Michael Rathburn is here with your MLB Betting Props of the Day for August 18. Which August 18th strikeout props make up the Best Baseball Prop Picks Today 8/18/21?
MLB Betting Props of the Day: Best Baseball Prop Picks Today
Jesus Luzardo, SP, Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves (7:10 p.m. ET)
Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140)
Wager: 1 unit
I have written about bad numbers before and it looks like we get one with Jesus Luzardo tonight.
First off, I want no part of this Atlanta Braves lineup. They are 8-0 on the road since the trade deadline with a .276 average and an .897 OPS. They also have a 21.1% strikeout rate and a 10.4% walk rate during that span, with their K rate dropping to 17% on the road. They’ve socked 20 home runs in those eight road tilts and scored 14 runs in the first two games of this series, so I’m banking on more of the same from Atlanta.
Luzardo has struggled all year, and the transition to the National League hasn’t helped. His first three starts with the Marlins have yielded a 9.20 ERA, a 1.91 WHIP, and 11 walks in 14 2/3 innings. He hasn’t completed more than five frames in a start since April and has recorded fewer than six punchouts in two of his last three outings. Accordingly, I have a hard time seeing him get to five innings and striking out six batters against this lineup tonight.
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Charlie Morton, SP, Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins (7:10 p.m. ET)
Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-115)
Wager: 1 unit
Charlie Morton has turned things around after a slow start, compiling a 2.51 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over his last 11 outings with 80 strikeouts in 68 innings. He’s notched at least seven strikeouts in nine of those starts, including both of his turns against the Marlins during that span.
Miami has one of the lighter offenses in baseball this year with the second-worst OPS and third-lowest run total among National League teams. The Marlins are hitting just .229/.282/.386 with a 25.1% strikeout rate in 10 home games this month and managed only two runs in the first two games of this series combined.
Miami’s lineup is weaker than the one Morton faced earlier in the season, so he should be able to go seven innings and strike out at least seven in their pitching-friendly venue.