season, what better way to kick off the offseason than to take a look at the odds, picks, and best bets for Super Bowl 56?
Super Bowl 56 Early Betting Odds, Picks, and Best Bets
Super Bowl 56 Betting Odds are courtesy of PointsBet, current as of 2/8/21 at 9 a.m. ET.
2020 Super Bowl 56 Early Odds: Top 10 Favorites
- Kansas City Chiefs (+600)
- Green Bay Packers (+900)
- Baltimore Ravens (+1200)
- Buffalo Bills (+1200)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1200)
- Los Angeles Rams (+1400)
- San Francisco 49ers (+1500)
- New Orleans Saints (+1600)
- Seattle Seahawks (+2000)
- Cleveland Browns (+2200)
2022 Super Bowl Best Bet from the Top 10: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1200)
The reigning, defending, undisputed champions of the NFL, the Buccaneers, are my best bet to win Super Bowl 56.
While I understand why the Chiefs are ahead of the Buccaneers, the fact that Tampa is not right behind them is a tad crazy to me. However, it’s not too bad if you’re willing to bet on Tom Brady again at (+1200) odds to win it all in consecutive seasons.
Meanwhile, the Packers, who the Buccaneers beat twice this season and have no track record of making significant offensive additions to help Aaron Rodgers, are slated at No. 2 at (+900) odds. Give me a break.
In his first season as a member of the Buccaneers, Brady won the Super Bowl. To get there, a normally inept franchise made key additions to help out the aging GOAT. Most notably, trading a fourth-round pick to the Patriots for then WWE 27/7 champion Rob Gronkowski — who says you can’t have a life after wrestling? — Leonard Fournette, and Antonio Brown. Gronkowski, Fournette, and Brown all made significant impacts in the Big Game.
You could have made a case to award Gronk or Playoff Lenny the Super Bowl MVP honor but they do play with Brady and all. We also can’t forget that the Buccaneers drafted LT Tristan Wirfs early in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft to protect Brady’s blindside.
Bottom line, the Buccaneers are willing to dance with the devil to win a championship. And with Brady having one of his best seasons in the NFL at the ripe age of 43, it is hard to think they will not only repeat in year-two, but they might be even better.
Now, the Buccaneers do have a bunch of key free agents. They won’t be able to sign them all, but what do we know? Brady has taken less money and/ or restructured his contract so he can have better talent around him. He may have to do that again in Tampa Bay.
The Buccaneers’ loaded list of free agents includes Shaquil Barrett, Lavonte David, Gronkowski, Fournette, Brown, Chirs Godwin, and Ndamukong Suh. Those are big-time players on either side of the ball. The good news? Not only do they have a quarterback willing to do what he has to do to win while playing on a franchise willing to do what they have to do to win, but the Buccaneers are projected to enter the offseason with the seventh-most cap space ($38.1 million).
It is a safe bet to wager the Buccaneers to win it all at (+1200).
2022 Super Bowl Bet to Try Again: Kansas City Chiefs (+600)
While the Chiefs just lost Super Bowl 55, they are my sleeper pick to win Super Bowl 56. Not only have they made three consecutive AFC Championship games, but the Chiefs won two of them — two straight to be exact. Sure, they won Super Bowl 54 while losing Super Bowl 55 last night, but the fact that this Patrick Mahomes-led team is in the conversation to be the league’s next dynasty should not be ignored. Keep in mind that Mahomes is still a baby. He is 25, won’t turn 26 until September 17, and already has three AFC Championships, two AFC Title wins, two Super Bowl appearances, one Super Bowl win, and one NFL MVP on his resume is simply remarkable.
On top of Mahomes, the Chiefs are loaded on offense and their defense is normally deceptively good. The epitome of bend but don’t break. They aren’t infallible, however, as we’ve seen. Although the Chiefs added Clyde Edwards-Helaire with the final pick in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft and signed Le’Veon Bell in the middle of the season, their running game is clearly an issue. They invested top draft capital in Edwards-Helaire, but if he is not what they thought they were getting, they must go get a back that can show up in big spots — cc Damien Williams, who opted-out in the preseason.
If you still think running backs don’t matter, go ask Tom Brady, Leonard Fournette, the Buffalo Bills, and now, the Chiefs, about how they feel about the worst narrative in all of professional sports.
