Week 7 features a battle between NFC West and NFC North foes. Both teams indulged in a business decision this offseason that would change everything about each franchise.
While the Rams and newly acquired former Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford have had a ton of success to start the season, the Lions and former Ram Jared Goff have not shared the same fate. One team only has one loss, and the other doesn’t know what it’s like to win in 2021.
The 5-1 Rams are coming off of a drubbing on the road in which had backups enter the game, coasting to a 38-11 victory over the New York Giants.
On the other hand, the 0-6 Lions are desperately searching for their first win of the season following a disappointing blowout loss at home versus the Cincinnati Bengals.
Both teams seemingly have to win this game as the Rams are trying to keep pace with the first-place Arizona Cardinals in their division, while the Lions are trying to keep their season alive and dodge their seventh straight loss. With that in mind, let’s dive into our Lions vs. Rams predictions and best bets.
Please note that all odds and lines are current as of 11 AM EST on Friday, October 22.
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Lions vs. Rams Prediction
Los Angeles’ defense has found a bit of a rhythm the last two games, having allowed only 14 points per game and generated six turnovers on the road, no less. Now, they return home with a high-powered offense and a defense that is starting to potentially come into its own.
The Rams offense has shown flashes of being the best, with Matthew Stafford leading the league in DVOA, in addition to Cooper Kupp turning into one of the game’s best receivers. Darrell Henderson has run the ball well and is top 10 in almost every running back statistical category despite missing a game.
However, the Rams offense has still not found that consistency that continues to hold them back a bit. This week could be the week to end the slow starts on offense that head coach Sean McVay has voiced his displeasure about.
Detroit’s defense has allowed 28.7 points per game this year and just allowed 34 points to the Bengals who had yet to find that next gear in their offense. In addition to that, the Lions give up 6.4 yards per play, which is the second-most in the NFL.
Detroit quite simply does not have the weapons or has shown the level of efficiency it takes to hang with this Rams team.
While the Rams defense does give up a lot of yards due to the bend-don’t-break style they play with, this is the same defense and team that knows everything about the Lions starting quarterback Jared Goff.
The Lions have one of the worst offenses on third down, and their passing attack is 30th in yards per completion. I expect Goff’s return to Los Angeles to end with pain and agony in a Rams blowout win.
Prediction: Rams 41, Lions 10
Lions vs. Rams Best Bets
Best Bet: Rams -16 (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 3 Units
After looking at our NFL gameday odds, it may seem steep, but I love the Rams at -16 over the Lions.
Goff is susceptible to turning over the ball in this one, but it hurts even more for him knowing this team knows him better than anyone he has played this season.
The Rams are not the team to bet against. They blew out an arguably more talented and injured team on the road after traveling over 2,000 miles to the east coast. It would be the riskiest bet to take the Lions and the points in a game that has ugly written all over it.
Best Bet: Over 50.5 (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Starting with Week 1, Lions games have combined for 74, 52, 36, 38, 36, and 45 points, while Rams games have combined for 48, 51, 58, 57, 43, and 49 points.
While the Lions only have two games that have gone over this spread, the Rams have three and are coming off a game in which they blew out the Giants but sat their starters in the fourth quarter.
Don’t expect McVay and company to be so kind against former starting quarterback Jared Goff in this NFL bet of the day.