2021 NFL Bold Predictions & Player Prop Bet Picks: Derrick Henry, Jalen Hurts & More

Preseason football is in full swing, meaning the 2021 NFL regular season is just around the corner. Fans won’t have to wait much longer for Week 1 of the action, which is now less than a month away.

As position battles begin to be settled and there’s more clarity surrounding each team, it’s also becoming easier to identify potential betting trends for the upcoming season.

Our writers gathered to make their boldest NFL predictions for the 2021 season and a recommended bet to make for each prediction.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before placing your NFL prop bets, you should know that BetMGM Sportsbook is one of the best around, offering tons of promotions and a fantastic $1,000 risk-free welcome bonus to new signups using our promo code THEGAMEDAY.

Read Anthony Cervino’s BetMGM Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis.

BetMGM Sportsbook

BetMGM Sportsbook

  • Terrific Promotions

  • User-friendly Layout

  • Live Streaming

Get Up To $1,000 FREE

Risk-Free Bet

GAMEDAYGet bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.

2021 NFL Bold Predictions

Derrick Henry rushes for fewer than 1400 yards.

The Titans added future Hall of Fame wide receiver Julio Jones. Henry has racked up 827 touches over the last two (includes postseason). The Titans project to pass more with Julio and reduce Henry’s workload. Frank Ammirante

Derrick Henry Prop Bet: Under 1555.5 Rushing Yards (-130) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Player Prop

-130

Derrick Henry: Under 1555.5 Rushing Yards In 2021 Season

DraftKings Sportsbook Welcome Offer$1,000 Deposit Match
DraftKings Logo

Bet $20, Payout $35

DraftKings Sportsbook offers a 1st deposit match of up to $1,000 for new players.

Jonathan Taylor will lead the NFL in rushing.

Jonathan Taylor popped for 1,169 rushing yards last season, good for third among running backs, which is shocking since he really didn’t get going consistently until Week 11. With the Colts’ offensive line back in full swing and despite a quarterback upgrade in Carson Wentz, Taylor will be the focal point of the Colts’ offense.

Even if Wentz and Quenton Nelson miss time early, Taylor is talented enough to overcome the obstacles and weather the storm. The Colts will go as Taylor goes in 2021. — Anthony Cervino

Jonathan Taylor Prop Bet: NFL Rushing Leader (+1000) at BetMGM

Player Prop

+1000

Jonathan Taylor: Most Rushing Yards (2021 Regular Season)

BetMGM Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,000 Risk-Free
Bet MGM Logo

Bet $20, Payout $220

Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

As one of Tom Brady’s most reliable targets, Rob Gronkowski could be in for another productive season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.


Lamar Jackson becomes the first quarterback to eclipse 4000 passing yards and 1000 rushing yards in the same season.

Back in the 2019 NFL season, Lamar Jackson became the first quarterback in league history to contribute 3000+ passing yards and 1000+ rushing yards in the same season en route to becoming the youngest quarterback to win MVP.

While Greg Roman has held Jackson back to a certain extent, the team has added more weapons for Jackson in Sammy Watkins and rookie Rashod Bateman.

With an assortment of weapons on offense, Jackson will outdo himself by surpassing his own record by cementing himself as the first quarterback to total 4000+ passing yards and 1000+ rushing yards in the same season. — Skyler Carlin

Lamar Jackson Prop Bet: Over 945.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Player Prop

-115

Lamar Jackson: Over 945.5 Rushing Yards in 2021 Season

DraftKings Sportsbook Welcome Offer$1,000 Deposit Match
DraftKings Logo

Bet $20, Payout $37

Jalen Hurts gets benched for Joe Flacco.

My trepidation with Hurts is more as a real-life QB than for the sake of fantasy where his rushing will certainly provide weekly value. The Eagles are in a transitionary period, and while Hurts has every opportunity to take on the role of a franchise QB, it is very unlikely given his limitations as a passer.

He entered the Eagles’ starting lineup last season and threw defenses off due to their lack of film on him, but he was quickly figured out prior to the season’s end. He will make mistakes, the Eagles will lose games, and eventually, a QB change will occur when frustrations mount.Kev Mahserejian

Jalen Hurts Prop Bet: Under 20.5 Passing Touchdowns (-125) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Player Prop

-125

Jalen Hurts: Under 20.5 Passing Touchdowns in 2021 Season

DraftKings Sportsbook Welcome Offer$1,000 Deposit Match
DraftKings Logo

Bet $20, Payout $36

Rob Gronkowski will lead the NFL in touchdown receptions.

Gronk is entering his age-32 season. However, he played at a high level after taking a few games to shake off his 2019-retirement rust. Tom Brady frequently utilized his long-time partner in crime in the red zone last year, and the Buccaneers passed at one of the highest rates near the end zone.

Tampa Bay projects to be an offensive juggernaut again. Being tied to a high-scoring unit is an integral part of leading the NFL in receiving touchdowns. Having incredible rapport with the G.O.A.T. doesn’t hurt, either.

If Gronk can slightly build on his pace of scoring seven receiving touchdowns in his last 11 games last year and extend it over the course of a full season, he’ll find himself near the top of the touchdown reception leaderboard. — Josh Shepardson

Rob Gronkowski Prop Bet: Most Regular-Season Receiving TDs (+10000) at BetMGM

Player Prop

+10000

Rob Gronkowski: Most Regular-Season Receiving Touchdowns in 2021 Season

BetMGM Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,000 Risk-Free
Bet MGM Logo

Bet $20, Payout $2020

Christian Kirk will finish with over 1000 receiving yards.

I expect Kyler Murray to take another step forward in the passing game. The number two wide receiver role behind DeAndre Hopkins is wide open. I don’t expect A.J. Green to stay healthy or be overly productive when he is on the field, which should leave Kirk with added opportunities in the Cardinals’ offense. — Mike Barner

Ezekiel Elliott will finish with more fumbles lost than Daniel Jones.

Daniel Jones appears to have grease on his hands, but it can be argued that Ezekiel Elliott does too. Last year, Jones only had one more fumble lost when compared to Elliott. Do not be surprised if Elliott ends up losing more footballs than Jones in 2021. — Chris Wassel

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,500 FREE

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetRivers Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk Free Bet

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.