Listen, the Chiefs should be right back on top next season, especially if they make subtle but impactful additions since their notable personnel is more or less locked up. The majority of the coaching staff is expected to return as well. Getting the Chiefs at (+600) odds to win it all is not a stretch by any means, but is one of the best bets for your money.
2020 Super Bowl 56 Early Odds: On The Cusp
- Dallas Cowboys (+2500)
- Indianapolis Colts (+2500)
- Miami Dolphins (+2500)
- Tennessee Titans (+2500)
- Los Angeles Chargers (+3000)
2022 Super Bowl Best Bet from the On The Cusp tier: Miami Dolphins (+2500)
While the Dolphins finished last season at 10-6 and in second place in the AFC East, they missed the playoffs. A team ready to compete while donning a top five or better defense in the NFL, the Dolphins can and will be dangerous in 2021. They just need to fix their offense, more so, their quarterback situation.
Although they drafted Tua Tagovailoa in last year’s draft, there is no evidence that the front office is sold on the impending second-year signal-caller. While he has a 6-3 record as a starter, Tagovailoa did not pass the eye test, at least for me.
If the Dolphins add a splash playmaker at wide receiver and a guy to get him the football, the Dolphins will be built to make a legit run in the 2021 campaign. This was an offense that could move the football and put up points under Ryan Fitzpatrick, a career journeyman and revenge-game connoisseur if were being honest. The offense just was not the same under Tagovailoa.
The Dolphins have options. Not only can they trade Tagovailoa and select one of the big-named incoming rookies with the third overall selection in the 2021 NFL Draft, but they can also send a package to the Texans for Deshaun Watson. Not only do they have the compensation to acquire Watson, but they also have the money to absorb his massive contract as well. The Dolphins are projected to have the eighth-most salary cap space ($35.6 million) to play with this offseason. They can also use that money to get another quarterback on the market via trade.
When you are previously a 10-win team and have that much money to spend, you can only go up from here, especially with a sound foundation in place under HC Brain Flores. Oh, by the way, that defense I briefly mentioned earlier, finished fifth in points allowed (21.1), employ Xavien Howard, who ended 2020 with 10 picks and have most of their defensive studs under contract. They’ll get better on that side of the ball too.
2022 Super Bowl Sleeper Pick from On The Cusp tier: Indianapolis Colts (+2500)
As a Cowboys fan, I wish I can objectively put them into this spot. However, it is my job to give you the best bets for your money, not be a fanboy. Thus, we have the Colts. There are more questions than answers with the Cowboys while the Colts are another team that seems to be a quarterback away.
Like the Buccaneers and the Dolphins, who I wrote about earlier, the Colts are in a terrific spot with their salary cap. Currently, they are projected to enter the offseason with the second-most cap space ($78.5) million.
The Colts have a lot of free agents which could mean they will have ample holes to fill. However, all of that cap space will afford them the opportunity to either retain the talent that got them to a 10-6 record as well as a Wild Card playoff berth, but they also have the option to upgrade.
While quarterback is a top priority, there is a vast need at the wide receiver position. Longtime Colts mainstay T.Y. Hilton is aging, becoming riddled by small but lingering injuries, and is also set to hit the open market. They do have young assets like Parris Campbell and Michael Pittman, but the former already has some injury concerns after two years in the league. And while their running backs and offensive line are set, they do need to replace another longtime mainstay along their offensive front, Anthony Castonzo, who retired following the team’s Wild Card loss to the Bills.
Defensively, the Colts were a stout unit but had kinks in their armor, which showed in the second half and down the stretch. Indianapolis would be wise to revamp their secondary if they intend to make a legit run. Despite their few holes, the Colts are in an excellent position to not compete next season, but they should also make a run if they make the right moves at quarterback.
2020 Super Bowl 56 Early Odds: The Rest
- Minnesota Vikings (+3000)
- New England Patriots (+3000)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (+3000)
- Arizona Cardinals (+4500)
- Chicago Bears (+5000)
- Philadelphia Eagles (+5000)
- Las Vegas Raiders (+5500)
- Atlanta Falcons (+6000)
- Carolina Panthers (+6000)
- Denver Broncos (+6000)
- Washington Football Team (+6000)
- New York Giants (+6600)
- Cincinnati Bengals (+7500)
- Detroit Lions (+8000)
- Houston Texans (+8000)
- New York Jets (+8500)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (+10000)
2022 Super Bowl Best Bet from The Rest: Arizona Cardinals (+4500)
Remember the Island of the Misfit Toys from the old Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer movie? This is where we are in terms of best bets for the bottom 17 teams.
