ALCS Props Picks & Predictions Today | 2021 Playoffs MLB Play of the Day 10/16/21

Frank AmmiranteFantasy Sports & Betting Writer
Posted: Oct 16, 2021Last updated: Oct 16, 2021

Frank Ammirante is here with your MLB Betting Props of the Day for October 16, 2021. Which props make up the Best Baseball Prop Picks Today 10/16/21. All odds were obtained from BetMGM and are current as of 12 PM ET.

MLB Props of the Day: Best Baseball Props Today 10/16/21

Nathan Eovaldi: Under 15.5 Outs (-167) at BetMGM

Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros, 4:20 ET

Nathan Eovaldi posted a 25.5% strikeout rate this season, but this Astros lineup is simply on fire right now. Lance Lynn (3.2 IP, 4 K), Lucas Giolito (4.1 IP, 4 K), Dylan Cease (1.2 IP, 2 K), Carlos Rodon (2.2 IP, 3 K), and Chris Sale (2.2 IP, 2 K) have each been pulled early from their outings against the Astros during this postseason.

The Red Sox are desperate for this game after dropping Game 1, so it’s likely that they’ll have a quick hook with Eovaldi here. It’s really tough to see him going more than five innings in this spot.

While the righty has been dominant this postseason, he was still limited to a combined 10.1 innings in his two playoff starts, even though he was pitching so well.

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Kiké Hernandez: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) at BetMGM

Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros, 4:20 ET

How can we bet against Hernandez right now? He’s absolutely on fire, going 13-for-21 (.619) with four doubles, four homers, and eight RBI in his last four games. Hernandez has racked up 10, 1, 6, and 11 total bases during that stretch.

It’s a good idea to ride the wave with hot streaks in baseball, so we’ll make this play on Hernandez because of how well he’s hitting right now. Astros starter Luis Garcia has really struggled in his last two starts, allowing 11 runs in 7.2 innings.

Read all of our 2021 ALCS Betting Tips

Luis Garcia: Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-133) at BetMGM

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox, 4:20 ET

It’s hard to trust Garcia right now. I’ve already mentioned his struggles in his last two outings, but he’s also not exactly a big strikeout pitcher to make him trustworthy to hit the Over on this prop. Garcia has posted a 26.4% strikeout rate, but he’s failed to rack up five or more strikeouts in four of his last five starts.

We’ve seen how teams are quick to pull their pitchers at the first sign of trouble in the playoffs, so the Under looks like the right side here.

Thanks for reading our MLB Best Prop Bets Today! For more MLB betting tips, check out our MLB Parlay Picks Today.


Frank Ammirante

Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.

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