The Los Angeles Chargers exceeded expectations last year behind rookie quarterback Justin Herbert. While a 7-9 record may not seem like much to get excited about, it represented a step in the right direction, especially in a tough division like the AFC West.
What can we expect from this Chargers team and its players in 2021? Let’s dive into a few NFL prop bets to find out.
Chargers Prop Bets 2021: Best Los Angeles Odds & Betting Picks
Chargers Team Prop Bets 2021: Team Bet Picks
Chargers To Win Under 9.5 Games (-135)
The Chargers were a pleasant surprise last year, but I don’t see them enjoying the same type of magic this season. Even if Herbert takes a step forward in his sophomore campaign, the AFC West is simply too competitive for Los Angeles to win double-digit games.
I believe in the stronger pieces of their defense and believe in their offense entirely (when healthy). However, these are the highly “winnable" games I see for the Chargers this season:
- Week 1: @ Washington Football Team
- Week 2: vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Week 4: vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- Week 8: vs. New England Patriots
- Week 10: vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Week 13: @ Cincinnati Bengals
- Week 14: vs. New York Giants
- Week 16: @ Houston Texans
- Week 17: vs. Denver Broncos
That’s exactly nine games, and Los Angeles probably won’t win all of them. I feel this roster can win anywhere in the 8-12 game range depending on how injuries shake out, but based on their strength of schedule I’m taking the under here.
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Chargers Team Prop Bets 2021: Player Bet Picks
Austin Ekeler Over 849.5 Rushing Yards & Keenan Allen Over 1,025.5 Receiving Yards (+300)
While Austin Ekeler is known more for his abilities as a pass-catcher, he’s an above-average runner as well. He’s never approached 850 rushing yards in a season, but I believe he’ll do it this year if he stays healthy. His full-season pace last year would have translated to 901 rushing yards in a 17-game schedule, so the volume is there.
Keenan Allen, on the other hand, can hit this mark in his sleep. He’s averaged 1,195 receiving yards per season over the last four years and is locked in as the Chargers’ top receiver. He also developed a strong rapport with Herbert last year, which could yield even stronger numbers in 2021.
This bet is a solid value at +300 if both stay healthy and Ekeler remains heavily involved in the ground game.
Justin Herbert Over 28.5 Passing Touchdowns (-120)
Herbert is a stud in the making. After throwing for a rookie-record 31 touchdowns in 15 games last year, the sky’s the limit for him in LA’s pass-happy offense. While -120 odds are not the best on a prop of this nature, there’s some wiggle room here if his performance dips a bit or he misses a few games. Bet this one with confidence.