Best MLB Bets Today: MLB Pick Of The Day 8/30/21

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick Of The Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 8/30/21. All odds for August 30 MLB bet picks were obtained from PointsBet.

The St. Louis Cardinals saved us on Friday, scoring three runs in the fifth inning to cash our ticket and end the week on a high note. Let’s see if we can pick up where we left off with my top recommendation for the best MLB bets today.

MLB Pick Today

prop bet

-110

Milwaukee Brewers: Over 2 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (MIL @ SFG, 8/30)

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For in-depth analysis of this MLB pick of the day, continue reading.

Season Betting Record

  • Overall: 34-21 (+9.16 units)
  • Team Totals: 12-7 (+2.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 18-8-3 (+8.39 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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MLB Bet Of The Day 8/30/21

Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants (9:45 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: MIL RHP Corbin Burnes @ SFG RHP Johnny Cueto

The Milwaukee Brewers have been swinging hot bats lately, averaging 4.96 runs per game in August which is above their season average of 4.63. They’ll need to keep hitting to keep pace with the San Francisco Giants, who have one of the best offenses in the National League this year.

Milwaukee will look to take advantage of an appetizing matchup tonight against Johnny Cueto, who’s been extremely inconsistent this year with a 7-6 record and a 3.73 ERA. He’s also having a rough August thus far, giving up eight runs on 16 hits and eight walks in just 15 innings across his three starts. Based on his 4.75 xERA, he’s lucky his real ERA isn’t higher with all the baserunners he’s allowed lately.

Now in his 14th MLB season, the 35-year-old former All-Star has become quite hittable. Opponents are batting .291/.340/.484 against him since the beginning of May. He’s also allowed a career-worst 38.0% hard-hit rate this season, according to Statcast. Pitching to contact can be effective if you keep the ball on the ground, but Cueto’s 38.1% ground-ball rate is the lowest of his career.

That doesn’t bode well for his matchup against the Brewers, who have been MLB’s second-hardest team to strike out this month. They’re going to put a lot of balls in play against Cueto, and odds are a good number of them will be hit hard.

The last time they faced each other on August 8, Milwaukee tagged him for four runs in 5 1/3 innings. With Christian Yelich finally coming around after a slow start, the Brewers have several hitters who can do damage against Cueto such as Willy Adames, Avisail Garcia, Omar Narvaez, Kolten Wong, and Luis Urias.

Milwaukee should be able to reach base consistently in the early innings, keeping the pressure on Cueto and potentially forcing him to make a mistake or two (he’s yielded 12 home runs over his last 12 starts). Even if the Brewers only score twice in the first five, we’ll push and get our money back on my best MLB bet pick today.

Baseball Bet Of The Day: Milwaukee Brewers Over 2 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (-110)

Wager: 1.10 Units

prop bet

-110

Milwaukee Brewers: Over 2 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (MIL @ SFG, 8/30)

PointsBet Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet 2 Risk-Free Bets up to $2,000
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Bet $20, Payout $38

Thanks for reading our August 30 MLB Bet Of The Day! For more MLB betting tips today, check out our August 30 NRFI Bet and August 30 HR Bet.

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Schedule & Odds

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NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.