Auburn vs Georgia Predictions NCAAF Week 6 | College Football Pick of the Day
The Georgia Bulldogs bulldozer will be on the road in Week 6 taking on fellow SEC and nationally ranked Auburn Tigers.
One of the main narratives coming into the game is whether or not J.T. Daniels will play in the game or not. Against Arkansas in Week 5, Daniels sat out, leading to Stetson Bennett taking the start.
Bennett did about as close to nothing as possible while actually playing, completing 7 of 11 passes for 72 yards—and that’s it. This was en route to a 37-0 win.
That demonstrates the dominance of Georgia’s defense.
Now, heading into Auburn, it will be interesting to see how Auburn head coach Bryan Harsin and quarterback Bo Nix try to solve this Georgia defense that is chock full of NFL-level talent.
Auburn is coming off back-to-back tight wins against LSU and Georgia State.
Best Bet: Under 46.5 (-110) at FanDuel
For in-depth analysis of this CFB bet of the day and others, continue reading.
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Auburn vs. Georgia Prediction
It’s going to come as no surprise, but it would take a modern miracle for the Auburn Tigers to win this game.
Yes, they’re in Auburn, but the question here is whether or not they will cover the 14.5-point spread, as opposed to winning outright.
Even with Bennett under center, the team just heavily relied on the run, with four running backs tallying double-digit carries.
If anything, Arkansas’ defense was decent enough to at least try to slow the Bulldogs a bit, but they were unsuccessful and Auburn doesn’t appear to be a team in any kind of position to do so as well. While Auburn is averaging close to 240 rushing yards per game, Georgia has not allowed a single rushing touchdown and is holding teams to less than 70 yards per game.
If Auburn cannot rely on their running game and need to turn to Nix to pass when the team is also averaging less than 240 passing yards per game, well, once again, Georgia is stout there, only allowing 110 passing yards per game—yes, 110.
If Bennett draws the start, the defense and running the ball will be the focal point. However, if Daniels draws the start, it’s been readily apparent the team is reluctant to let him air the ball out, but that could change against Auburn.
Either way, this is going to be a route. The Bulldog defense is going to smother Nix and the rushing attack, leading to at least one defensive touchdown, on top of a rushing attack that will wear Auburn out, score, and drain the clock.
Betting Pick: Georgia 33, Auburn 7
Arizona State vs. UCLA Best Bets
Best Bet: Georgia Moneyline (-650) at BetMGM
At -650 odds, it’s not at all worth wagering on the moneyline. Yes, Georgia will win, but it’s just a smarter process to target the spread. But, if you’re determined to take the moneyline, Georgia is a no-brainer. One could argue that this is the easiest $100 to make simply by betting $650, but there is always an element of “who knows”.
Best Bet: Georgia -14.5 (-110) at DraftKings
There could be a reason to take Auburn if you are on the side of variance and Georgia not getting the turnovers and/or defensive touchdowns and the running game not being so dominant, but either way, the Auburn offense is just not going to be able to move the ball. There could be a couple of cheap scores toward the end of the game, but in the midst of battle, there’s just no way I can reason with myself to take Auburn.
Auburn has had close calls against LSU and Georgia State.
Georgia is going to neutralize Auburn and it will be a breeze to cover 14.5, regardless of who is starting.
Best Bet: Under 46.5 (-110) at FanDuel
Between the Georgia defense locking down Auburn and Georgia’s potential points coming from the ground game and off of turnovers and/or defensive touchdowns, it would take a lot for this total to go over.
The clock is going to run down from the Georgia rushing attack, and even if Georgia puts up 40 points, I’m still not overly worried about Auburn making up the rest of the points.
It likely goes against some conventional wisdom to take the under in the 40’s in a College Football game with a 14.5 point spread, but this is one of the rare spots to take it.