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Arkansas vs Georgia Predictions NCAAF Week 5 – College Football Pick of the Day

Posted: Sep 28, 2021Last updated: Sep 28, 2021

It looks like Arkansas football is finally back. The Razorbacks have won their first four games of the season with impressive wins against Texas A&M and Texas. Now they’ll take on the biggest challenge of them all and look to defeat the Georgia Bulldogs, who are ranked second in the nation.

Georgia has a win against Clemson and three pure blowouts against UAB, South Carolina, and Vanderbilt. Those three wins aren’t that insane, except for the fact that the Bulldogs won these three games by an extremely wide margin.

It’s been a while since Arkansas has been ranked in the Top 10. Can the Razorbacks hold on to an AP Top 10 ranking for another week?

Arkansas vs. Georgia Best Bet: Arkansas +18.5 (-110) at Caesars

For in-depth analysis of this CFB bet of the day and others, continue reading.


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Arkansas vs. Georgia Prediction

The Arkansas Razorbacks look incredible to start the season, gaining nearly 500 yards of offense per game and averaging 35.8 points per game. Defensively, it’s been even more enjoyable for Arkansas fans, holding opponents to under 270 yards per game.

It’s not like the Razorbacks have faced bad talent. They’ve got wins against Texas and Texas A&M, and while both offenses, at the time, were using their backup quarterbacks, these wins are still very impressive.

The offense is led by KJ Jefferson, who has thrown for 844 yards and six touchdowns. Jefferson also has two interceptions to his name. For what Arkansas is asking out of him, he’s delivered. They’re not a pass-heavy offense, and therefore Jefferson only has 88 dropbacks in four games this season.

The pass protection has been weak, but the run game has been excellent with the run block and playmakers rushing the football like Trelon Smith, who has averaged 5.1 yards per carry this season.

The Bulldogs have one of the best defenses in college football. But let’s take a step back for a minute. The defense has faced Clemson, UAB, South Carolina, and Vanderbilt.

Incredibly though, Georgia has allowed just 181.8 yards per game on the defensive end. Those are video games numbers. So despite playing poor offenses, the defense has still played incredibly.

Offensively, with JT Daniels healthy, Georgia looks impossible to stop. They just scored 62 points against Vanderbilt and covered the over by themselves with a 62-0 win. Still, Arkansas will be the toughest test to date for Georgia, and a heavy spread just seems like too much against a top 10 opponent.

Arkansas vs. Georgia Prediction: Georgia 24, Arkansas 10

James Cook, RB, Georgia Bulldogs

With a tough defense ahead against Arkansas, running back James Cook and the Georgia Bulldogs look to take down the Razorbacks. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Arkansas vs. Georgia Best Bets

Best Bet: Arkansas +18.5 (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1.10 Units

The Razorbacks will struggle to score points, there’s no doubt about it. The pass protection has been abysmal, and the pass rush and coverage for Georgia is insane. The Razorbacks are still averaging 261 yards on the ground per game and should be able to gain at least 3.5 yards per carry against Georgia.

If Arkansas can do this, they’ll create long drives that could result in points. The fewer opportunities Georgia has to score, the better off Arkansas will be. A couple of drives might stall around the 50 for Arkansas, which will also force Georgia to work from inside the 10-yard line, needing to go a full 90 yards for a touchdown.

In a defensive game, I like Arkansas to at least cover in this game.

Best Bet: Under 48.5 (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1.10 Units

If the underdog has a chance at covering and winning this game outright, the game is going to have to go under the total.

This game has more of a Clemson feel to it. Arkansas has proven that they’re capable of rushing and putting pressure on the quarterback. While the coverage has lacked a bit, the pass rush should help force a mistake or two.

The rushing defense is also playing well for Arkansas and has the guys to stop the run against a subpar run block for Georgia. If there’s one area where Georgia struggles, it’s in the run block.

I like the under in this one. We’ll see slow drives and some well-played defense.

Best Bet: Arkansas +10 First Half (-105) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Arkansas has been starting games well this season, and I’d expect that again. Arkansas might have the better run game in comparison to Georgia and if the run game continues to work, the score will be low scoring with the time running.

Long, methodical drives will be crucial. Arkansas should be able to stick around throughout the game and also the first quarter. It’s going to take multiple possessions for Georgia to win the first half by more than 10 points.

With a limited amount of possessions, I like Arkansas’ chances to hang in there. If they score one touchdown on their own, Georgia will need at least 17 just to push.

Thanks for reading our CFB Week 5 Arkansas vs. Georgia Predictions! Also check out our CFB Week 5 Best Bets and CFB Week 5 Power Rankings.

Author

Jason Radowitz

Jason Radowitz is a jack of all trades when it comes to writing sports. Jason writes and bets the MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAAF, and NCAAB when the sports are in season. Currently, he's a Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day providing daily content in the MLB. Earlier in his sports career, Jason was a graduate assistant for the University of Hartford Men's Basketball team using analytics and numbers to help put together the winningest season in program history. With his articles, you will be sure to get an analytical approach.

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