2021 NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 6 | Who To Pick In Knockout Pool Week 6

We had our first scare of the 2021 season! But don’t worry, the name of the game is “survive” and we did just that.

The Minnesota Vikings coughed up a 16-6 lead with 3:30 to go in the fourth quarter and were trailing by a point with less tan 40 seconds remaining. Captain Kirk Cousins came to the rescue and led Minnesota down the field for a game-winning 54-yard field goal to beat the Detroit Lions.

There were plenty of chances for big upsets last week, but nothing major really transpired. Most players stayed alive thanks to the Ravens, Patriots and Vikings all holding on to win, somehow, some way.

With a couple teams on a bye week this week, we’ll have to navigate this slate a little more carefully. Here’s what we’re going to do.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool Grid — Week 6

Road TeamHome TeamOpening LineCurrent LineProb HmTm WProb RdTmWProb HmTmCvProb RdTmCv
Kansas CityDenver-3-100.32780.67220.57550.4245
Green BayDetroit-11-20.23250.76750.33650.6635
WashingtonN.Y. Giants-4-70.4680.5320.61910.3809
New OrleansAtlanta-3.5-4.50.37170.62830.49860.5014
N.Y. JetsBuffalo+17+170.88950.11050.51990.4801
San FranciscoLA Rams+6.5+40.61360.38640.49940.5006
New EnglandMiami-2.5-6.50.33750.66250.51120.4888
CarolinaTampa Bay+16.5+80.8350.1650.61740.3826
LA ChargersLas Vegas-2.5-30.47760.52240.54550.4545

The above survivor pool grid, created by Todd Beck, uses the average of the top computer ratings in the sports betting industry including computer systems like Sagarin, ESPN FPI, Massey Ratings, Stat Fox and many, many more.

To read this grid properly, the opening line and current line are based on the road team.

Keep in mind that when this article is posted, current lines can change and probability for teams can also change based on breaking news. Lines are current as of Tuesday, October 12.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before reading our Week 6 NFL Survivor pool betting tips, you should know that Caesars Sportsbook is one of the best around. Take advantage of Caesars’ outstanding welcome bonus which gives you a risk-free bet of up to $5,000 when you use the promo code GAMEDAY.

Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis for our best Week 6 knockout tipster picks.

Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook

  • Intuitive App

  • Plenty of Markets & Bet Types

  • VIP Rewards System

Get up to $1,500 FREE

Risk-Free Bet

GAMEDAY15Get bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool: Best Picks to Win in Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants

The New York Giants are depleted. Against the Cowboys last week, they lost quarterback Daniel Jones to a concussion, Saquon Barkley to an ankle injury, and wide receiver Kenny Golladay to a knee injury.

Prior to the game starting, receivers Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton were already out, and on top of that, left tackle Andrew Thomas was also sidelined due to injury.

At this point, only Thomas seems probable to play. Golladay and Barkley will require more time to get healthy, and Jones needs to pass concussion protocol if he’s going to play.

At this point, it looks like Mike Glennon will get the start at quarterback with Kadarius Toney as his only main weapon. He might get a receiver or two back, but the injuries are piling up, and they’re going to have to take on a Rams team that is 4-1 and a potential Super Bowl Contender.

I always talk about wanting to take a team at home, if possible, but this matchup just makes the most sense moving forward.

The Giants have actually been solid offensively this season despite all the injuries, averaging 391.4 yards per game. However, on defense, the Giants are allowing 418.8 yards, and it won’t get easier against a Rams team that is averaging 415.4 yards and 28.2 points per game.

The Rams have played the run very well on the defensive end, and although the secondary has been weak, they’ve still got some of the best players in that unit. Things will start to pick up with Jalen Ramsey and Robert Rochell in the backfield.

Currently, the prediction tracker has the Rams winning 70.8 percent of the time, which is the second-best percentage on this week’s slate. With all of the injuries on this Giants team, let’s ride the Rams for Week 6.

Betting Pick: Rams -10.5 (-110) at Caesars



Los Angeles Rams -10.5 (LAR @ NYG, NFL Week 6)

LA @ NYG | 10/17, 1:00 PM ET

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,500 Risk-Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

I’m not the biggest fan of taking a team on short rest, but the Colts look poised to get their second win of the season. I could understand why taking the Colts could be a little scary, but at the end of the day, the Colts have played much better than a 1-4 record.

The rushing defense held the Ravens to under 100 yards, but the Indianapolis secondary has been a major problem this year. The good news is that Davis Mills will still be under center for the Texans, even if Tyrod Taylor is healthy this week.

We saw some great things out of Mills last week, but in previous games, he’s been awful. I’m not falling for it. That game will be an outlier and Taylor will be quarterback moving forward, after this game.

The prediction tracker gives the Colts a 72 percent chance of winning this game outright. Plus, with the Colts at home, this looks like a very solid play if you’re unable to bet the Rams at this time.

Betting Pick: Colts -9.5 (-110) at Caesars



Indianapolis Colts -9.5 (HOU @ IND, NFL Week 6)

HOU @ IND | 10/17, 1:00 PM ET

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,500 Risk-Free Bet
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Indianapolis Colts

Despite sitting at just 1-4 on the season, the Indianapolis Colts are heavy favorites over the Houston Texans in Week 6 — and rightfully so. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Sleeper Team To Win

Arizona Cardinals vs Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns allowed 47 points to the Las Angeles Chargers last week. Now, they’re going to face the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL. And yet, the Browns are favored to win this game by 2.5 points.

Via the Prediction Tracker, the Cardinals have a 49.49% chance of winning this game but are underdogs. The Browns have stopped the running game this year, but they’ll struggle to limit the passing game against the Cardinals, who are averaging over 300 yards in the air per game.

This game will not have many picks, but in the slight chance that it does, stay away from backing the Browns, at home, against an undefeated team. It seems obvious, but in some of my pools last week, people were eliminated by taking the Jets…

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Future Team Value Pick to Save

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

The Los Angeles Chargers have been extremely fun to watch. Second-year quarterback Justin Herbert has broken out in a big way and has led the Chargers to a 4-1 record. This week, the offense will continue to score points against a pretty poor Baltimore defense.

Los Angeles was involved in a shootout with Cleveland last week, and I’d expect the same thing to happen on the road in Baltimore. The Ravens stormed back from a 16-point deficit in the fourth quarter to defeat the Colts on Monday Night Football, showcasing just how good their offense can be.

We’ll ride the Chargers eventually, but it won’t be against the Ravens. Baltimore proved it can come back in a game without needing to run the ball, like was saw last week.

Therefore, hold on to the Chargers as underdogs this week and wait until they get to play worse teams a bit later in the season.

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Chalk Pick That Could Lose

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Don’t be that guy thinking fading Geno Smith is the way to go. Last week, I explained how primetime games can get ugly with underdogs surprising many times throughout a season. I told people to stay away from betting the Ravens over the Colts, and Ravens backers just pulled out a victory, down 16 in the fourth quarter.

The Seahawks will have to rely on Smith for four weeks, but he’s a capable backup quarterback with a solid arm and plenty of mobility. The line has shifted from the Seahawks being 2.5-point favorites to now 5-point underdogs, and that’s just way too much for a Sunday Night Football game going up against a 2-3 Steelers team.

The Seahawks defense has been awful this season, but with JuJu Smith-Schuster sidelined for the rest of the season and the Steelers struggling to run the ball (minus last week), there’s no chance I’d be putting my survivor pick anywhere close to the Steelers this week.

Related articles


Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,500 FREE

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetRivers Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk Free Bet

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.