Penn State vs Ohio State Predictions NCAAF Week 9 | College Football Pick of the Day

In a battle of the “State” schools, Ohio State appears to be trending closer to the College Football Playoff, whereas Penn State essentially ended any remaining shot they had left last week.

Last week, the Penn State Nittany Lions lost 20-18 to Illinois in overtime.

Yes, in overtime.

Over the last four games, the Buckeyes have been rolling, averaging over 60 points per game. Sure, the competition was less than stellar overall, going up against Indiana, Maryland, Rutgers, and Akron, but we’ve finally been able to see what this Buckeyes offense can do.

Buckeyes quarterback C.J. Stroud started the season off a bit slow with five turnover-worthy plays, according to Pro Football Focus. Since then, Stroud has not put a single ball in harm’s way and has 14 touchdowns to no interceptions.

The Nittany Lions weren’t exactly known for offense this season, ranking in the middle of the pact in the Big Ten, per PFF. However, the strength with the Nittany Lions lies in their defense, their secondary and coverage unit, to be more specific.

That’s going to be the matchup to look for. How does this Nittany Lions coverage unit hold up against wide receivers Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and tight end Jeremy Ruckert?

Well, the oddsmakers don’t see it turning out too well.

For in-depth analysis of this CFB bet of the day and others, continue reading.


Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before reading our Penn State vs. Ohio State betting tips, you should know that Caesars Sportsbook is one of the best around. Take advantage of Caesars’ outstanding welcome bonus, which gives you a risk-free bet of up to $5,000 when you use our promo code GAMEDAY.

Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis for our best Penn State vs. Ohio State tipster picks.

Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook

  • Intuitive App

  • Plenty of Markets & Bet Types

  • VIP Rewards System

Get Up To $1,001 Free Bet

First Bet Matched Win or Lose

GAMEDAYGet bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.


Penn State vs. Ohio State Prediction

The Penn State secondary has been excellent this season, led by safety Jaquan Brisker and cornerback Joey Porter Jr.

However, those are only two guys. Porter Jr. can only take on one of Wilson, Olave, or Smith-Njigba. Brisker should be able to help, but he may also be tasked with keeping Ruckert in check.

No matter what, the Buckeyes have too many weapons, regardless of how stout the top-end players on defense are.

The Buckeyes are going to continue to light up the scoreboard. Penn State will be able to score some points, sure. Nittany Lions quarterback Sean Clifford will have to throw a bit more than he’s used to, and the running game, while solid, is not exactly Saquon Barkley coming back to school.

The strength in the Buckeyes defense lies in their pass rush, led by edge rushers Zach Harrison and Tyreke Smith, who have a combined 17 quarterback hurries and eight hits.

In the end, the Nittany Lions will get behind early, and Clifford will have a bad time having to throw to stay in the game.

The No. 5 team in the country takes out the No. 20 team in the country by multiple scores this week.

Betting Pick: Ohio State 45, Penn State 20


Penn State vs. Ohio State Best Bets

Best Bet: Ohio State -18.5 (-110) at Caesars

Porter Jr. is an excellent player, but he can only do so much. With four legitimate receiving threats, including two who are likely first-round players in the next NFL Draft, and a running game led by TreVeyon Henderson, who has 11 rushing touchdowns this season, there’s just too much to overcome.

No matter what Penn State gameplans for, there are going to be holes somewhere in the defense. The way Stroud is playing, he’s looking unstoppable.

The only way Penn State has a shot at keeping this one close is if they can get Stroud playing regressive football and running the ball to run the clock out.

The problem, though, is that Ohio State will just score constantly and Penn State will not be able to do that.

I’d even take Ohio State -20.

spread

-110

Ohio State -18.5 (Penn State at Ohio State, CFB Week 9)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Best Bet: Ohio State Moneyline (-1000) at Caesars

Was I burned a few weeks back taking Alabama -17 against Texas A&M on a 4-game parlay where I could have cashed out before the game for $1,300? Yes. In fact, Alabama lost outright!

Could that happen again this week, and Penn State wins outright? I mean it’s possible, but the chances are extremely low.

Even if Ohio State is somehow unable to cover, they’re going to win. I’d bet the farm on that.

moneyline

-1000

Ohio State Moneyline (Penn State at Ohio State, CFB Week 9)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $22

Best Bet: Over 60 (-110) at Caesars

There’s a bit of extra juice on this play, and rightfully so. The competition in the last four weeks has been weak for Ohio State, but they’ve topped this over/under on their own with the average score.

Penn State may not have the offense to keep up with the Buckeyes, but it’s a respectable enough offense that will score against a relatively leaky defense that the Buckeyes do deploy.

Considering that Penn State might be able to thwart a few drives and that they should score a few times, I’m sending this total way over with my 45-20 prediction.

over-under

-110

Total Points Over 60 (Penn State at Ohio State, CFB Week 9)

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Related articles

CFB

CFB Conference Championship Best Bets | Predictions & Picks For College Football Conference Championship Week

Kevin Davis5 hours ago

Read more

Promotions

Welcome offer FOX Bet promotion

Up To $500 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,001 First Bet Match

5 stars
Welcome offer TwinSpires Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk-Free

5 stars

Top Offers

Top DFS Offers

Support us