Week 9 brings plenty of exciting matchups, including the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Green Bay Packers. However, one of the more potentially lopsided affairs will feature the Buffalo Bills traveling to Jacksonville to face the Jaguars.
Let’s try to spice this game up on the wagering side of things by discussing which sides of the spread and total to consider.
Please note that all odds are current as of 2 PM EST on Friday, November 5.
Mike Barner’s season record: 13-16 (-5.07 units)
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Bills vs. Jaguars Prediction
It wasn’t pretty, but the Bills pulled out a 26-11 victory at home over the Miami Dolphins in Week 8. The two teams combined to score six points in the first half, but the Bills used a strong second-half performance from Cole Beasley to earn the win. He finished with 10 receptions for 110 yards.
The Jaguars, on the other hand, were embarrassed in their matchup against the Seattle Seahawks, who won 31-7 behind the previously struggling Geno Smith. Their offense was inept, yet again, and was hindered by James Robinson departing early because of a foot injury.
There were some shocking upsets in Week 8, including the New York Jets knocking off the Cincinnati Bengals. However, a win for the Jaguars here feels almost unfathomable. The Bills are averaging 32.7 points per game, while the Jaguars have yet to score more than 23 points in a single game.
Prediction: Bills 34, Jaguars 17
Bills vs. Jaguars Best Bets
Best Bet: Bills -14.5 (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1 unit
The Bills barely covered their 14-point spread against the Dolphins, so this isn’t exactly a lock. However, with the vast disparities between these two offenses, it’s difficult to envision a scenario in which the Jaguars keep this close.
If Robinson, who was a limited participant at practice on Friday, is unable to play, then Jacksonville will have to turn to Carlos Hyde as its starting running back.
The scary part about this game for the Jaguars’ defense is that they have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game in the league. That could be troublesome against the explosive trio of Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, and Beasley.
Best Bet: Over 48.5 Points (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1 unit
Considering how poorly the Jaguars have played on offense, taking the over on this number might be tricky. With that being said, the Bills offense has shown a propensity for hanging crooked numbers. They have scored at least 31 points in a game five times, including two games in which they scored at least 40 points.
If the Bills race out to a big lead early, they could take their foot off the gas in the second half and allow a garbage-time touchdown or two. Also, the Jaguars scoring just seven points against the Seahawks last week was the first time that they were held to fewer than 13 points in a game this season.
If they can at least generate a couple of scores in this game, that, combined with the Bills’ potential scoring outburst, could be enough to sneak past the over.