These clubs are filled with teams in the midst or ready to begin a rebuilt and teams that may be on the brink of competing, but are farther away than they think or than what shows up on paper. Yet, here we are.
At (+4500) odds, I am feeling the Cardinals. Not only are they entering Year 3 with HC Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray, but the Cardinals were a sleeper team to make a run in 2020 despite the fact that they fell off late. A young team with the 15th-most cap space ($19.5 million), the Cardinals are a lot closer than people think.
Sure, they have to figure out what they are going to do with CB Patrick Peterson and RB Kenyan Drake — or figure out how to replace both free-agents — but a good chunk of their notable pieces are under contract.
While the Cardinals are supposed to be known for their offense, their defense quietly stole the show last season. The Cardinals finished 2020 tied for 11th fewest points surrendered per game (23.1) Who were they tied with? The Packers, who made a run to the NFC Championship.
And when you employ players like Murray and DeAndre Hopkins on offense, they will always have the ability to put up offensive production. The Cardinals have holes, but they are also a middling team in terms of cap space, which should be enough to get the job done by upgrading or retaining personnel.
Despite playing in a strong NFC West, which could be the best division in football, the Cardinals will be in the mix for the postseason once again with another year of continuity under their belt in 2021.
2022 Super Bowl Sleeper Pick from The Rest: Chicago Bears (+5000)
Yes Steelers fans, I am snubbing your club in favor of the Bears. The Steelers are retaining Ben Roethlisberger. That is enough for me to leave them out — if you ask me, you’re better off with Andy Dalton. We’ve seen the TB12 diet payoff time and time again. However, Roethlisberger’s perennial What-a-Burger diet has caught up to him a long time ago. He’s not 25 anymore. He must be in better shape if he wants to win again. I am just being real here.
So okay, the Bears. Why? If you are asking why, so am I. However, this is a team that managed to give Mitchell Trubisky a 29-21 record despite his deficiencies as a passer. And while GM Ryan Pace and HC Matt Nagy have been the butt of many jokes, especially mine, we can not ignore the fact that this team wins and wins ugly. Ugly wins count too. And oh by the way, in games in which Trubisky has started, the inept signal-caller has led the Beats to three straight seasons with a winning record.
IMAGINE if they had competence at quarterback.
Although the Bears tried the Nick Foles route to unseatTrubisky, it did not work. Trubisky was better and Foles has sowed once again that outside of Philadelphia, he is just a guy. The good thing? The Bears are expected to let Trubisky, an impending free agent, walk while Foles is rumored to be dealt back to the Eagles in a trade to get Carson Wentz.
I am not a Wentz guy. However, I can’t ignore the good he has done in the league. While there was just as much, if not, more bad, itis not all on Wentz. The Eagles did not give him much to work with at wide receiver. I fully believe that if the Bears can acquire Wentz, impending free agents like Allen Robinson would be inclined to re-sign. Even if Robinson still walks, they can go get other wideouts in the draft or on the open market.
The Bears don’t have a ton of cap space, in fact, as of this writing, they are 21st and in the hole at (-510k). However, they can make the right moves to clear some space up.
With a terrific defense and a running game that finally looked the part behind David Montgomery in the second half of the year, the Bears hang around just enough to remind in any game. If they have the right quarterback who can lure in better wideouts, we could be looking at a Bears club poised to make a run.
To me, this is Pace and Nagy’s last chance. I expect the Bears to go all-in especially if they can maneuver the cap the right way — take a page out of the Rams book, perhaps.
Done checking in on our early 2022 Super Bowl 56 prediction?
After you’ve read our 2022 Super Bowl Early Odds and sleeper picks for Super Bowl 56:
- Read our full recap of Super Bowl 55, including top moments and highlights from Super Bowl LV between the victorious Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Kansas City Chiefs.
- Don’t take a football offseason! Follow along with our extensive NFL offseason and 2021 NFL Draft coverage. (Here’s our first 2021 NFL Mock Draft for Round 1 and our Trevor Lawrence NFL Draft Profile.)
- Keep an eye out for 2021-2022 NFL futures from our preferred partner sportsbooks.