MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 8/20/21

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 8/20/21. All odds for August 20 MLB bet picks were obtained from DraftKings.

The weekend is about to begin and we’ve got some new matchups to take a look at. One intriguing series this weekend is between two first-place American League teams in the Tampa Bay Rays and Chicago White Sox.

I’ve got a play for tonight’s series opener for my Best Baseball Pick Today 8/20/21.

  • Overall: 31-21 (+6.16 units)
  • Team Totals: 12-7 (+2.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 15-8-3 (+5.39 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)

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MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 8/20/21

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: CHW RHP Lucas Giolito @ TBR RHP Michael Wacha

White Sox Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (+115)

Wager: 0.9 units

prop bet

+115

Chicago White Sox: Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (CHW @ TBR, 8/20)

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August has been a disaster for Michael Wacha, who’s gotten shelled for 18 runs on 30 hits in 14 innings this month, causing his ERA to rise from 4.79 to 5.91. To make matters worse, all three of his outings were against relatively weak opponents in the Seattle Mariners, Baltimore Orioles, and Minnesota Twins.

Wacha’s been especially ineffective early on in games this year, with a 6.36 ERA through the first three innings and a 5.50 ERA in the middle innings. He’s been getting rocked his first couple of times through the order as well, allowing an .868 OPS his first time through and an .871 OPS his second time through. Not surprisingly, he’s allowed at least three runs in the first five innings in five of his last six starts.

Wacha’s struggles are consistent with how much hard contact he’s allowed this season. According to Statcast, he has a 42.4% hard-hit rate and a 10.0% barrel rate, which explains his career-worst 89.7 mph average exit velocity. He’s also yielded a whopping 27.4% line-drive rate and has a 6.44 xERA.

His woes will likely continue against the White Sox, who rank third in wRC+ (109) and seventh in wOBA (.327. Chicago has a patient lineup that hits the ball hard — a dangerous combination for Wacha. He’ll likely have a tough time against the likes of Tim Anderson, Jose Abreu, Yoan Moncada, Andrew Vaughn, and Luis Robert.

Despite his recent poor performance and their place in the standings, the Rays are letting Wacha pitch. He’s thrown at least four innings in each of his last seven starts, which makes me comfortable with playing the first five over for the White Sox. I want nothing to do with Tampa Bay’s bullpen, however, so I’m sticking to the first five here.

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NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.