Pacers Predictions 2021-2022: Best Indiana Odds + Betting Picks

Last season ended in disappointment for the Indiana Pacers, as the team was blown out by the Washington Wizards in the play-in tournament and ultimately missed out on a postseason berth. There are a few reasons to believe that the Pacers will bounce back this year, however, starting with their head coaching change.

Rick Carlisle is back with Indiana, returning to the franchise after a 13-year stint with the Dallas Mavericks. Since leaving the Pacers in 2007, Carlisle has become one of the more respected coaches in the NBA, winning a championship along the way.

Carlisle is bound to make the most of a talented roster that features the likes of Domantas Sabonis, Caris LeVert, Malcolm Brogdon, T.J. Warren, and Myles Turner. There may be some growing pains, but if all the pieces fall into place, Indiana could be a playoff team this year.

With that said, let’s dive into our 2021 Pacers predictions. Please note that all odds and lines are current as of Wednesday, October 13.

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Pacers Win Total Prediction 2021-2022

Pacers Under 42.5 Wins (-105) at PointsBet

Indiana should be better in 2021-22, but it remains to be seen how much they’ll improve. Carlisle will certainly help get the most out of this roster, as will key players returning to full health.

However, it’s hard to be a real believer in the Pacers given the state of the Eastern Conference this season. The East is expected to be highly competitive this year, and Indiana failed to upgrade during the offseason as much as their rivals did. Their biggest splashes were adding Torrey Craig via free agency and re-signing T.J. McConnell, neither of which moves the needle much.

Pacers Win Total Pick 2021-2022: Under

This is a talented roster, but given how strong the rest of the conference looks this year, it’s hard to imagine Indiana finishing above .500 during the regular season.

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Indiana Pacers Under 42.5 Wins (2021-22 NBA Season)

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Pacers Make NBA Playoffs Prediction 2021-2022

Pacers to Miss the Playoffs (+135) at BetMGM

The Pacers may not enjoy a ton of regular-season success, but given the nature of the NBA postseason, they may not have to. Indiana finished as the No. 9 seed last season and qualified for the play-in tournament despite going 34-38, so it’s possible to have a losing record and still be in position to play postseason basketball.

Even if the Pacers do return to the play-in tournament, however, they’re likely to be outgunned based on the relative lack of impact talent on their roster. Indiana just didn’t do enough during the offseason to separate themselves from the pack and seems likely to fall short of the playoffs again as a result.

Pacers Make NBA Playoffs Pick 2021-2022: No

The Pacers have the coaching and talent to reach the playoffs, but with how good some of their rivals look on paper, it’s hard to envision Indiana advancing to the playoffs this year.

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Indiana Pacers To Miss Playoffs (2021-22 NBA Season)

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Pacers To Win NBA Championship Prediction 2021-2022

Pacers to Win NBA Championship (+10000) at PointsBet

If the Pacers aren’t going to make the playoffs, then they most certainly aren’t going to win the NBA Finals, either. However, for the sake of being thorough, let’s say they do qualify for the postseason.

Indiana’s ceiling is probably the No. 6 or No. 7 seed in the Eastern Conference. This would require consistent health, strong team chemistry, stealing a few wins, and some of their competitors underperforming.

Assuming they’re fortunate enough to make it that far, they simply don’t have what it takes to win multiple playoff series and defeat the best teams in the conference. The talent differential between Indiana and the Milwaukee Bucks or Brooklyn Nets, for example, would be too large for the Pacers to overcome.

Pacers NBA Championship Pick 2021-2022: No

The Pacers will be competitive this season, but they’re not championship-caliber.

Rick Carlisle, Indiana Pacers

After 13 years with the Dallas Mavericks, is Rick Carlisle the missing piece for an Indiana Pacers team looking to return to the postseason? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)

Pacers & Player Prop Predictions 2021-2022

Chris Duarte to Win Rookie Of The Year (+4000) at Caesars

The oldest player in the 2021 NBA Draft class fell to the Pacers at No. 13, and it’s hard to imagine him being in a better situation than he is now. Carlisle has never shied from putting first-year players on the floor, and given Chris Duarte‘s maturity and skillset, all signs point to him being a regular part of the rotation throughout the season.

The 24-year-old separated himself from the competition by way of his three-point range during his two years at Oregon, shooting 42.4% from beyond the arc in 2020-21 and establishing himself as arguably the best shooter in his class. Duarte has also flashed his playmaking and defensive abilities in the preseason, highlighted by his 15-point, 5-assist debut.

Duarte will face stiff competition for Rookie of the Year, but he’s also less likely to experience growing pains given his advanced age. If players like Cade Cunningham and Jalen Green underwhelm, Duarte could wind up near the top of the polls at year’s end — think Tyrese Haliburton in last year’s rookie race.

Player Prop


Chris Duarte: To Win 2021-22 NBA Rookie Of The Year Award

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Domantas Sabonis: Regular-Season Rebounding Leader (+700) at Caesars

Domantas Sabonis has been an absolute force on the glass over his last two seasons with the Pacers, averaging 12.2 rebounds across roughly 36 minutes per game. Unsurprisingly, he’s been a top-five finisher in rebounds per game both years.

Sabonis has yet to win a rebounding title, but there’s good reason to believe he can do so in 2022, especially based on how he finished last season. In April and May, he hauled in a monstrous 13.8 boards per game over his final 16 contests. He brought down 15+ in seven of those games, including a stretch of consecutive 19-rebound performances.

If Sabonis can carry that same aggressiveness into the 2021-22 season, the only person stopping him from claiming the title will be himself.

Player Prop


Domantas Sabonis: To Lead NBA In Rebounding (2021-22 NBA Season)

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Malcolm Brogdon: Under 20.6 Points Per Game (-115) at DraftKings

Malcolm Brogdon was Indiana’s leading scoring leader in 2020-21, pouring in an average of 21.2 points per game. While he’s an excellent player, it’s difficult to foresee him approaching that number again.

Brogdon’s career year happened largely by circumstance, as the Pacers were hit hard by injuries last season. Somebody had to step up and score, and Brogdon was the one to do so.

With Indiana’s roster looking much healthier heading into this season, Brogdon’s usage rate should fall considerably this year, barring another wave of injuries.

In two seasons with the Pacers, Brogdon has averaged 18.9 points per game. Expect his scoring numbers to fall closer to that this year.

Player Prop


Malcolm Brogdon: Under 20.6 Points Per Game (2021-22 NBA Season)

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NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.